Jump to content

Kmlwx

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    13,228

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. Kmlwx
    Some of the CFS and CanSIPS stuff seem to have a bit of a ring of fire style pattern possible in the warm season.
  2. Kmlwx
    Might as well...
  3. Kmlwx
    Mid February is usually when the early peeks at severe can sometimes start showing up. Judging by the models and the long range thread, looks like maybe a marginal threat for Thur night? General severe discussion, remembering past events, and all that usual stuff that goes in here each year can go in here again. Hopefully we get some good thunderstorms this spring and summer. Looking forward to plenty of copy and pasting from @yoda, downer posts from @Eskimo Joe, great analysis by @high risk, and plenty of sun obs that turn into nothing. Giddy up! And for humor sake - see below
  4. Kmlwx
    This is around when I make the severe thread every year
  5. Kmlwx
    It's all the angles that are murdering us. F angles. The cold air angle, the sun angle - we can't catch a break.
  6. Kmlwx
    The blazing sun angle will kill this threat before it even starts
  7. Kmlwx
    Normally I'd say maybe it's the increased resolution - but the HRRR being in line with the other guidance tells me maybe the 3km NAM is smoking something.
  8. Kmlwx
    You should switch to doing pbp of the 250mb level without telling anyone. Would be some confused weenies in here.
  9. Kmlwx
    @Maestrobjwa - Definitely want to echo what others have said. You do seem to honestly want to work on it - and that's great!. But if weather makes you legitimately want to throw things in anger it might be crossing from being a hobby to being something unhealthy. I don't mean to sound funny - but what @Ji has sort of turned into his "thing" on the board - you genuinely seem to be experiencing for real on your side. Of course everyone has different interests/hobbies etc - but I've picked up a bunch of new stuff to occupy time between various weather events. It makes things way more tolerable. Anything from fossil hunting at Calvert Cliffs to getting a board game group together. Just things to bridge the gap. Get yourself into astronomy events or something - that way things like the Perseids meteor showers or cool eclipse events get you excited as well. Weather as a hobby should be fun - sure there's some disappointment built in - but it's like seeing your favorite team lose in playoffs. It stings and you keep moving to the next hobby or season. I hope snow/weather can go from being a stressful hobby for you to being one that you enjoy more wholly.
  10. Kmlwx
    It almost sounds like some rain mixed in here in Colesville. BUT it's 31.8. Thinking it may just be water dripping off of trees and branches. Definitely not as pretty as the snow earlier in this lighter stuff.
  11. Kmlwx
    Radar shows that deathband cycling up again. Down to 33.5 here now. Could start to see accumulation soon!
  12. Kmlwx
    Deathbanded.
  13. Kmlwx
    Steady light snow here now in Colesville, MD. Temp right around 35.
  14. Kmlwx
    Should help destabilize for the thunderstorms later. 36.7 here now after getting up to around 39 a little while ago.
  15. Kmlwx
    It's over
  16. Kmlwx
    Some of it is exactly what he said about it being "what I grew up with" - so a little of the "Texas Sharpshooter" phenomena. If I shoot at the side of a barn 10 times and circle the 3 closest shots to the center and call myself a Texas Sharpshooter - doesn't make it true. Biases of course exist.
  17. Kmlwx
    I think we are mostly on the same page to be honest. I forget how old you are. Ultimately I'm hoping we'll score something during the upcoming pattern that won't be so much of a subforum divider.
  18. Kmlwx
    38ish degrees here now.
  19. Kmlwx
    Absolutely agree. And I think you worded that much better than I did (no surprise there). There is zero doubt in my mind that there's a new "normal" and we'll have to get used to it. And we may not even be done adjusting the goalposts either. That said - I think @Maestrobjwa - (no offense intended) does tend to have pretty high expectations and substantial agony when things don't line up for snow here. I guess it was more of an attempt to walk him back from the panic room than anything else. No doubt we all love snow - not all of us can be in the new @Bob Chill mentality...but we will be depressed messes if we tie all of our happiness to big snow. Give me some more of the Jan 3 storm and I'd be happy. HECS are great - but we can't do them every time. There's definitely something to be said about the proliferation of snow maps making the bar go sky high and people expecting huge storms every time the models hint at something even at long leads.
  20. Kmlwx
    I think you may have unrealistic hopes/expectations for DC winters. There have been BAD stretches through the records. 6 years isn't too bad. Sure it sucks - but DC/Balt is NOT a snow region. We go on heaters sometimes, but again, we are not a snow town for the vast majority of years. Even our seasonal snow climo is thrown off by years like 09-10 - so it's not a great judge of "you should expect this each year" If you have the means to chase upslope and stuff - that's the way to go. Otherwise you've gotta just enjoy the snow we do get, and track other types of weather while we wait. It's why I'm into severe weather in the spring/summer. Hell...I'll even track wind events. Feeling like "we're owed or we're due" for snow is as futile as waiting on the next major tropical system to come through the area. It's disheartening at times - but that's why you've gotta just distract yourself with other stuff. Take up hobbies that interest you other than weather and fill the time with them.
  21. Kmlwx
    Yeah - I just checked TBWI and it looked anemic. Seems like it must be virga/elevated. It does show up nicely on the TIAD radar.
  22. Kmlwx
    Any ground truth from the Severn or Pasadena areas?
  23. Kmlwx
    This weekend is in the other thread. This is the longer range thread.
  24. Kmlwx
    I actually will sometimes during severe weather/storms run to my front window and yell HAIL - it always cracks me up. My memory is oddly niche sometimes.
  25. Kmlwx
    Yep - good old AIM with my "KennyWeather" screen name. Cringe.
×
×
  • Create New...