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Kmlwx

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Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. Kmlwx
    Nobody is asking for a wedge to level their house. It's the tracking of interesting weather. We don't control whether it happens or not. Might as well track it.
  2. Kmlwx
    Will be in the office today - hoping to do remote during the afternoon, though. Cautiously optimistic!
  3. Kmlwx
    Some of the models are threatening to pull me back into being semi interested in this one.
  4. Kmlwx
    Do you think it would be beneficial (doubt the funding exists) - to have center similar to the river forecast centers for severe storm related stuff? In other words, perhaps staffed with mets that are more familiar with the climo and such of smaller areas they forecast for? Even something broader like dividing the country into very broad regions. West Coast, Plains/Tor Alley, Southeast and Northeast.
  5. Kmlwx
    FWIW - CIPS hasn't been particularly enthused about the threat. Obviously it's not the only tool to look at - but does lay out the potential for a bust (which is always there lol).
  6. Kmlwx
    2008 and 2012 had moderate risks as well. Definitely not as rare as some people think! Still unusual!
  7. Kmlwx
    I haven't looked enough to weigh in. Probably won't have time to until later tonight or tomorrow AM. But if EJ is in for now... I'm intrigued
  8. Kmlwx
    I was kind of surprised it wasn't earlier for most of the area. I think it's the dates between the average first and last frost or freeze (not sure which one). Probably on the growing trend for the growing season. har har
  9. Kmlwx
    April 11th for most around here. April 1st on parts of the Delmarva
  10. Kmlwx
    STEM continues to be ridiculously underfunded. Sad to compare NOAA's budget to other agencies.
  11. Kmlwx
    Actually the models don't look bad for Sat. Wow.
  12. Kmlwx
    That sounds like a spectacular idea. Worst case scenario it turns out to be a dud and you have the same holes you already had. Best case, you prove that it works and can move forward with the rest of the radars. Though you'd think they'd have a decent baseline from the phased array radar that was (is?) in place at NSSL in OK.
  13. Kmlwx
    Gust to 43kts in Martinsburg. Have had some decent gusts here the past 30 or 40 minutes.
  14. Kmlwx
    Very wintry scene indeed. I'll take this on March 12th.
  15. Kmlwx
    45kts at Tangier Island now. That may be the strongest gust in the region so far this morning. Not surprising given that it's on the water.
  16. Kmlwx
    It also tends to look brighter given the high albedo of snow cover - even if it's only on the grass.
  17. Kmlwx
    I think he was poking a little fun at your sun comment. Clouds that produce snow are pretty thin - and the sun is up - and it's March. It's going to be light unless you've got a nice thick cumulonimbus overhead.
  18. Kmlwx
    Gust of 42kts at Tangier Island.
  19. Kmlwx
    The weather gods must have heard me. Big time gust just now with a ton of snow getting whipped around. Probably best gust since it changed to snow.
  20. Kmlwx
    Wind gust obs haven't been terribly high around the entire area. I think that Quantico gust earlier was the highest I've seen and it wasn't super high. One thing I noticed leading up to the event is the wind gust products on many of the models were pretty underwhelming compared to some of our other big wind events. Many didn't even have widespread gusts above 45mph. ETA: Not saying it's not gusty - but the 55mph forecasts always seemed a bit high.
  21. Kmlwx
    Snow squalls later would be fun - but the more recent NAM nest and HRRR runs have been kind of meh anywhere east of the mountains.
  22. Kmlwx
    With the "lull" in place - the temps are actually coming back up just a touch. Oscillating around a few tenths of a degree above 32 now. Assuming we can drop below freezing in a heavier band.
  23. Kmlwx
    Radar presentation is improving behind the little splotchy lull that people are reporting. Filling in decently in NoVA and Western MoCo.
  24. Kmlwx
    32.4 now - snow lightened up a bit compared to a little while ago. It's been going diagonal with stronger winds as well!
  25. Kmlwx
    He's too busy writing up a report about how "NBC4 forecasted it first" or some BS.
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