cleetussnow
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Everything posted by cleetussnow
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Dont let the upstate crew read this...
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the LR isn't great, I mean looking at D10 ish. I am not convinced there is a lot of skill in the models beyond that this season. Heart of winter coming up and its meh looking.
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The consistency is nice...
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Yeah but counting on those at this range is like cashing a 3rd party check from outer Mongolia at the grocery store cash register. It will take a day for those to 'clear.' But hey 100 bucks we can wait a day...
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Thats what she said...
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you must be new here. Welcome
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We want to see the whites of its dendrites before we strip down. Figure tomorrows 0z runs and people will start to get the vibe going.
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The Euro was steady but had biases. We knew how to fade it though.
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It was called King Euro for a long time, until the early 2010s when an upgrade messed it up seemingly.
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The cold air in canada lifts out, then we go zonal. I never trusted the cold looks progged that we were supposed to be in the midst of now, nor do I trust the cold that is supposed to arrive post day 10. Mirages this year.
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GFS is southeast of the NYC metro again with the 7th, but it had the storm at least, unlike 12z which basically lost it.
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No dome. Its like green bay getting a dome. It just cannot be that way.
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This is bad. 2 different teams last week and today.
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Oh yeah...convective feedback. Wasn't that the boxing day-is-a-miarage theory sold on us?
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Could be the ‘old lose it only to bring it back’ re-run. The Euro and GFS operational have done that before big ones many times. Some 18z model run will pick it back up, right? We can hope...we also hope the long range isn't just model shite vapors as they have been so far.
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Cut on the GFS post 1/7 deal. No block.
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Nothing for 1/7 per GFS followed by cutter at 162. No block = cut per GFS.
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Anyone got a clown map?
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Lose it for a couple days and then bring it back for a few cycles before go time. Its how these things go as often as not.
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12z has more of a coastal scraper, mostly due to northern stream energy moving though the st lawrence valley sooner, sharpening up the trough. Decent look coastal plain, not as good interior.
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6z gfs clown bullseyes my camp in VT.
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OK NOW you are trolling. That red tag is getting a brownish tinge.
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CPK hit 56 on jan 9th, and 51 on the 18th. 56 was a daily record which I think still stands. So yeah, no.
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It wasn't wall to wall. There were several thaws.
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Of course not. And that was the thinking before it happened and even right after. It was an anomalous winter and an all time record for NYC. Should not expect 75 inches. Yet other stations in the east have broken their all time records since 1996. DC broke the 1996 record in 2010 for example. Probably never, yes. Never? Probably no.
