cleetussnow

I see you are on fire in this thread...but...bh. The bold there. How can that be? Shall I just fade all of the LR forecasts and be right more than wrong? That is what success would look like. Not much of a forecast if it's worse than a coin flip. A lot of people in here are disbelievers in the LR forecasts and models until they see the whites of the snowflakes. I myself am coming around to the year-end changes but my faith in anything past day 10 is very limited for good reason, and that may be that you are somewhat correct: Long range is more often wrong than right. So, in that case, the skeptics are on the right side of the trade, no? That would be rational.

Especially on Venus!

They should have switched to solar. Those poor people.

Blech

Punt type winter in the offing until I see something inside of 10. Right now it appears to be outside the 20.

Keep rolling and there are 2 more. No sign of winter on the op run. Tenor of the season I’m afraid.

CT river valley jacks.

This looks like shit:

We are already seeing can kicking. It seems like once that starts, it persists. We are already talking a month push back on any favorable pattern. Yeah, then it's Spring, or supposed to be, when the PV splits.

Totally. Its like rooting for a bad football team early in the season and thinking this is the year if….and then the season depends on a heap of ifs and buts and thats as good as ever gets.

Public schools strike again. Damn.

Right in the GFS’ wheelhouse…

So basically the 384 GFS verifies

Ugh. Army Navy game is in Foxboro. One of those times the fix is in.

Farted?

Lets just beat Navy and get the Commanders Cup! Can’t wait.

Spent veterans day with these dudes and dudettes. Got cold when the sun went down.

JHC.

Eh. I think he leans into CC every time we have a warm spell and lets face it, there a lot of warm spells to chirp over. Gets old. However when it comes to a winter storm he will call balls and strikes fairly. Good met, if a little cantankerous.

But you can still say you got hurt skiing. Unlike, say, breaking your arm while taking out the garbage.

Rossby wave - Wikipedia

Which doesn't match this: just throw darts i guess.