Kmlwx

Yep - cannot wait for the first strong cold front to break the back of summer. I know late August is still pretty early...just hoping it's not one of those years where we wait until early October to truly knock down the temps. I'm sure a big front will come through in September - but we can rebound behind those if the return flow and H5 pattern is "right"

September 2097

Definitely one of those events where I remember exactly (with stunning detail) what I was doing when it hit. Derecho in 2012 was another one - as is June 4, 2008.

I heard on WTOP the other day that for 100% completion it could be "another 10 years"

This thread is my signature claim to fame.

It's kind of sad that we could get a day or two relief even during peak heat back in July - but here we are in August with just endless soup air.

Silver Spring (downtown) looks like they are getting dumped on. Very little movement with this activity. Could pose a renewed FF risk if it's not short lived.

The one thing NE has going for them is the geography. Similar to how Hatteras gets hit because it juts out from the coast - similar geography for places like Cape Cod. I imagine if the Delmarva had a big appendage jutting east - the region would have more tropical.

Was driving back from Annapolis this morning - not a fun drive!

The fat lady is warming up.

Still not really much development going on to the south of that line. Nice storm for HGR though it seems.

Parameters remain decent - earlier mesoscale discussion indicates there is still some hope for renewed activity.

Must be a microclimate - cloudy here.

There is likely to be renewed activity. Where exactly that impacts remains to be seen.

Both of those cells look "hooky" on TBWI. They look less good on LWX. But they are definitely "mini"

Watching it on TBWI. It looks like it could be the real thing if it keeps improving. ETA: ARea near Woodstock, MD also now looking interesting on TBWI.

Watch the area near Laurel/Maryland City. There is a hint of something trying there.

This is sort of what I foresee us watching for later on. Again, best odds north of I-70.

We are paying back for the flooding rains in parts of the area the past week or so - and all the pulse severe. In all seriousness - maybe we just bought too heavily into this stuff. Big time pocket of clearing behind this stuff.

16z HRRR buys into the 2nd line later being the dominant one. But it's mainly for I-70 and north.

Though at this moment I'd tend to agree with the doo doo assessment. We'll see how things play out for the remainder of the afternoon. I see a warning up in PA now.

And...cells won't look particularly beefy in a setup like this. Even the stuff in PW and Loudoun right now could produce even if reflectivity doesn't look like textbook severe.

TDCA has a nice tiny cell just south of Alexandria. I know models yesterday were focusing any 2nd line on the northern parts of the area.

I know there was some work done on that area of piping last year - but not sure if it was that exact part where the line comes into the house. It may have been pretty darn old. The amount of water that was coming in was definitely more than a little. I'm pretty sure had we not had the water alarms we'd have woken up in the morning to a decent amount of flooding in the basement. We haven't had anything like the rain from that night since then - but a few downpours and there's been zero leaking. We've got a dehumidifier running now to dry things out. Added two more water alarms to other parts of the basement. For $11 and a 9V battery - it's so worth it. House is near our street (up on a hill though) - but it's a dead end street. Probably fewer than 10 cars a day drive on it.

Little tropical shower here in Colesville, MD now.