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Kmlwx

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Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. Kmlwx
    Wonderfully pink.
  2. Kmlwx
    18z NAM nest was pretty aggressive with a severe threat in the metro corridor for Thur afternoon. Looks like a small window - but it's definitely there.
  3. Kmlwx
    We always seem to end up getting a squally threat - or some sort of high shear/low CAPE event later in Oct/Nov as well. Something with a very strong cold front that has a thin tongue of 50-60 dews ahead of it. But yeah - perhaps the last of the warm season style severe potential.
  4. Kmlwx
    Not to mention the plentiful other factors like how much sunshine we get, lapse rates - so many ways to fail around here. Some of it is probably anecdotal as you mention. I think for a day like the June 2012 derecho - you're absolutely right - that HOT, stagnant airmass fueled the maintenance of the storms as they plowed east.
  5. Kmlwx
    Radar is pretty empty other than the stuff approaching the Northern Neck. Seems the guidance had stuff kind of later than usual for us (0-2z). May be waiting for an MCD for a while.
  6. Kmlwx
    Would think it's not just about wind speed - but more important wind direction. Consider a breezy south wind bringing in humid/unstable air with a warm front passage. That would be an indicator of potentially higher severe potential versus a stiff NE breeze bringing in a wedge in the cool season or spring/fall.
  7. Kmlwx
    Waking up and heading to work tomorrow with mid 50s dewpoints is going to be amazingly refreshing. Looking at the mid to long range - it looks like the sustained weeks on weeks of 70s dews may be done. Sure...they'll surge back but for shorter periods. Here's to hoping the fall dewpoint regime is arriving or here to stay. Right on time for meteorological fall.
  8. Kmlwx
    Why would that be the secretary's fault even if it was for COVID...? Not her choice. My mom was an attendance secretary in MCPS for years and would get calls like "WELL WHEN IS THE SNOW STARTING?" "HOW DARE YOU CLOSE I'M INCONVENIENCED" - it was the most unpleasant part of her job. Thankfully she's retired now. Feels like that's similar to getting pissed off at the hostess for the chef poisoning your food...
  9. Kmlwx
    Probably have a slightly elevated threat in spots where there's localized wind direction enhancement (near the Potomac, the Bay, etc).
  10. Kmlwx
    TOR watch remains for MoCo and places east. Would seem to indicate the threat is still there for spinnys for now.
  11. Kmlwx
    Really not sure what to think about later. Looks pretty lame - but with perhaps some rejuvenating sun between rounds, some of those storms could be gusty.
  12. Kmlwx
    There could be some clearing in the wake of the tornadic activity earlier based on satellite. The stuff to the west and southwest definitely bears watching for now.
  13. Kmlwx
    Nothing really stands out on radar for the moment. The most "interesting" thing locally is that cell near TADW. Stuff to the west just looks like rain for now. We'll see how the next couple hours plays out. Bogged down with listening to AACoFD feeds right now. They are BUSY.
  14. Kmlwx
    Surprisingly - SPC keeps the ENH and 10% tor for the same area. Mentions a confluence band potentially providing more severe potential.
  15. Kmlwx
    Cell near Mount Vernon needs watching.
  16. Kmlwx
    AA Co Fire is reporting roofs off, poles down etc. High tension lines also down.
  17. Kmlwx
    AACo dispatch just dispatched something sounding like a building collapse assignment. But then the collapse unit was put in service. Regardless - sounds like significant damage.
  18. Kmlwx
    Debris from Annapolis storm was lofted to 4700m per Tony Lyza on Twitter. Holy crap.
  19. Kmlwx
    By our area's standards - that may have been a fairly long track tornado. The couplet is exiting the Annapolis proper area now. Ground truth from there is going to be interesting. Hope everyone is okay.
  20. Kmlwx
    The Annapolis cell is about as good of a signature as we get around these parts. That's going to go right between Parole and Annapolis...populated area.
  21. Kmlwx
    Interesting that NWS didn't go with confirmed wording.
  22. Kmlwx
    Seeing video on Twitter of tornado on that Anne Arundel cell...Couplet is still getting stronger. TBWI looks pretty absurd for this area.
  23. Kmlwx
    Just a hair SE of Birdsville would be great to have ground truth right now. Woodland Beach and Selby on the Bay is up next.
  24. Kmlwx
    The couplet on the storm heading for Annapolis looks pretty darn nice right now.
  25. Kmlwx
    Storm near Bristol, MD needs a warning me-thinks.
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