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Kmlwx

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Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. Kmlwx
    this is lame...
  2. Kmlwx
    It is quite cloudy this morning
  3. Kmlwx
    I just looked expecting to see very impressive panels...and was disappointed. Those returns look okay but nothing great.
  4. Kmlwx
    I'm pretty meh on tomorrow - I think we'll get some storms but I'm not sure it'll be a "big" severe day by any means.
  5. Kmlwx
    It's kind of weird seeing old posts from myself sometimes
  6. Kmlwx
    Unfortunately we don't tend to do well when we need timing or moving parts to come together
  7. Kmlwx
    After some legit severe days around here I've been disappointed recently. Guess I can't complain after having two tornadoes in a weeks time frame go right by my apartment.
  8. Kmlwx
    The SPC discussion is rather "meh" overall. It certainly doesn't look as robust as those one or two NAM runs. Seems like they might have been flukes...
  9. Kmlwx
    You're also more famous than me...so you're at a higher risk. If anybody wants to mess with me they won't do much damage to little old me.
  10. Kmlwx
    Easily the most stalkerish thing that's happened to me on there since I joined years ago. I always try to be careful - especially posting stuff about my job in the sysadmin subreddit. High five on making me paranoid before bed last night.
  11. Kmlwx
    I should probably change my username on there...too easy to be doxxed. I figuratively pooped myself when I got a PM on reddit last night addressing me by name.
  12. Kmlwx
    Radar is so boring right now. I hope Thursday goes bonkers.
  13. Kmlwx
    Ehhh I dunno if we'll be able to pull a mod risk this year. Thursday does continue to bear watching. SPC discussion on it didn't sound super tasty though.
  14. Kmlwx
    Wow - look at the severe analogs from CIPS from the GEFS (last night's 0z) - this is for THURSDAY
  15. Kmlwx
    Day 3 slight already
  16. Kmlwx
    It's a stats thing more than anything. Areas that DO receive hail are actually very isolated. It just seems like "every other place gets hail other than X location" because you're looking at a small geographic area. This is similar to why SPC forecasts are for "severe within 25mi of a point" I would bet that if you plotted hail reports from a statistically relevant period - the areas within the city boundaries have a similar return period than other areas. TL;DR - Hail in unusual in general in any area within our region.
  17. Kmlwx
    About as lame of a 3pm radar as you could get.
  18. Kmlwx
    Now we have one lol
  19. Kmlwx
    Seems to be the deb from a few days out usually. Though NAM usually goes too hardcore. Also when the FV3 and old GFS were running in parallel - I noticed on the COD website that the FV3 consistently put out lower supercell composite numbers.
  20. Kmlwx
    We are pretty close to the convective temp that @Eskimo Joe indicated. College Park is reporting a dew down to 63.5 - most stations are higher around here though.
  21. Kmlwx
    Sorry. The only thing I'm hearing is that we are in for an outbreak.
  22. Kmlwx
    Yeah hodographs on the 12z NAM soundings for Thursday look awfully tasty.
  23. Kmlwx
  24. Kmlwx
    12km NAM for Thursday (at range) looks pretty robust. Bears watching as SPC has been hinting about the timeframe.
  25. Kmlwx
    A few of the stations in the area have ticked the dewpoints down a bit. Still pockets of 70+ but some have come down to the mid 60s if that makes a difference.
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