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MN Transplant

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by MN Transplant

  1. 1.87” event total so far. Really unpleasant.
  2. Gotta be skeptical about the GFS throwing that much precip back into the region on Tuesday.
  3. The 3k NAM is what we dream of in winter. What a loop.
  4. 1.05 precip. The winds mainly stayed off the surface, so nothing interesting there.
  5. Most of the models put gusts into the mid-upper 30s across the 95 corridor, but the HRRR is in the 40s.
  6. https://twitter.com/ChadBlue83/status/1575235647316451328?s=20&t=uWRtn95ilk7sgn8YJIVXQw
  7. Searching for Cape Coral news. Not a great time for this tweet.
  8. If you believe the tags, Pelican Bay is about ~13 miles south of Fort Myers Beach. But, Twitter and all.
  9. Sanibel and Fort Myers Beach were always in trouble. I’m more curious about what is happening behind the barrier islands. Especially in the very dense residential areas of Cape Coral.
  10. Winds are really whipping now. Impressed with the camera and connection.
  11. There are still important data to collect for research purposes. As the models get finer and finer resolution, there needs to be observational checks on their output.
  12. You and I had the same idea. Morning vis.
  13. It really isn’t as common of an occurrence as most think. 100s are still special.
  14. Just tell them to park the boat in the Villages. Those folks won't mind.
  15. This is a stupid question, so it stays in banter. Would NHC call a landfall for an eye going over the Dry Tortugas?
  16. I hate to make this point, but we seem to have already escaped the worst-case scenario. If Ian took the track into St. Pete/Clearwater, the surge up Tampa Bay would have been intense. With the storm slipping south, it'll be bad, but not top-tier.
  17. Wondering how hardened the infrastructure is at Dry Tortugas NP. Fort Jefferson will be fine, but the boat landing, etc.
  18. The 06z HWRF is clearly the worst case scenario with the water funneling up Tampa Bay. But it seems to be on the west side of guidance now. Anything that leaves Tampa on the north side of landfall (Sarasota, Venice) would avert a much larger disaster.
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