EasternLI
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Everything posted by EasternLI
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No. The energy is hanging back in the SW messing up the phase. So the storm doesn't get a chance to amplify on the east coast. Heights stay flatter in the east and everything happens too late. If at all. We want the energy in the SW to be more progressive. We're going the other direction right now with that feature.
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This is what happens when the vort digs into the SW too much. It messes up the phase. Everything becomes more progressive. That could ruin this whole thing. Northern stream is ready to play ball. But it can't do it all alone.
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Oh it happens. Just nobody usually cares.
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Yeah, I agree. If that trend reverses watch out.
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Not a fan of the vort dragging it's heels in the SW more. Would like that trend to cease and desist. Northern stream looks good though.
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Last 5 runs of the gfs. Let's see what the euro does today. Whoever is saying it's over, that's cool. No need to hang around here then, right?
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Didn't like that gfs run. Looked a bit worse early on. Tried to wrap up a little quicker in the end, but not a good run there.
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Nobody should be thinking about accumulations at all until we can figure out the evolution of this thing.
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Yeah, Rgem a tick more progressive than 06z. More interested in what the gfs does though.
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That's insanity. That's a good way to start off 12z.
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Nam euro blend would be great thx. It's the nam, but trends early on were favorable. That matters.
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Ooof
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Much Much better.
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Nam looks a bit better to me at 500 at hr36. Like to see where that goes. Still very early though.
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Still a lot of spread for my liking. But you can see a lot of them show something similar to the op. With different placements. Hopefully we can narrow this down more through the day in a favorable direction.
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It was actually a very slight tick west. Just want to see it continue to hold serve and get everything else to come around. That was great to see.
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Just wow if the euro has the right idea.
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Reminds me of that 2018? Bomb cyclone a bit in that regard.
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06z euro looks like a beast.
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I'm not going to be confident about anything with this sucker until I'm watching radar. We need to keep watching future model runs. Trends today will be important.
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GFS trend, last 4 runs. Let's capture this thing.
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Here's a couple probability maps from the 00z eps run. 6+ and 12+ Still a couple days of model runs left... little confidence how this exactly plays out yet.
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Yes it does.
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