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Everything posted by EasternLI
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Eversourse takes the cake. Easily. I've spent some time in connecticut.
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This picture of Bigfoot hitching a ride on the Loch Ness monster with a UFO watching could provide insight.
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That trailing vort has been trending stronger. That's going to be something to watch on models over the weekend. How that plays out.
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I'm actually still pretty interested in this. Even with no shot of snow IMBY. It's still going to be an anomalous storm system. The wind aspect is a bit troubling if it can mix down efficiently. I hope you folks in the interior can get some front end snow out of it though too. Even though the setup is, let's say, less than ideal.
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Haha it's just all in good fun. Nothing more. Seemed like an appropriate time.
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If that trailing shortwave comes in any stronger, this thing could actually amp up a bit further west than shown now too. That thing is still offshore. Will be onshore for tomorrow's model runs.
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You're actually sucking up tropical moisture into this thing. Check out the moisture feed. This image also helps to show how WNY is under the gun for the most snow with this. If you look closely at the wind barbs, the 850 jet grinds to a halt around Binghamton. So in simple terms the moisture piles up, is lifted and is dumped as snow on WNY. This is another illustration of why mid level low tracks are very important as well. Instead of the little red L on surface maps.
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^ That's the shortwave thats the biggest problem with this thing. You can see how it just dives in and tilts the whole system west.
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Next weekend is still a period of interest. But it's tough to be enthused with the way things have gone.
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Only way I could see any meaningful changes one way or another, is if changes occur with handling that northern vort digging in on the backside. It's still out in the Pacific. But that just seems like a long shot TBH.
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Yup, agree. It's been a wild ride watching how this thing has emerged. Just need to keep watching things. I feel like something will pop up next week at some point on models. Gotta get this thing out of the way first though.
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Keep an eye on next weekend. Especially after this stemwinder gets out of the way. Nothing is going to blatantly stick out from long range in this type of pattern IMO. But there's something there.
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Welcome back to the 80s vibes thus far.
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You're seeing dual lows on that from some solutions. I said nothing about actual effects anywhere. Good grief. Just my read on the output. Nobody is trying to take your snow away.
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Here's the EPS 12z. I feel like we're coming really close to model concensus today. Powerful storm, inside runner track.
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Convection. That's why I think you see those lows off shore on the GEFS. While the main area of low pressure is still riding up just inland. Where the best dynamics are. Meso lows offshore. That's my take.
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This is a nice level headed view of the situation IMO. I agree with this approach.
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