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cleetussnow

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Everything posted by cleetussnow

  1. cleetussnow
    Seasonal forecasts have little to no skill at this range. Its a crap shoot, but I feel like a solid few weeks of winter vibe is in the cards. Maybe a storm in lala land will verify for once.
  2. cleetussnow
    And interesting and sad highlight for the weenies in southern Alabama. They should expect below average snow. Snowfall down there is virtually zero. So - that means, negative snow! Accutrash is predicting negative snowfall. Are they supposed to produce snowfall to cover the deficit? I am a little more suspicious than usual.
  3. cleetussnow
    Accutrash came out with their winter forecast. Headline says cold and snow with northeasters, but actually predicts much below normal snow for the major EC cities. So we get the hype click bait and then switch. Got it. Since I think they suck, and they do, I’m going with that they bust somehow. Accuweather.com
  4. cleetussnow
    Burn your snow stake please.
  5. cleetussnow
    Right up until the line forms on the GW bridge every damn week
  6. cleetussnow
    Excellent. That would be a welcome outcome.
  7. cleetussnow
    If we can get a sign up sheet for 3/4 of normal snow, I think most of us would sign on for that. A couple moderate storms and a major, then some mood flakes and whiteners here and there. All day long. Not asking for a lot here….
  8. cleetussnow
    Bullshit
  9. cleetussnow
    Usual screw zones…
  10. cleetussnow
    I was talking about like, the middle of the Sahara desert, the south pole, top of the Himalayas, bottom of the atlantic. Wasnt a climate remark. most famines in the last 100 years are caused by wars and other types of political unrest such as happened in China after Mao took over. Not commonly due to weather, not anymore. Famines are less common now than the last say, the last 200,000 years of human history thanks to technology.
  11. cleetussnow
    There are multiple unlivable conditions all over the world already. Which is why people don’t live there. Never have.
  12. cleetussnow
    Both will be wrong.
  13. cleetussnow
    Accuweather said 13 to 18 named.
  14. cleetussnow
    Thats what I think. Standard, council approved winter. No frills but it’ll do just fine.
  15. cleetussnow
    I was at an event thing last week in LA. An accuweather presenter (I think their head met) there said they were sticking to 13 to 18 named storms. But 13 storms aren’t walking through that door, much less 18.
  16. cleetussnow
    Ok the ssts are like footprints. Something is making the footprints - ssts depicted aren’t derived in a vacuum. Unless they are and that’s why seasonal models utterly suck.
  17. cleetussnow
    Hold up. We cancel winter on a 6 month snow map but we toss 5 day snow maps. Got it.
  18. cleetussnow
    Trynna picture what happened between the 2nd and third frame lol
  19. cleetussnow
    I think climate change has been taken into account as a factor, without the climate dynamics at play really being understood. A bias has emerged in hurricane seasonal forecasts, which maybe works for winter forecasts 7 times in 10 and that makes sense, but hurricane seasonals have not verified 7 in 10 this century so far. Go back to the drawing board and work out a new method is my suggestion. This isn’t the first bust of a dramatic hurricane season prognostication.
  20. cleetussnow
    Question, and because I don’t have a clue: why do we say warm waters = increased hurricane activity? Don’t we need a temp delta to generate storms, regardless of a ‘warm’ state? Meaning - warm, normal, or cold, isn’t a big air/water temp delta the driver? Is that true? Hurricane seasonal forecasts have not been great over the last 25 years IIRC.
  21. cleetussnow
    This was supposed to be an epic season full of majors. Meh.
  22. cleetussnow
    Shes got him in rear naked choke
  23. cleetussnow
    Who knew summer would be reduced to 2 months. I can tell you, no one.
  24. cleetussnow
    I saw another tonight - north northeast of me 9:30 ish.I wasn’t really watching the sky this time but happened to catch it. It probably is a busy sky this week if you can patiently watch. There is a lot of light pollution up here still (Mohonk area) so star gazing is kinda disappointing generally.
  25. cleetussnow
    Funny - I wonder if I saw the same one. I am northwest of the city tonight (New Paltz area) and I saw one south and slightly east of me. Maybe that would have appeared wnw of you. Rather bright…showed through a thin cloud. Maybe the same? I’m glad you mentioned it.
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