Well the cold offered hope and lent credence to the fantasy storms...we don't like to waste the cold.
I like the dec. 2 event. Fade the GFS per usual, blend the Ukie and Euro, and look for gem or something else and that this range, upstate (somewhere) looks good right now. I think there is more wiggle with this possible event for upstate NY than other coastal areas. I'd put a pin near Syracuse.
Full disclosure, i have a camp in old forge so I am a bit bias.