
MN Transplant
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Mid-Atlantic forum winter 2021/22 snow totals thread
MN Transplant replied to North Balti Zen's topic in Mid Atlantic
Falls Church, VA 1/3/22 - 8.8" -
My neighbor backed out of his driveway into the street and promptly got stuck. After shoveling himself out, did he cancel whatever outing he had? Nope, just continued on. Some people evidently have different risk tolerances.
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Sorry if I missed it earlier, but the southern DC beltway is a damn mess. https://chart.maryland.gov/video/video.php?feed=3e0012c100f6004f004de33696235daa
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Final 8.8” in Falls Church. This is a lot of snow!
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I'm surprised that you weren't closer to 6". Take a few more measurements.
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Our witch hazel is unrecognizable. I probably should go out and rescue it, though it isn't my favorite.
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Just a tad shy of 6" in Falls Church. Exceeding expectations.
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I haven't even checked the CC! @mattie g approves.
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Another example of trusting the globals on storm track and the mesos on how the precip shield will behave.
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I'm going to enjoy retirement, provided there is still snow to be had in 15-20 years. Just hit 32.0 in Falls Church. HRRR has about .75" for the DC Beltway area for the period from 7am-1pm.
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1.0” in Falls Church 0.36” precip so far snowing steadily, beautiful scene
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46.0/38.5
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Good number. I've been thinking 6".
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The 3km NAM wastes about 0.3" qpf on the front end in DC and still manages to dump ~10"
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It can be nice to get the backup from the global models.
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I noted earlier today that the models with the more northerly precip shield had a low passage between Va. Beach and Hattarras. The HRRR has trended this way.
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This a strange situation where it is 60 degrees within 12 hours of a snow event, and we want to make sure that the cold air doesn’t come in too aggressively and forces the baroclinic zone too far south.
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The low track is pretty crucial for our northern neighbors. The GFS and Euro take the surface low between Hattaras and Va Beach, and they have the further NW extent. The NAM and HRRR are over Hattaras and have a brutal cutoff.
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We just got 18z 3km NAMd.
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NAMs are a bit north of 12z. At least reducing the model spread for DC.