MN Transplant

In my mind, you have to think about it as shifting the probability distribution. Warming is always going to be on top of an existing mechanism. Tropical is tricky because there is still uncertainty how warming will manifest over the long run. We could get the same number of storms globally, but an increase in strength. Or other factors could intervene. What if a result of warming ends up that the SAL becomes a dominant feature in the Atlantic? Or the SST warming means more storms outside the climatological areas.

0.11” A lot of inconsequential rain events this summer.

Dew points are basically holding.

93.7. Make it stop.

Meanwhile, the HRRR kills off the line prior to 95.

August is the worst

Rooting for the NAM Nest for tomorrow since the long range models look dry.

5 straight 90s at DCA. More to come.

Keeps the mosquitoes happy

Woo

Winning

This last hot stretch is clinching a very slightly above normal August and summer. A lack of big heat is the saving grace.

Curious to see whether this works. From the Arlington tornado day last year (7-1-21). Video to Time Lapse to gif.

The last couple of runs of the GFS are aggressive with the wave coming up on the Windwards.

It is humid again

I got 0.07”, so, success?

Amazing how things get crispy very quickly. Less than an inch of precip over the last two weeks and the lawn completely gave up.

Addendum to the school discussion

Keep it in Texas

Eastern DC getting smacked around again. Amazing.

Any day that stays in the 70s in August is a big win in my book

Still too warm in the direct sunlight, but so much nicer than it has been. 81

Hostas are deer food only, and you can't convince me otherwise. Plenty of tomatoes, but they are sure slow to ripen. Our fig tree is finally grown enough to really start producing.

I think that is MRMS data that LWX plots, but don’t hold me to that. https://mrms.nssl.noaa.gov https://www.arcgis.com/apps/mapviewer/index.html?webmap=318de5dd4d784f72bb96ad2cfddce041 I will say that there is a big fat 1.49” over my house and I got 0.51”, so there are still resolution struggles. I really just prefer CoCoRaHS. https://maps.cocorahs.org

Today is going to end up within a degree of average at DCA. I want it cooler.