EasternLI
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Everything posted by EasternLI
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Longer term GEFS and EPS look good. There should be more chances this month. Here's the 12z eps 10-15 this is the 5 day mean.
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Here are the 12z GEFS and EPS mean plus members locations for the time period. -
I was in Southampton earlier, by flying point Beach. There was a few hours of light snow and a coating. The dry air was always a concern. That concern came to fruition.
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I think we could have had chances with that -NAO that we had. The problem with that was we also had a record (near record?) -PNA along with it. In which case, forget about it.
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Noticed that ridge trying to retrograde a little more at the very end. That's all I was trying to say. It does still look good.
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EPS comes around beyond that. Not quite as good as yesterday but it's still good. It's in the process of retrograding that ridge to the west coast during that time posted above. It's not certain how long the western ridge will last however. Hopefully we can make the most of it. It's hinting at retrograding it further into the Pacific towards the end. Albeit with a trough still in the east. Mid month looks good. Closer to the end of the month, might not. We'll see how it goes.
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I just shut the TV off before halftime. Can't take it anymore haha
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Interesting reply to that tweet. Regarding the euro sounding. Was wondering about this.
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DC area has been struggling mightily to see snow in recent years. I know the feeling, rooting for them here.
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Still don't know what to think here lol. The dry air is a real concern. That gradient is going to be tight.
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Yeah, we just need to monitor it for now. I prefer being in that situation, though instead of the reverse. We'll see how 12z's handle things.
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Yeah, that's fascinating. Really interesting stuff.
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I'm enjoying following the sst evolution related to those wind anomalies currently. It's nice to see the Indonesian waters cooling off for a change. The persistent convection in that area probably played a roll in that as well.
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As it stands currently as of this morning.
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That's the wave spacing I'm talking about. This system today is getting out of the way a little quicker. Which helps tomorrow's system. Need that to continue. That allows the heights to rise a bit more between them. Instead of squashing it.
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Be interesting to see if trends continue. The better wave spacing and even slightly better adjustments to the height field recently have been helping. I'm watching the trends with that throughout the day. Nice to see the gfs do well with the idea of a system for a change. Not perfect by any means, but it had the better idea it would seem.
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Not sure if I'd call it that. I'd say 95-96 was the one closest to wall to wall. Like bluewave posted. 02-03 was a good one though.
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00z EPS mid month
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It's come NW for the past 4 runs. Including this one. Which started basically as nothing 4 runs ago. So that's interesting alone. Better wave spacing each time.
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Blend that gfs with today's European for the 7th, that wouldn't be half bad for most.
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Yeah, what was that lol. GFS Being stubborn with this thing. Might have to check out the 18z euro
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Yeah, I was just about to post that lol. MJO looks good too on this run. Approved.
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Here's where we leave off at the end of today's EPS
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Yeah, it looks like that one is going to set up the baroclinic zone for this one. So what happens with that one is going to be important for storm track. A bit more blocking would be nice as you mention. Kind of surprised to see that solution today TBH.
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At this range, the mean is in a good spot. That's more important for now.
