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kvskelton

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About kvskelton

  • Birthday 11/02/1964

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KTRI
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Kingsport, TN

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  1. Looking at the origin point of that return I immediately thought of the Bays Mt Reservoir that sits on top of the mountain. Lake effect virga? I, too, thought it was strange occurring on that side of the mountain. @Carvers Gap I knew that would be in your neighborhood! If the black SUVs show up, get downtown and I'll hide you at my office! It was nice to meet you face to face a couple years ago. It is indeed a small world!
  2. MRX has issued a WWA for part of the forum area in regards to this system. --------------------- URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Morristown TN 318 PM EST Wed Jan 17 2024 TNZ012>017-035>040-042-044-046-067-069-070-073-181000- /O.NEW.KMRX.WW.Y.0003.240119T0000Z-240120T0000Z/ Scott TN-Campbell-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins-Sullivan-Morgan- Anderson-Union-Grainger-Hamblen-Northwest Cocke-Northwest Greene- Washington TN-Northwest Carter-Roane-Knox-Jefferson-North Sevier- Including the cities of Big South Fork National, Oneida, Smokey Junction, Elgin, Huntsville, Norma, Slick Rock, Fincastle, La Follette, Elk Valley, Jellico, White Oak, Caryville, Royal Blue, Lone Mountain, Sandlick, Springdale, Arthur, Harrogate-Shawanee, Clairfield, Howard Quarter, Evanston, Sneedville, Treadway, Kyles Ford, Mooresburg, Kingsport, Bristol TN, South Holston Dam, Pine Orchard, High Point, Petros, Oak Ridge, Clinton, Maynardville, Norris Lake, Paulette, Rose Hill, Sharps Chapel, Luttrell, Bean Station, Alpha, Morristown, Russellville, Bybee, Newport, Greeneville, Johnson City, Elizabethton, Harriman, Eagle Furnace, Rockwood, Bradbury, Fairview, Kingston, Oliver Springs, Bearden, Knoxville, Lake Forest, Jefferson City, Strawberry Plains, Chestnut Hill, Dandridge, White Pine, Harrisburg, Kodak, McMahan, Sevierville, Seymour, and Pigeon Forge 318 PM EST Wed Jan 17 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THURSDAY TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Northern and central portions of East Tennessee. * WHEN...From 7 PM Thursday to 7 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. && $$
  3. Thanks PV. That makes perfect sense. I allowed myself to get distracted last night with holiday preparations and wasn't paying attention to RadarScope.
  4. Was surprised to find a solid dusting at my place in the Colonial Heights area of Kingsport this morning. Nothing on the roads but more white than grass in the area yards. That changed quickly as I drove into Kingsport for work, as most other areas had little or no accumulation on my way into downtown. We must have just caught a good squall at my location. Still, a nice beginning to Christmas week!
  5. Thunder overhead in downtown Kingsport. I'm sure there's an old Wive's Tale about "Thunder in December" but I'm unsure what that would entail. With my luck maybe "unexpected appearances by an ex-wife" or "leaky head gaskets by Christmas" or some such. Shame my old Mamaw isn't here to enlighten me to the portent of this storm!
  6. Seemed to weaken a touch just prior to getting to my location. Still a strong storm but it seems the tornadic activity was no longer being seen on radar by the time it reached here. Have to admit, seeing that tornado symbol heading toward me on Radarscope was a bit unsettling! Sent from my SM-G781V using Tapatalk
  7. We're hunkering down in Colonial Heights. Looks to be headed this way according to Radarscope. Y'all be safe!
  8. Currently in Halls. Barely got the front yard mowed before the pop up storm hit. It had been thundering for about 20 minutes beforehand. (And I hate working outside when it's thundering) Had a few hits of pea sized hail with the initial storm. Unnervingly quiet now as we wait on the main line to move in. Sent from my SM-G781V using Tapatalk
  9. This is my second biggest concern for our area, just behind downed trees causing power outages. Crashing temps causing a "flash freeze" would spell disaster in general but especially on the roads. I have a friend coming from Atlanta today and my brother is driving back from Indiana as I type. I've told them both to be in place before midnight if possible. Hopefully traffic will have decreased somewhat by the time it arrives in our part of the Valley. I hope everyone (i.e., the general public) is up to date on things and are planning accordingly but honestly how many folks are keeping up with the storm the way we are? Speaking of which, thanks to y'all for the great coverage...as always!
  10. Hoping the rapidly intensifying cold can overcome the Eastman Dome.
  11. Unfortunately it's not really that surprising, nor has it been for quite a while. When you figure in warm nose, dry slotting and the dreaded "cold chasing rain" that always seems to plague parts of the valley (not to mention the various micro climates and the dreaded "Eastman Dome"), big hitters are usually a gamble in our area. And each part of the valley has its own set of unique circumstances that factor into the results of each system. Basically, a lot of things have to go right for us to get a wide spread "big dog." I'm an old guy (well, 57) and remember when 6" snows were the norm, not the exception. And while yes, wide spread 8" snows are rare these days, Kingsport had over 9" on 9 DEC 2018. My advice is hang on, don't live and die by the next model run (not saying you are, just saying to folks in general) and enjoy whatever comes. Yes, we may miss out but someone in our forum area will probably jackpot with this one. I'm happy for them and know that eventually we'll get our turn. Of course I was 29 when the Blizzard of 93 hit, so I've got no right to hope for snow the rest of my life!
  12. Having the same problems with Radarscope in regards to the Morristown MRX radar. Latest reading is over 2 hours old, while Nashville MRX reading is current. Poor time for this to happen.
  13. What a perfect segue into another episode of Story Time with the Old Surveyor. About a dozen years ago I was behind a surveying instrument as we did a topographical survey in the Bays Mountain area of Kingsport. It was late spring and the weather had turned nice, though the leaves were barely budding out. I was on a slope of about 30 degrees or so. Focused on the rodmen, I had this strange sensation that I was being watched. After a moment I looked to my right (down slope). About 75 yards away, with her back up against an old hickory stump was a goodly sized black bear. She was sitting on her haunches and her eyes were locked on me. That was pretty unnerving...but what really got my heart racing were the two cubs playing at her feet! Needless to say, the surveying instrument was left behind as everyone made a quick exit until she and her youngin's made a leisurely departure. I've had encounters with lots of wildlife during 30 years of surveying, but that one really got my attention.
  14. SPC AC 250559 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1259 AM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021 Valid 251200Z - 261200Z ...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL...EASTERN AND NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI INTO NORTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND SOUTHERN TENNESSEE... ...SUMMARY... A tornado outbreak is expected today into early this evening across parts of the Southeast northward into the Tennessee Valley. Several long-track strong tornadoes, destructive winds and very large hail are forecast from the Lower Mississippi Valley, eastward across parts of the Southeast and northward into the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys. ...Tornado Outbreak Expected Across Parts of the Southeast and Tennessee Valley Today into Early This Evening... ...Southeast/Tennessee and Ohio Valleys... A potent shortwave trough and an associated 75 to 90 kt mid-level jet will eject quickly northeastward across the southern Plains today. At the surface, a low will move northeastward and deepen across the Arklatex and mid Mississippi Valley today. Strong moisture advection will take place in the lower Mississippi Valley as a 50 to 65 kt low-level jet strengthens. Surface dewpoints will increase into the 65 to 70 F degree range by late morning throughout much of eastern Louisiana, Mississippi and western Alabama. The low-level moisture combined with surface heating will result in a moderately unstable and volatile airmass by late morning. A band of strong large-scale ascent, in advance of the shortwave trough, will move quickly northeastward across the Arklatex this morning. Convection appears likely to initiate around midday ahead of this band of ascent from southeast Arkansas southward into northeast Louisiana and eastward into southwest Mississippi. This cluster of thunderstorms is expected to organize and rapidly intensify, moving northeastward across central and northern Mississippi into northwestern Alabama during the afternoon. Moderate instability, strong deep-layer shear and impressive amount of lift on a large scale will be favorable for widespread severe thunderstorm development, and a tornado outbreak is expected. RAP and NAM Forecast soundings this afternoon across the warm sector from central Mississippi northeastward into northwest Alabama show an impressive environment for severe storms. MLCAPE is forecast to increase into the 2000 to 3000 J/kg range across much of central and northern Mississippi by midday. Surface winds are forecast to become backed to the south-southeast across the eastern half of Mississippi. This combined with 60 kt of flow near 850 mb will result in 0-3 km storm relative helicities in the 400 to 500 m2/s2 range. In addition, the progressive nature of the mid-level jet will be optimal for the development of tornadic storms. Supercells are forecast to develop rapidly after initiation across central Mississippi early this afternoon and move quickly north-northeastward into northeast Mississippi. Significant tornado parameter is forecast to increase to near ten across northeast Mississippi and northwest Alabama by 21Z, making conditions very favorable for long-track strong tornadoes. As the low-level jet consolidates and couples with the progressive mid-level jet, a violent long-track tornado will be possible. The cluster of severe thunderstorms is expected to move from parts of northern Mississippi and northern Alabama into the Tennessee Valley late this afternoon and early this evening. Supercells and bowing line segments will likely be severe, producing wind damage, tornadoes and large hail. Hailstones greater than 2 inches in diameter may occur with the stronger updraft cores. The wind damage threat is forecast to become more widespread as a squall line organizes along a cold front in the Mississippi Valley. This line of severe storms is forecast to move quickly eastward across the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys this evening, producing widespread wind damage. Wind gusts of greater than 65 knots will be possible. Further north in areas near the Ohio River, instability is forecast to be considerably weaker than in areas to the south. In spite of the weaker instability, enhanced lift and strong deep-layer shear will make severe storms possible. As storms move north-northeastward across the Ohio Valley this evening, isolated large hail and wind damage will accompany supercells and bow echoes. An isolated tornado threat will also exist. ..Broyles/Cook.. 03/25/2021 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z CURRENT UTC TIME: 1157Z (7:57AM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
  15. I don't know, Carver's; looking at that map we may be in he best spot possible! Is that area of less zr from Johnson City to near Wytheville caused by the warm air taking longer to be scoured out after being trapped by the front or are the Apps wringing out moisture? Or the TEC dome? Oh and be sure to get yourself something REAL nice! Holston, in case you didn't hear that full story, that was an actual announcement made on the radio (WQUT) several times during the Blizzard of 93! I'm honored that Stovepipe keeps it alive in his signature!
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