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Everything posted by Kmlwx
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Rare meteor shower (storm?) Memorial Day night?
Kmlwx replied to North Balti Zen's topic in Mid Atlantic
I'm really, really, really hoping this is something special. I remember seeing the 1997 Leonids with my dad. -
Rare meteor shower (storm?) Memorial Day night?
Kmlwx replied to North Balti Zen's topic in Mid Atlantic
Could have been a sporadic (not attached with any distinct shower) but apparently there was a bona fide Tau Herculid seen on a meteor camera a day or two ago. Fingers crossed this turns out to be something! Odds aren't high, though! -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Mesoanalysis does have some instability available in our area still. Not expecting anything widespread - but yeah a last hurrah SVR is not out of the question. I'm hearing some thunder here now. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
ENTLN is showing a few strikes near Sugarland Run now. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Line is doing a last hurrah effort between Walkersville and down to Manassas. It'll likely be sub-severe but guessing there might be a last minute uptick in storminess. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Isolated flooding threat may evolve in MoCo - some heavy showers popping up. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Looks like that is the dominant cell. Looks like this round will be a snoozer into DC proper for now at least. Just heavy rain in pockets unless a new cell gets going. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
TVS on GR2AE near Charlotte Hall. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Something is trying just west of Charlotte Hall perhaps. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Impressive storms down there in VA (and crossing into Charles Co, MD soon! Looks like the part of the line heading for me is pretty weak - still time, but I bet the more intense activity may rob the northern parts of some of the juice. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I am watching (for MBY purely) the activity between around Staunton up to like Broadway, VA. That seems like the part of the line that may come through my area...if that stays anemic I think I'm done for the day with severe. I do think DC proper has a shot. I'd be watching closely if I lived in Spotsylvania/Stafford or lower southern Maryland. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
In all seriousness, I think the watch is well drawn. Will be curious to see how the storms behave as they come more north into the more stable airmass (though there is SOME CAPE). Charles County, MD and areas like Culpeper could be rocking! -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
It's 0.4 miles from me. I'm contacting SPC to have them revise the outline to be a half mile north. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
However...using the watch box rather than county outline, the northern line of the watch is literally walking distance from MBY. So I will just say I'm impacted. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Watch to the south of me boooooo -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Have gone form 65 or 66 back up to 69 now in Colesville. Getting little hints of sunshine now. Though it's not like high noon anymore. Not sure how much heating the sun will provide late in the day. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I un-mehed as the line was rolling in earlier. Didn't hit severe here - and no damage IMBY - but it was a nice storm. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Many of us aren't even in a slight risk anymore. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Still stuck at 66 degrees here with full cloud cover. I may meh. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
The more recent HRRR runs have focused some better activity to the south in the next round but are a little less impressive than earlier runs in the immediate DC-Balt corridor. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Showers running from SW of CHO down to Chatham, VA. Those could serve to increase cloud cover. We'll see how the pockets of clearing sustain or fill in in the NoVA/Central Maryland/DC areas in the next hour or two. The most recent mesoanalysis shows we are pretty worked over in terms of CAPE. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Haven't really seen any sun here near Silver Spring. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Other than glancing at the HRRR I haven't done a lot of looking at the next around yet. Finishing up some work stuff (was SUPPOSED to be a half day). Though from what I've seen on Twitter and on here - I'm intrigued. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
And warning fatigue is real - I think that's a solid call - especially in the DC area where (not ragging on LWX) but EVERYTHING seems to get a warning in severe season. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Trend of having HRRR juice up that next line is a good one - I'll use the weenie-ism that maybe it's sampling the ground truth better with time