MN Transplant

SPC talked this morning about how the second round had more upper air support, but the first round would stabilize us. I sure don’t remember many cases where a new round of convection ran into a trailing stratiform region.

We haven’t had a lot of trailing stratoform regions this year.

I’m not desperate for rain, but 0.30” from this radar 40 minutes ago feels like a minor letdown.

I think it is mainly going to follow the outflow boundary and weak westerly winds.

The outflow boundary from the western storms an hour ago is moving through and enhancing everything else. Pretty cool to watch.

And there went the power

Really booming out there. The jump in lightning on the FFX cell was impressive.

Very quick 1-1.5” by Fair Oaks

Severe warning for much of Fairfax Co. Transient downbursts. Starting to rain here. Not sure about the concrete trucks continuing to go to the new infill development around the corner.

Getting close, but you can’t ever trust these pulsing August storms to hold together from one mile to the next.

SPC has us marginal today for downdraft winds. Radar is starting to pop to the west.

Today is the 7th 95+ at DCA. Since the move to the current river location, the long-term average is ~9, so we are probably ahead of pace by a bit, but it is going to start getting tougher to achieve climatologically after this nice cooldown. By all accounts, this is a very average summer. Plain, boring mid-Atlantic hot and humid. In the past 20 years, only 5 summers have had >10 days of 95+, but they were some all-timers. 2012: 29 2010: 27 2011: 24 2016: 23 2019: 15 By the way, 2003 and 2004 had no 95+ days.

DCA to 96. HI 105

96 BWI so far, 94 IAD/DCA. 94.8 at home, but now in and out of clouds halting the rise

Third time’s a charm. Now it is pouring.

I’m not dying for rain like others, but come on

Still firing off of boundaries. A cell going up just S of me where the other one was earlier.

95 DCA 97 IAD 99 BWI 96.3 high of the year at home

Evidently I need you to send it my way! It’s like I can reach out and touch it…

Just south of me. 0.01”. Thunder is loud though.

HI has been to 106 at IAD. That’s pretty damn unpleasant.

BWI 98 so far IAD 96 DCA 93

NAM and HRRR are struggling with the storms up in PA.