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cleetussnow

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Everything posted by cleetussnow

  1. cleetussnow
    Bullshit.
  2. cleetussnow
    Adding to this: First, the cutter is a huge storm. Watch what it does on the GFS on tropical - hit PLAY on this map on the link and you can see in motion how the whole eastern half of the US is impacted by this thing. GFS Model – 500mb Height & MSLP for CONUS | Tropical Tidbits It ultimately acts as a 'gear' helping pull cold down in the eastern 1/3 of the US. Exactly HOW that low amplifies the pattern is whats at stake. A Met will chime in right now and correct me.
  3. cleetussnow
    That is exactly where all of the weenies go.
  4. cleetussnow
    word has it the EPS still has it
  5. cleetussnow
    How's the 20-22nd looking on the Euro?
  6. cleetussnow
    Euro be like...
  7. cleetussnow
    we don't want the PV sitting over our heads. Cold and DRY.
  8. cleetussnow
    I think the 16th storm is going to be wobbly until after the cutter this weekend.
  9. cleetussnow
    December 2020 interior, Binghamton add that. 4 feet OTG IIRC! Pretty sure superstorm over the interior somewhere
  10. cleetussnow
    Yeah and a mention of the Super Storm. I bricked up reading it.
  11. cleetussnow
    I was thinking this. The cutters are change agents to a degree, and I don't know if it's the case, but perhaps the 2 cutters in a row are in tandem pattern drivers, not just the one coming up. I can see the cold load out west after the first one, and reload there and press east with the second one, so maybe that's a fact? Is that what's happening?
  12. cleetussnow
    Yeah I feel like that's what happens. We get a period of cold which delivers a couple of nickle and dimers and then a big dog. Perhaps this all goes down in the next 2-3 weeks. I'd sign on for that and take my chances the rest of winter and I'm sure a lot of people here would do so as well.
  13. cleetussnow
    Wait...we're not disrobing? Um ok...gimme a sec...
  14. cleetussnow
    Agree. I am going through the GFS Op and already looks good at 144 with a more positive tilt. This could be fun to track and I am already in the op runs myself. Edit - I need to wait a few more frames on the 12Z run before opening my yap. Doesn't tilt quite like 6z, or how I thought it would.
  15. cleetussnow
    I'm like OH NO there's TWO? But we love MetFan. We have room for 2.
  16. cleetussnow
    Looks like you got it covered! Tip can take a break on this one.
  17. cleetussnow
    All done. Good little wintry storm. Like 2.5 inches of slop OTG north of HPN but probably 4 to 5 actually fell if I was doing a snowboard.
  18. cleetussnow
    Another snow burst here of mod snow. Looks like 20 to 30 minutes left before the precip cuts off. This has been a pleasant storm here because we did not get much if any rain north of HPN. I’ll be sad to see it wash away so quick esp. since the next 10 days do not look promising, in fact the opposite as it stands. Longer term is a crap shoot.
  19. cleetussnow
    I was at Stowe - -30. There was a cold outbreak the week after Christmas that winter as well, though not as severe.
  20. cleetussnow
    A lot of models show light snow until like mid afternoon tomorrow. Not much I’m sure, but its there.
  21. cleetussnow
    Nothing beats a good snow light during a storm. I need to get a good one set up and not piss off my neighbors.
  22. cleetussnow
    More Upton disco re: tomorrow Otherwise, an elongated area of low pressure passes to the south and east of the area tonight into Sunday. Bulk of the precip will occur the first half of tonight, but a mid-level shortwave trough will result in deepening of the surface low just off the southern New England coast on Sunday. This will keep the area under mainly light precipitation, but there is a chance for a heavier band of snow on the backside of the system, especially eastern areas. Even coastal locations should go back to all snow by early Sunday afternoon.
  23. cleetussnow
    Exactly what I’m thinking at this point
  24. cleetussnow
    I’m at about 3 inches here north west of HPN.
  25. cleetussnow
    In fact they do Otherwise, models remain in agreement that low pressure passes to our south tonight and just NW of the 40N/70W benchmark Sunday morning. Bulk of the precip will occur through tonight, but PVA aloft interacting with a surface trough on the backside of the storm brings additional, but lighter precip during the day Sunday.
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