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cleetussnow

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Everything posted by cleetussnow

  1. You are a gem. Boys when we kicking off the nominations?
  2. Dead. Not waiting for 0z. This has nothing going for it. It’ll keep tugging on the weenies for a few more runs but not mine.
  3. Not time to throw in the towel just yet - but we should keep em handy
  4. Let's unpack that - low probability there is a biggie present in any form, yes; BUT there is one in the theatre. Rarest of all is for one to form in the first place, but we checked that box. But will the biggie be for the fish to shovel or upright hominids? That question is in the realm of 'normal' probability to ponder.
  5. Tough sell. I'm below normal since November and at my seasonal average snowfall with 15" pack I can nearly walk on in late Jan, peak winter. Missing a super anomaly blizzard doesn't quite make the case. I'm all in on CC, but she's sitting this winter out in our region.
  6. NY metro is the weakest forum of the 3 major ones. Like 5 or 6 regular mets.
  7. Yeah its pretty tightly wound- not sure the precip shield would be that tight though.
  8. For us amateurs, I think posting what the 'perfect' scenario is against the current setup really helps illustrate what it takes from here. I'm looking for Jan 4 2018 as a possible analog
  9. Out west looks similar - but the trough is positive tilt this time out - I posted approx the same time frames on the current 06z GFS 500 and the verified '96 500 vort.
  10. Jan 2018 vibe totally, and that did throw decent snow back to the Hudson valley. Stowe was -30. we went skiing anyway.
  11. I just did some google AI. Average us home’s roof can hold 20lb per square foot load. At a10 to 1 ratio, thats 38.5 inches of snow. So actually your point is valid if we get 2 more feet, assuming all of it is 10 -1 ratio.
  12. It doesn’t get heavier when it melts. The weight will be the same. The fluff we just got has a relatively low water content. 3 feet of concrete snow is a different story, but you’ll likely still be fine anyway. If this storm blows 70 it won’t pile up on the roof as much but you will have plenty of other problems besides your roof.
  13. To be fair, your last snowmap was not dreadful, though it may have been a false positive.
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