cleetussnow
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Everything posted by cleetussnow
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For people knowledgeable about air traffic delays etc. for tomorrow due to winds - I got a kid flying in tomorrow at ~7 PM to LGA. Winds aloft (850) look stiff, around 40kts at that time, but 10M winds are down to around 10ish - seemingly a lull between overnight/morning winds, and the wind again picking up Saturday. Any threat in terms of delays with these conditions? Winds are out of the west n. west. it appears. Appreciate any thoughts...
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No models show anything, so thats a good sign.
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At least the wind chimes will offer some useful information
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GFS is a dartboard past day 5. I think it led on one single (minor) event this season.
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LOL
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I had 14
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and…that’s all folks for this forum for the winter season. See ya’ll in the Fall
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Look at that screw zone Iowa, Illinois, Wisconsin. Damn. Winters of yore in these parts though.
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Yeah well the south got revenge on us this year.
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No shit! Preach on!
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This is 7 /8 days out. Not a surprise the models are different. Even if they are the same, means little in terms of actual outcomes. Unless its a cutter.
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One of the NE forum mets had a tally for up closer to 19
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I don’t think thats right.
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A lot of people like those revs. That was the first modern style sled no? I want to say my 800 triple was my favorite sled…if the trails were smooth. I rode in upstate NY so not a thing.
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Even though it’s not a triple phaser?
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Pretty much the same trajectory as me. Not including my 70’s sleds as a poor teenager, I had a 98 Skidoo GT triple - smoothest best engine ever. Then I got a 2007 GTX 600 which was really nice and great with a kid. Then got a ‘ 11 1200 gade which I promptly put a set of walker evans and Fox clickers and that was my last ride. I sold all sleds when my son left for college 2 yrs back but I might get suckered into grabbing a 1200 enduro used if I get a low miles one. I know exactly how I want it set up
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Theres been way worse model busts than that one I can tell you but yeah. Every model last Friday had a coastal on the bullseye or close. Disheartening. You can’t write off the next one because the last one failed. Recency bias.
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Dammit knock it off whoever is drawing these 360 maps. I want out.
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Pilot debrief is also good
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I’s say 12z today was clear. Not one model had it for 24 hrs, many had lost it sooner. -
Gfs has been rock steady since 12z the 13th. Today is the 16th and this is a lot of tracking for a non threat, though most have gone home obviously including some die hards. Morch thread soon?
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Yeah I am in the wrong thread.
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The MJO? This hasn’t equated to storms up here. This storm is not coming back, and increasingly a goner for the mid atlantic.
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I agree totally. We will hit 90s and dews before we see a 2 inch snowfall again. Which is fine. If we get right to green grass and warmth and not have of these awful cold springs…geez.
