batmanbrad
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Everything posted by batmanbrad
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
batmanbrad replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
it's... ALIVE! Everything seems to be congealing from MoCo on west towards the stuff back in Loudoun county.- 2,790 replies
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
batmanbrad replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
the blob is not in any big hurry, if it stays together there will be some decent rainfall totals for those underneath it. Cell movement started out S briefly, has gradually turned left and is now reported as a slight ENE movement, such as it is. Edit: plus there could be a bit of training effect if/when the stuff further west comes though.- 2,790 replies
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
batmanbrad replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
and as Kmlwx predicted, MoCo cell now warned- 2,790 replies
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
batmanbrad replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
TVS sig on it too for now on RadarScope edit: oops, that's TVS for the cell out near Charles Town- 2,790 replies
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
batmanbrad replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
yes quite the red/green couplet of sorts spreading out rapidly, that cell sure developed in a hurry, wonder if some sort of boundry triggered it, but I can't see anything leading up to it that would be an obvious cause.- 2,790 replies
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
batmanbrad replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
cell developing just SE of Pooleville, if it holds together it could impact the Germantown/Gaithersburg/Rockville area. this is out ahead of the main area back towards Winchester so it's not "competing" against anything else for the moment.- 2,790 replies
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
batmanbrad replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
still trying... decent looking cell just popped up quickly in the Rockville area, may or may not have been influenced by a boundary.- 2,790 replies
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
batmanbrad replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
noticed that the SLGT risk area for today was nudged north and east into the immediate DC metro areas on the 9AM morning outlook. Discussion still seemed kind of muted though.- 2,790 replies
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an occasional small rumble of thunder here and there in Gaithersburg (near Laytonsville), and lots of heavy rain. Guess I can skip the planned lawn watering today.
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
batmanbrad replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
cell developing just to the NE of Laytonsville, moving ENE, just missed me of course.- 2,790 replies
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
batmanbrad replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
satellite loop definitely showing the fairly rapid clearing taking place ahead of the lines of storms out to the west towards Harrisonburg. Still holding out some hope for some action here in Gaithersburg if enough insolation can occur to destabilize us more.- 2,790 replies
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
batmanbrad replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Per vis loop, the clouds over the mountains to our west appear to be thinning out some, and further west, most of West Virginia looks quite cleared out.- 2,790 replies
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Still coming down decently here in the Gaithersburg/Montgomery Village/Laytonsville area... thought it would stop earlier but those waves keep coming up from the south, seeming like some backbuilding of sorts going on. Will eventually move out but for now persistence rules.
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
batmanbrad replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
wow, rather substantial size for this watch box: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0159.html- 2,790 replies
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
batmanbrad replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
My phone just gave me a notification of a severe thunderstorm watch being issues for much of the area... this following the meso discussion issued about 1/2 hour ago.- 2,790 replies
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or maybe for guessing how much earlier than normal the cherry trees will be in full bloom?
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oh yes we are. It's just that we're getting 1-2... snowflakes
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I'm sure Cantore is already trying to figure out where the best thundersnow chances are... or maybe he'll just go out to Nags Head think there'll be a late 'cane around there next week and get caught in a snowstorm instead that will miss our area and dump down that way.
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Is it coincidence (or not) that you mention "hopefully this time we score" and "the Pamela Anderson bust" in the same message? Speaking of DT, his latest Twitter posts feature a lot of WOOFing over the 12/23 threat...
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So from this map, instead of the DC Snow Hole, we have the FairfaxCo/MoCo/HoCo/Baltimore ZR Hole!
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yes, if I'm in the Tampa/Clearwater/St Pete area I'm not liking this run, if it jogs slightly more east that area will be in the worst area (RFQ) of the cane.
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the short trip over the western part of Cuba certainly had little negative affect on the system, not a good sign for wherever in the Gulf it heads for.
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looking at Pivotal, on the Euro hi-res, system at 00Z on 9/27 is already 12mb stronger compared with the same timeframe on the 0Z run (990mb vs. 1002mb) edit: also moving faster than the 00Z run, approaching the western tip of Cuba already as of 9/27 06Z on the latest euro hires run.
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2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
batmanbrad replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
so what are the odds of a pity MD (a MD for Md., ha!) in the next hour or so? -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
batmanbrad replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
looks like a little bit of training cell stuff setting up WSW to ENE heading in the general direction of MoCo, not sure if it will maintain itself, but if it fills in/enhances, the flood threat could develop.