Kmlwx

32.2 in Colesville. Practically a furnace over there in Wheaton, eh?

Yeah agreed. It's already a storm specific thread.

Not the correct thread for that.

It's also Chuck....so that may be part of it as well

Looks like 6.5" total roughly here in Colesville, MD. Great storm - models really did a decent job of depicting that there would be a very sharp cutoff. Congrats to those just to the south and east! Have dipped into the upper 20s as well here now. 29.1 at last check.

6" here in Colesville now as the total so far. Less with the compaction of course.

I can hear trees cracking/falling in NW Branch Park in my area.

Really piling up now - 4 inches in Colesville.

I'm hoping to be just far enough east here in Colesville. We'll see - that's a brutal cutoff in NW MoCo on radar.

A little north of two inches so far here in Colesville, MD. At least that's my less than stellar measurement.

Every time we hope that the "it's too warm before the storm" argument has been settled - and every time we are wrong.

31.1 here in Colesville - semi-sheltered patio is just wet - but roads and front walkway have caved. Driveway is sheltered by a little bamboo and also has not caved yet.

46.2 according to my shaky La Crosse thermometer (not a full station). This is in Colesville, MD

Received. Thank you!

Channeling your inner @ravensrule

It's probably a combination of factors. Consider that 10 years ago everyone was high on the miracle of 2009-2010. Snow weenie hearts were replenished and fresh and moods were higher overall. I think the widespread dissemination of weather models and data is helping AND hurting. Of course, I'll never argue to restrict data from the public - but social media has allowed people who have no business throwing their two cents in the ability to spread their opinions and "analyses" far and wide with very little effort. The issue then becomes that anybody who has a mild/armchair interest in weather can very quickly become "the go-to person" in their friend group/family group. In the 2000s - to get some credibility - you had to do so without the use of easy-to-access snow maps etc - you actually had to have a brain. Twitter and Facebook have done a lot of harm to this field. Places like TT, WeatherBell, Pivotal etc now make it so easy for any average Joe to go around flaunting their snow maps and pretending to be somebody worth listening to. It's probably incredible frustrating for the people with actual weather knowledge to have to scream at the top of their lungs to try (unsuccessfully) to drown out the wannabe people. I encourage anybody who is interested to go into STEM...but weenie proliferation is a real thing - and it doesn't help the field.

That's not how forecasting really works. You can't say "In this pattern we expect 10 inches of snow in the next 4 weeks" - the exact same/similar pattern can yield vastly different results. As PSU has said - a lot is luck. Then add in chaos as well. Nobody can guarantee anything - not even "one storm" based on longwave H5 patterns. Just not how it works. All we can say is "X pattern looks good going into the next 2-4 weeks" - beyond that it's pretty much the unknown. ETA: You seem to want to apply short-term forecasting abilities to long term patterns. There's not some metric that says "H5 pattern = X, therefore Snow > 6 inches in region" - BIGGEST word that will derail you in your post was "EXPECT" - you should never "expect" any snow

TDWRs have something interesting near Bowie. I'm in Annapolis tonight.

We always seem to manage some sneaky gusty shower event in November or December. I just want something other than grey, boring skies to track.

A few flurries here in Colesville, MD.

That's also only out to D10. There are indications that the warmer pattern may be in place until late month. Would not expect anything prior to the end of that chart - and more likely even a bit longer.

Welcome to the watch list

Doesn't really look like the bird/insect stuff we are used to. Is there a fire/explosion out that way? That was weird.

Get out.