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About kvskelton

- Birthday 11/02/1964
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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
KTRI
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Gender
Male
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Location:
Kingsport, TN
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Tornado Warning just west of Kingsport. Tornado Warning TNC059-073-163-179-VAC169-282045- /O.NEW.KMRX.TO.W.0003.260728T2006Z-260728T2045Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Morristown TN 406 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026 The National Weather Service in Morristown has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Southwestern Sullivan County in east Tennessee... Northeastern Hawkins County in east Tennessee... Northwestern Washington County in east Tennessee... Northeastern Greene County in east Tennessee... South central Scott County in southwestern Virginia... * Until 445 PM EDT. * At 406 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Surgoinsville, or 13 miles west of Gate City, moving southeast at 25 mph. HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Surgoinsville around 410 PM EDT. Kingsport around 420 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Telford, Sullivan Gardens, Fall Branch, Leesburg, Mount Carmel, Okolona, Limestone, Church Hill, and Bays Mountain Park. This includes the following highways... Interstate 26 in Tennessee between mile markers 3 and 17. Interstate 81 in Tennessee between mile markers 43 and 59. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 3640 8237 3619 8262 3657 8289 3659 8284 3659 8288 3660 8287 3665 8279 TIME...MOT...LOC 2006Z 314DEG 22KT 3657 8281 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...1.00 IN $$ DH
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Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
kvskelton replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Not an actual ob, per se, but my son (who works there) just let me know that ETSU is closing at 2pm. -
582 FXUS64 KMRX 281732 AFDMRX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Morristown TN 1232 PM EST Wed Jan 28 2026 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1229 PM EST Wed Jan 28 2026 - It will be dry but temperatures will remain below normal today through Thursday. - Snow is increasingly likely Friday afternoon through Saturday, especially in the eastern and northeastern portions of the region. - Arctic cold will return for the weekend. .DISCUSSION... We remain under broad eastern CONUS troughing aloft, with surface high pressure currently over our region. This set up will keep us dry but with below normal temperatures through Thursday night. By Friday, models are in general agreement that a strong short wave will be diving southeast out of the Plains, cutting off by Saturday as it tracks over our area and then lifting off to our northeast Sunday. A weak surface low pressure system is forecast to develop near the northern Gulf and then move east and offshore the SE coast before strengthening rapidly as it tracks to the northeast off the East Coast. This system will bring at least some light snow to the area, and in this case precipitation type is not in question but the uncertainty lies in how much snow will fall. Right now it appears we will have light snow begin to show up Friday especially north as we see weak isentropic lift out ahead of the main system. Then, as the upper low approaches and the upper jet to its south noses in, we will see a period of upper divergence that will enhance snow chances. Of course, the exact track of the upper low and the surface low to our SE and E will be critical, and the models often struggle with these details even just a few days out. Right now, the best chances for significant snow accumulations look to be over our eastern and northern areas. Currently, NBM probability data shows around a 40% to 60% chance of 72 hour snowfall exceeding 4 inches by Sunday morning across our northern and central mountains as well as eastern portions of the NE TN valley and SW VA, and a 20% to 50% chance of exceeding 2 inches of snow across much of the central valley, northern Plateau, and western portions of NE TN. Orographically enhanced snow showers may linger into Sunday across the normally favored terrain as well. The other story for the weekend will be the cold. Another surge of arctic air will rush in on north and northwest winds, and high temperatures Saturday will struggle to get above the lower 20s even in the valleys. Low temperatures Saturday night will be in the single digits in most areas. Wind chill values will dip into the single digits in the valleys with well below zero values at times in the higher terrain as well Friday night through Saturday night. Sunday will likely see temperatures remaining below freezing for nearly all of the area, and Sunday night will to be very cold as well. Models are in general agreement that we will see height rises aloft and gradually moderating temperatures Monday through Wendesday. There is poor agreement on additional waves that may bring precipitation, but there is at least a modicum of agreement for more precipitation chances arriving by Wednesday. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1229 PM EST Wed Jan 28 2026 VFR conditions expected through the period, besides a brief TEMPO for MVFR CIGs at TRI this afternoon. Winds will be gusty at TRI this afternoon through early evening with gusts to around 24kts out of the west. Otherwise, mostly quiet conditions through the next 24 hours. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Chattanooga Airport, TN 22 42 26 43 / 0 0 0 20 Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN 20 39 25 40 / 0 0 0 30 Oak Ridge, TN 19 38 24 40 / 0 0 0 30 Tri Cities Airport, TN 14 34 21 37 / 0 10 0 50 && .MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NC...NONE. TN...NONE. VA...NONE. && $$ DISCUSSION...99 AVIATION...99
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6z Euro appears to be underway once more on Pivotal. Just FYI.
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Not sure if the 6z model froze at hour 57 but the Euro results on pivotal sure did! Sent from my SM-S926U using Tapatalk
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kvskelton started following January 2026 Short/Medium Range Thread
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Maybe just a touch between hours 72 and 75? Regardless, that would be brutal for Chattanooga if that GFS run verifies.
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Amen, brother. Hope you get well soon, John.
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Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
kvskelton replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I, for one, am always lurking around here during severe and winter seasons, John. You might say I'm like athletes foot; you can get rid of me but I keep coming back. So bring on the clown maps, dry slots, warm noses and cold rain! I'm ready for winter in the Valley! -
Sounded like someone was landing a jet in my wife's back yard this morning. Now being reported as a 4.1 centered near Maryville. https://earthquakelist.org/news/2025/05/10/m4-1-earthquake-the-united-states-1104168/ Sent from my SM-S926U using Tapatalk
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Guilty as charged!
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A couple quick photos I took this morning on my way into the office about 6:50am. Market Street and then Broad Street in downtown Kingsport. More just to show the conditions than for their artistic or aesthetic value.
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Same here. Just walked outside in Kingsport to warm my car up before work and was shocked to see about a half inch of snow on everything and light snow still falling. Roads haven't been touched. Might be an interesting ride to work!
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
kvskelton replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Brightridge reporting 390 outages involving over 4000 customers. They cover the Colonial Heights area of Kingsport, as well as Johnson City.- 688 replies
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Summer-Fall 2024 Weather Disco Med/Long Range
kvskelton replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I have to admit, in nearly 60 years of being on this rock I don't think I've ever seen this notation in a NWS forecast for any of our surrounding area:- 688 replies
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