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Everything posted by Kmlwx
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3/12 Event: Winters Last Hurrah at Least East of Mountains
Kmlwx replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
Very wintry scene indeed. I'll take this on March 12th. -
3/12 Event: Winters Last Hurrah at Least East of Mountains
Kmlwx replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
45kts at Tangier Island now. That may be the strongest gust in the region so far this morning. Not surprising given that it's on the water. -
3/12 Event: Winters Last Hurrah at Least East of Mountains
Kmlwx replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
It also tends to look brighter given the high albedo of snow cover - even if it's only on the grass. -
3/12 Event: Winters Last Hurrah at Least East of Mountains
Kmlwx replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
I think he was poking a little fun at your sun comment. Clouds that produce snow are pretty thin - and the sun is up - and it's March. It's going to be light unless you've got a nice thick cumulonimbus overhead. -
3/12 Event: Winters Last Hurrah at Least East of Mountains
Kmlwx replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
Gust of 42kts at Tangier Island. -
3/12 Event: Winters Last Hurrah at Least East of Mountains
Kmlwx replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
The weather gods must have heard me. Big time gust just now with a ton of snow getting whipped around. Probably best gust since it changed to snow. -
3/12 Event: Winters Last Hurrah at Least East of Mountains
Kmlwx replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
Wind gust obs haven't been terribly high around the entire area. I think that Quantico gust earlier was the highest I've seen and it wasn't super high. One thing I noticed leading up to the event is the wind gust products on many of the models were pretty underwhelming compared to some of our other big wind events. Many didn't even have widespread gusts above 45mph. ETA: Not saying it's not gusty - but the 55mph forecasts always seemed a bit high. -
3/12 Event: Winters Last Hurrah at Least East of Mountains
Kmlwx replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
Snow squalls later would be fun - but the more recent NAM nest and HRRR runs have been kind of meh anywhere east of the mountains. -
3/12 Event: Winters Last Hurrah at Least East of Mountains
Kmlwx replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
With the "lull" in place - the temps are actually coming back up just a touch. Oscillating around a few tenths of a degree above 32 now. Assuming we can drop below freezing in a heavier band. -
3/12 Event: Winters Last Hurrah at Least East of Mountains
Kmlwx replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
Radar presentation is improving behind the little splotchy lull that people are reporting. Filling in decently in NoVA and Western MoCo. -
3/12 Event: Winters Last Hurrah at Least East of Mountains
Kmlwx replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
32.4 now - snow lightened up a bit compared to a little while ago. It's been going diagonal with stronger winds as well! -
3/12 Event: Winters Last Hurrah at Least East of Mountains
Kmlwx replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
He's too busy writing up a report about how "NBC4 forecasted it first" or some BS. -
3/12 Event: Winters Last Hurrah at Least East of Mountains
Kmlwx replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
Quantico reported a gust to 41kts -
3/12 Event: Winters Last Hurrah at Least East of Mountains
Kmlwx replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
33.1 in Colesville and snow is coming down pretty nicely. Not much wind here so far with the snow - had some good gusts earlier during the rain, though. -
3/12 Event: Winters Last Hurrah at Least East of Mountains
Kmlwx replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
46.9 in Colesville on my potentially cheapo thermometer - but it did well all winter and has fresh batteries. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Absolute snoozer here. The wind earlier was more impressive. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
So it sounds like the plan of doing a 2nd SLEP will probably have to happen to push things into that timeframe. That sucks - but not surprised as that's usually how gov't stuff and advanced tech works. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
This is pretty off topic at least in terms of what we have going on today - But what's the updates on MPAR or Phased Array radar systems? I know back in like 2015 and 2016 there's a lot of documentation about what the path forward was after the SLEP program for the WSR-88D radars. The current series of GOES has been awesome from the satellite side of things. What about radar? I saw a Powerpoint from back in 2015 suggesting that phased array might be rolling out to FAA sites by 2025 and NWS ones starting in 2030. Guessing that is a pipe dream? I just remember hearing A LOT about it and then mostly nothing the past 5+ years. @high risk, @WxUSAF @MillvilleWx ? Dual-pol was a wonderful step up - but what's our next awesome new toy to play with as weather nerds in the radar field? -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Well northern folks at least. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
We got a watch! lol -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
We always seem to manage 1-3 of these early season slights per year. I doubt any of us even hear thunder this PM - but we do winds pretty well. -
2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
LWX indicates negligible instability. So we'll see how well the gusty showers can do. Ridiculously warm this morning for 3/7. Has "the feel" - at least the early season feel. -
This could have easily been in the banter thread or via a PM. It just serves to clutter the thread(s).
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It's also much higher than all the rest of the guidance. Everything else is down in the 45-55mph range.
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2022 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion Etc)
Kmlwx replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Synoptic wind is where it's at for this event it seems. I just got finished with work - it's on the very high side of guidance...but the 18z NAM nest has 65mph winds over a pretty good area between 2 and 3am tonight.
