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MN Transplant

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Everything posted by MN Transplant

  1. MN Transplant
    Tomorrow's highs look quite cold, the lows are not as impressive.
  2. MN Transplant
    If it comes down to us, there are going to be some pissed weenies that this pattern delivered zilch.
  3. MN Transplant
    -1 point differential and 8-9. They are who they are. Zimmer firing probably gets announced tomorrow.
  4. MN Transplant
    I’ll officially be down to a T on the ground tomorrow morning. 43 and steady rain.
  5. MN Transplant
    Not ZR, but tomorrow unfortunately looks like a snow eater. NAM is 40 and rain and the HRRR takes DC to the mid-40s prior to the front. Hoping the wedge holds more than that, but I’m not encouraged.
  6. MN Transplant
    These are some of the best Digital Snow maps in the past decade.
  7. MN Transplant
    Howard finally won.
  8. MN Transplant
    That tuck and stall is…mwah.
  9. MN Transplant
    Broke below 20, but what a dud of a temp trace.
  10. MN Transplant
    Snowfall for the week. CoCoRahs.
  11. MN Transplant
    Falls Church, VA 1/3/22 - 8.8" 1/7/22 - 2.8" Total: 11.6"
  12. MN Transplant
    2nd best start to a winter by that metric (through 1/7) since moving to my house in 2009. 09/10 - 22.0" 21/22 - 11.6" 13/14 - 6.5"
  13. MN Transplant
    Excellent wintry day with the snow blowing around.
  14. MN Transplant
    That’s strange. They should send out an explanation when something like that happens.
  15. MN Transplant
    Yup. And usually I’m leery of the ASOS precip totals in snowfall, but that was almost dead on with mine (2.8”/0.20).
  16. MN Transplant
    Another factor in the model discussion is the ratios. This was a very high ratio storm around here for us. None of the models really do that well, even using Kuchera. DCA/IAD/BWI were all under .25” of precip. The GFS was by far the worst model in this regard.
  17. MN Transplant
    2.8” new on 0.20” precip in Falls Church, so good ratios. I’ll push back on some of the model commentary. At least around here, the GFS had way too much precipitation. The HRRR was more realistic except for a few runs last night that went too dry. The NAM and Euro were the best on QPF in the DC area.
  18. MN Transplant
    Probably virga to start. Only 0.01" precip by 11pm.
  19. MN Transplant
    NAM 3km looks fine. Everyone N and W of a CHO to Annapolis line looks like 0.25"+ QPF. Pretty intense band at 1-3am.
  20. MN Transplant
    40.2 and the snowpack is struggling.
  21. MN Transplant
    edited!
  22. MN Transplant
    16z HRRR will be the first run that has the entire storm within the 18 hours. The 15z is a minor improvement on the 12z, taking the <0.10" QPF amounts off the table.
  23. MN Transplant
    Nice vertical velocities on the GFS
  24. MN Transplant
    12z HRRR has the dead zone near 95. <0.10" QPF in parts of Fairfax and MoCo. This seems like an extreme solution, but puts a lower bound on the event.
  25. MN Transplant
    Down to 3.5" here on the ground. Undisturbed areas look fine still, but lots of green around footsteps and under trees. Interesting temperature trace last night in parts of our area. My brother's station west of Frederick went from 27 to 45 in less than an hour when the inversion broke. Meanwhile I just bounced between 37 and 40 all night.
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