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Kmlwx

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Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. Kmlwx
    Good advice! My scrolling finger is going to get a workout...I also hate muting people...because often times even the awful posters sometimes are nice to interact with in the off season. I don't have a single person muted. Snow is DEFINITELY a mood booster - but there's too many other more important things to let it burn bridges on a weather forum.
  2. Kmlwx
    I mean - I get into ruts when it doesn't snow too. We are missing snowstorms, my Packers are out of the playoffs...but hey - I've got a job and two good doggies that are hyper balls of energy. Ultimately the world is going to unfold as it's going to. People need to take the @Bob Chill approach more and just let things be as they are.
  3. Kmlwx
    I'm a moderator of a pretty large DC area subreddit...and let me just say lately that has been way more refreshing than watching the drama unfold here. Maybe I'm just crankier than usual...but it really does seem people are WAY more testy than in prior years. Everyone needs to go eat their Snickers. Sometimes we just need a reality check - my dad's in the hospital with a blood infection. Kind of puts things in perspective (he'll be okay - they caught it in time!). Honestly maybe the best thing for some of you is to miss out on this storm completely as a reality check (not directed at you @mappy). Sorry...
  4. Kmlwx
    You all should be glad the powers of @mappy - are not wielded by me. There'd be a bunch more of you with timeouts or post restrictions.
  5. Kmlwx
    Can we just impose a 3 post limit per day on everyone who derails threads or picks fights? Enough is enough. We can't go more than 3 pages without some f'ing drama. It's a damn weather forum - not some life altering event in your life. R-E-L-A-X and don't take yourselves so damn seriously. Take a step back and enjoy a nice cup of coffee if you need to. But stop mucking up the forum for all of the people who just want to read a decent thread or analysis. Yeah we have our ups and downs - but this is getting absurd the last few days. Get over yourselves - ultimately nothing on this forum is going to make or break things in your life when you wake up tomorrow. Is it really worth bickering and getting your feelings hurt?
  6. Kmlwx
    How many ticks before it's tasty and we take?
  7. Kmlwx
    To put the final nail in the "the shortwave is on shore and being sampled!" argument - I think a lot of it is also that by the time a given piece of energy is "on shore" it's also getting closer in time...and in theory that should be narrowing goalposts and more accurate forecasts.
  8. Kmlwx
    I think to an extent is is a thing - of course more data is better - and directly sampled data is the gold standard. But if it comes to getting the energy within range of like 1-2 RAOB sites - it's really not going to matter a ton. If you had a super dense RAOB network perhaps it would create a greater change. Same answer as above - I think it does matter a bit - but it's not going to result in some wholesale shift like you're indicating it might. Small adjustments, yes - but nothing like January 2000 - those kinds of busts are becoming ancient history. Models can bust - the the risk of something like that is lessening as models advance. If you look at the RAOB release locations - they are often pretty spread out - it's good to have the data - but it's not like a mesonet where you're getting a very dense clustering of data over small scales.
  9. Kmlwx
    Been said time and time again - the on-land data sampling thing is mostly a thing of the past. Remote sensing has some a LONG way - the vast majority of waves/energy etc are sampled quite well by satellites.
  10. Kmlwx
    That's a big change from 12z. Onto 0z we go.
  11. Kmlwx
    Make him buy you a bottle of your choice.
  12. Kmlwx
    The ensembles are not run using the same backend stuff as the GFSOP - not to mention they *can* but do not necessarily indicate a trend for future OP runs.
  13. Kmlwx
    And all the folks from back in the Eastern days know I really don't get this way often or ever... Some of you are worse than reading a neighborhood Nextdoor page.
  14. Kmlwx
    Enough is enough. There's a F'ing banter thread for a reason. If these tools have the ability to post, they have the ability to figure out where the banter thread is. Better yet - they should take it to a private message. Really not too much to ask for the non-banter threads to be actual weather discussion.
  15. Kmlwx
    It really is NOT this hard to stay civil and on-topic on this forum. No offense to the vast majority of you - but I've seen 1st graders stay on topic better than you guys. Yes - it sucks that snow isn't as prolific in this region as others...if it bothers you that much you may want to find a new hobby. I come to the forums to read weather info - not watch a bunch of petulant children fight. Every freaking year it's the same crap. Get over yourselves. Practice your netiquette and if you can't GTFO. If only it were the same way it is during the summer for severe season - lighthearted, great learning opportunities, legit weather discussion.
  16. Kmlwx
    They shouldn't even run surface panels for the CFS. It's a climate model.
  17. Kmlwx
    Believe FAA measures at DCA and that discussion is written by NWS WFO LWX employees.
  18. Kmlwx
    18z and 06z because there aren't the 12z and 0z RAOBs.
  19. Kmlwx
    And before you try to say my post was terse or rude - I am one of the people who was not a very good poster when I joined Eastern back in the mid 2000s. I get it - weather excites all of us on here - just look at how I get in the annual severe threads.
  20. Kmlwx
    A lot of us have been in the same situation as you. Just read the posts of the mets and vet-trackers on here. @psuhoffman is a top tier non-red-tagger. Google is your best friend - there's countless resources out there on how to read an H5 map and such. There used to be some free classes online as well via MetEd by UCAR (not sure if they still exist). Just remember that posting all the time doesn't equate to learning. Sometimes the best approach is absorbing info but stay sidelined. A high post count does not equal a quality poster.
  21. Kmlwx
    All of the energy on the field at H5 looks more diggy so far out to 108 on the 12z GFS.
  22. Kmlwx
    We almost always have to sweat timing with a few exceptions.
  23. Kmlwx
    LOL - 537 closed H5 low down in extreme southern Georgia
  24. Kmlwx
    I found this depiction of 1770s weather weenies waiting for the 12z GFS to come off the printing press.
  25. Kmlwx
    True - but keep in mind I believe these obs were taken pretty close-in - like at Mount Vernon perhaps.
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