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Kmlwx

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Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. Kmlwx
    Gust of 42kts at Tangier Island.
  2. Kmlwx
    The weather gods must have heard me. Big time gust just now with a ton of snow getting whipped around. Probably best gust since it changed to snow.
  3. Kmlwx
    Wind gust obs haven't been terribly high around the entire area. I think that Quantico gust earlier was the highest I've seen and it wasn't super high. One thing I noticed leading up to the event is the wind gust products on many of the models were pretty underwhelming compared to some of our other big wind events. Many didn't even have widespread gusts above 45mph. ETA: Not saying it's not gusty - but the 55mph forecasts always seemed a bit high.
  4. Kmlwx
    Snow squalls later would be fun - but the more recent NAM nest and HRRR runs have been kind of meh anywhere east of the mountains.
  5. Kmlwx
    With the "lull" in place - the temps are actually coming back up just a touch. Oscillating around a few tenths of a degree above 32 now. Assuming we can drop below freezing in a heavier band.
  6. Kmlwx
    Radar presentation is improving behind the little splotchy lull that people are reporting. Filling in decently in NoVA and Western MoCo.
  7. Kmlwx
    32.4 now - snow lightened up a bit compared to a little while ago. It's been going diagonal with stronger winds as well!
  8. Kmlwx
    He's too busy writing up a report about how "NBC4 forecasted it first" or some BS.
  9. Kmlwx
    Quantico reported a gust to 41kts
  10. Kmlwx
    33.1 in Colesville and snow is coming down pretty nicely. Not much wind here so far with the snow - had some good gusts earlier during the rain, though.
  11. Kmlwx
    46.9 in Colesville on my potentially cheapo thermometer - but it did well all winter and has fresh batteries.
  12. Kmlwx
    Absolute snoozer here. The wind earlier was more impressive.
  13. Kmlwx
    So it sounds like the plan of doing a 2nd SLEP will probably have to happen to push things into that timeframe. That sucks - but not surprised as that's usually how gov't stuff and advanced tech works.
  14. Kmlwx
    This is pretty off topic at least in terms of what we have going on today - But what's the updates on MPAR or Phased Array radar systems? I know back in like 2015 and 2016 there's a lot of documentation about what the path forward was after the SLEP program for the WSR-88D radars. The current series of GOES has been awesome from the satellite side of things. What about radar? I saw a Powerpoint from back in 2015 suggesting that phased array might be rolling out to FAA sites by 2025 and NWS ones starting in 2030. Guessing that is a pipe dream? I just remember hearing A LOT about it and then mostly nothing the past 5+ years. @high risk, @WxUSAF @MillvilleWx ? Dual-pol was a wonderful step up - but what's our next awesome new toy to play with as weather nerds in the radar field?
  15. Kmlwx
    Well northern folks at least.
  16. Kmlwx
    We got a watch! lol
  17. Kmlwx
    We always seem to manage 1-3 of these early season slights per year. I doubt any of us even hear thunder this PM - but we do winds pretty well.
  18. Kmlwx
    LWX indicates negligible instability. So we'll see how well the gusty showers can do. Ridiculously warm this morning for 3/7. Has "the feel" - at least the early season feel.
  19. Kmlwx
    This could have easily been in the banter thread or via a PM. It just serves to clutter the thread(s).
  20. Kmlwx
    It's also much higher than all the rest of the guidance. Everything else is down in the 45-55mph range.
  21. Kmlwx
    Synoptic wind is where it's at for this event it seems. I just got finished with work - it's on the very high side of guidance...but the 18z NAM nest has 65mph winds over a pretty good area between 2 and 3am tonight.
  22. Kmlwx
    Aw shucks - I'm not THAT smart with this stuff. Most of my strength is anecdotal past stuff. I defer to the red taggers mostly, though. I'm closer to @yoda's copy and pasting than I am to the @high risk analysis. As much as I like snow - and hate 85+ degree weather, I do prefer spring/summer on the forums to winter. Much more of a cordial environment. Seems us severe weenies are way more able to accept that we just don't go big on severe very often versus the winter weenies who are seemingly "entitled to" all winter storms
  23. Kmlwx
    I was looking mainly at the 3z to 6z period on Thur night-Fri AM.
  24. Kmlwx
    The American models seem to be a bit more gung-ho on the wind threat. But really it's only a difference of 5-10mph. American models would (except the long range HRRR) get us close to High Wind Warning criteria at least in isolated spots. But seems like Wind Advisory criteria is a good bet for a pretty wide swath of the area. There were some 60mph pockets of gusts on the GFS and NAM - but most guidance seems to be in the 45-50mph range.
  25. Kmlwx
    I think local media uses it with a decent amount of regularity as well. Maybe in NWS discussions as well. Though not in the zones.
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