Kmlwx

Good wind signature showing up just north of Great Falls, VA heading into MoCo.

Definitely feels like the kind of year when we get some sort of major moisture injection from a TC-remnant system. The pockets of super heavy rain have been in small/isolated pockets - but if we keep getting these pulse rainers - FFG could really come down if a big areawide rain event comes through sooner rather than later.

50kft+ echo tops in Howard County now.

I feel like these shear-less days tend to yield one super isolated but huge cell that puts down a swath of 70-80mph winds but leaves the rest of us with nada. This certainly has been a widespread week of all hazards (except tornadoes). Monday was a heck of a deluge IMBY, and I think I've gotten at least some semblance of a storm on every day except yesterday. Today looks like it'll perform too. I guess that's what 95+ degree temps and soupy air can do for us! ML lapse rates haven't been super trashy like they usually are - so maybe that also contributed. Wayyyy too far out to speculate - but have to wonder if this week is the start of a very wet pattern that might have some tropical threats mixed in the next month or so.

Weather radio has now gone off 3 times back to back. Busy day for LWX it seems. Lots of distant thunder being heard here in Colesville now. TDWRs have some nice pockets of wind with the complex inching closer to the metro area.

Another Severe T'storm Warning for MoCo, Howard for 70mph winds. Lots of enhanced warnings this week from LWX.

This week has produced a decent amount of severe reports for a week when we didn't get above a slight risk. Sneaky severe!

74mph gust at the Warrenton Airport!!!!

2 N Germantown: 50knot (58mph) gust.

The area near Darnestown to Potomac and vicinity looks similarly placed as the PG/East MoCo area did earlier in the week. Backbuilding could keep them in heavy rain for some time. Probably going to be some cases of high water or flooding out that way.

The western half of MoCo is getting smacked. Looks like a soaker as well.

Already outflow from the MoCo cell (now warned).

Cell(s) firing now along the Potomac heading into MoCo. A couple strikes already being detected. Let's see if they grow.

Outflow visible on radar from SW of Frederick down towards the Front Royal area.

Pocket of 2 inch PWATS now on mesoanalysis over parts of Southern Maryland.

This is one of the big providers. https://www.earthnetworks.com/Portals/0/pdf/ENTLN Global Slick_v4.pdf

I think it was around 1200 on the stormier days and 1400 yesterday (which was a dud)

DCAPE is still several hundred J/kg lower than previous days. CAPE seems fine overall.

Radar looks pretty good to the west. Now we wait and see how much punch it has once it gets closer to the metros.

Severe watch out.

Initiation in the vicinity of the higher terrain in VA.

HRRR brings activity in - but it's not all that intense - but wonder if it is a result of the overmixing of the model that @high risk has mentioned.

DCAPE is lower than previous days at least at this early hours. PWATS are 1.9 - soupy!

MEH! Would rather it go west of us That's a wild run!

Would be a fun Friday if so.