cleetussnow
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Everything posted by cleetussnow
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there was a movie where a character was the san diego met and he just replayed a tape every day for the news hour. Steve Martin was the actor
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same
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Are you the one putting the whammy on this?
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Trough orientation is better, more neutral-ish
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Best comment. One of these models is profoundly wrong. I would be surprised if its the Euro, but the GFS has been relatively steadfast.
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for the nam to cover 200 miles in a 6 hour period is no problem at this range. Which I will add it did today, and why it is toast next year.
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I went from nothing to almost 1.5 inches!!!
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Whats that, a good 400 miles difference?
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It was modelled to happen at 6 days, started to vaporize at 4 days, popped back up as Janice was giving her the update that NYC was getting 2 inches. This is not boxing day.
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Sell western half
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I mean, a later phase is what we have been seeing nearly all day save for a NAM run. So that looks like the logical trend to shed light on the outcome. I don't see models all over the place with random solutions. There is a consistent theme.
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Boxing Day
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2 to 6 as of now. More downside than up.
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Let this run a bit...Keep an eye on the northern stream
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This could be a Jan 4 2018 type deal. Cold and windy (though not as cold). Not huge snows NYC/I-95. Interesting storm tho
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I heard there was dropsound sampling last evening in PAC. I wonder where this information was ingested.
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from inception, the number of days between when this thread started and the storm will exceed the duration of the snowpack from the storm for many. 50s plus next week.
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For sure no. It can miss one and still be overall superior. I am leaning Euro/Nam 60/40
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Not what we wanted to see at this range. I am not sure if there was extra data sampling in the Pacific, but that could mean this shift is real. I put more stock in this than the NAM. With all this divergence we aren't there yet in terms of the right solution.
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the northern stream looks quicker. Let's see what that means...but it will likely be east Trough orientation is more positively tilted...east
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I will remind old timers about the EE rule. When the Euro and ETA were in sync, it was deadly. For the youngins and as a reminder, the ETA is now the NAM. DT is the author of the EE rule, and also the weekend rule, which was uncanny for a long time how often they both worked out. Voodoo? Maybe....
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I live down there (here) so I am hopeful for something. I want to go to my VT camp but a) that may not be the jack, b) if I leave my wife to deal with 20 inches of snow, she will change the locks and arm herself.
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I do feel like the pattern flip will stick starting next week, and we will be dealing with above normal temps for at least 2 weeks, and then looking at March with not much to show for in Feb.
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Upstate NY Banter and General Discussion..
cleetussnow replied to wolfie09's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
All day long with my friends...squib kick it...squib kick it... -
Tomorrow 0z runs are way more important than tonight. Nothing at 18z at this range looks special compared to other guidance before other major storms in the past.
