Kmlwx

There was discussion in the Mid-LR thread earlier about La Nina years and severe seasons. Figure that can go in here - so bumping the thread for reference.

Some heavier showers to the north in Carroll - that looks like the only show in town right now.

This 100%. I'm just happy to even get a mention in the SPC outlook in January (on day 2 no less). I haven't even started to look at potential analogs for our severe season yet. Hopefully Ian chimes in with some encouraging odds for out Mid-Atlantic wedge risk.

And remember - these things like to be a bit earlier than expected...so timing probably isn't great for max threat.

GFS for 15z tomorrow - supercell composite parameter. Indicative of at least a little instability and some shear. SPC thinks there's a chance for a couple instances of damaging winds despite the overall tempered threat. It's all we have to track for now...

Since we are taking a brief hiatus from winter for the next period of time...and since there is some small instability and good shear available tomorrow (see SPC discussion for day 2) - I figured we'd get a super early start on our 2018 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx thread. Let's see how badly we can fail this year with storms splitting around DC, storms missing the area entirely, and our typical gusty showers from a pencil thin line. As bad as winter weenies are around here - I think our severe weather folks are even more desperate Ready? Go.

My greatest life accomplishment - Starting the thread about our regions biggest earthquake in recent times on a weather board.

Can you imagine if the December storm from that winter had happened closer to this one and the one on the 9th/10th? We would have had like 50-70 inches of snow on the ground lol.

I especially like how I was clearly just sitting at the computer that day given that I posted a minute after the quake EDIT: less than a minute

omg. I forgot I was the one who started this thread.

Pattern in the aftershocks MAP 2.4 2011/08/25 15:27:47 37.951 -77.924 0.1 6 km ( 4 mi) S of Mineral, VA MAP 2.3 2011/08/25 06:37:31 37.912 -77.969 0.1 12 km ( 7 mi) SSW of Mineral, VA MAP 4.5 2011/08/25 05:07:50 37.940 -77.896 5.0 7 km ( 5 mi) S of Mineral, VA MAP 2.5 2011/08/25 04:06:47 37.923 -77.988 0.1 11 km ( 7 mi) S of Louisa, VA MAP 3.4 2011/08/24 04:45:26 37.925 -77.994 4.9 11 km ( 7 mi) S of Louisa, VA MAP 4.2 2011/08/24 00:04:36 37.912 -77.951 7.9 11 km ( 7 mi) SSW of Mineral, VA MAP 2.2 2011/08/23 19:20:26 37.911 -78.004 0.1 13 km ( 8 mi) S of Louisa, VA MAP 2.8 2011/08/23 18:46:50 37.931 -77.935 0.1 9 km ( 5 mi) SSW of Mineral, VA MAP 5.8 2011/08/23 17:51:04 37.936 -77.933 6.0 8 km ( 5 mi) SSW of Mineral, VA two little ones between each larger one. The 3.4 didn't fit though I guess. But still - now this is HARD evidence that the next one is going to rock the entire area

2.7 out in WV. Looks unrelated. http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsus/Quakes/se082511a.php

Chopper just went over - thought we were going to die again.

5.0 might be pushing it. Especially since we've seen 4.2 as the highest thus far. I guess anything is possible. I was actually holding out for a 6.0. I think the profile might be a bit different than west coast quakes given the different fault configurations etc (I am by no means an expert though). Might have a more gradual aftershock profile - rather than a bunch quickly fizzling we might have one or two for the next few weeks (each week that is).

An aftershock is possible I guess but certainly not an expected thing. I could be wrong, but that sounds a bit out there to me.

I should change the thread title - earthquake and forum quake

Frederick Co. is telling some staff members to report to alternate buildings so I think they sustained some damage too.

I can relate lol - Part of me was expecting it to get more and more violent.

Log off Fbook chat lol

I know what you mean...for a while after it hit I still felt like I could feel the shaking continuing and it almost felt like it turned my stomach into knots.

Allegedly MoCo did their buildings supposedly lol - they released a statement saying all buildings were fine. But that statement came at like 3 or 4.

Horizontal shaking back and forth at least most of it. Initially it was a bit like a rattle then shaking. Almost as if you were standing on a book that was being moved back and forth on a table.

Well plus lots of people felt it around the area per some VA folks and some MD folks.

The 4.2 one? - And I'm not viewing on that I'm viewing on "View all Earthquakes on this Map"