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Kmlwx

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Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. EF-2 is exciting from a distance - but locally it's just too populated to hope for anything like that. Imagine if we pulled a prolonged ring of fire derecho pattern and then topped it off with a tropical system in the fall. Would easily make up for a dreadful winter (barring late turn around).
  2. This is an excellent start to the thread. My only issue with derecho patterns is that they can be very hot ones...worth it for excitement I guess.
  3. It's only January...but with the winter season looking incredibly bleak...let's fire up the 2020 Mid-Atlantic Severe Disco Thread. May our lack of winter weather this season forebode a spring and summer FULL of the folllowing @yoda copying and pasting @Eskimo Joe being bullish on events @mappy getting to break out some GIS skills on something local @Ian popping in to tell us the upcoming pattern looks ripe @high risk with ample opportunity to educate us and keep our hopes high when it looks like we won't get sun before an event. As a reminder - the Mid-Atlantic Severe Weather Reference Scale is displayed below - @WxWatcher007 to credit for this. Let's shoot for a moderate risk in 2020.
  4. The phase it's in when it heads for the COD is important. A COD visit after going into phase 8/1 is different than it dying after being in the unfavorable ones.
  5. Holy cow... Did the heat run or are you not very well insulated?
  6. When it increases the weenie looks even more.
  7. In the business of long range forecasting - the bolded portion is NEVER a safe thing. There should *always* be doubts when dealing with things beyond day 7...let alone day 10 or 15.
  8. Well yeah. I'm not dumb Wasn't it you that said they simulated a scenario where the water would stop running etc.
  9. Maybe we'll make a run at @Eskimo Joe's doomsday ice storm scenario.
  10. Yup - that looks like a gusty wind for us verbatim. Just another solution.
  11. First big snow since moving to Columbia. We're on the 8th floor and I've lost my ruler so no official measurement. It's dumping out there the last hour, though. Looks like two reports near me of over 9 inches so I'd assume I'm around the same.
  12. Remember this day so vividly. Hard to believe it's been this long...
  13. My greatest life accomplishment - Starting the thread about our regions biggest earthquake in recent times on a weather board.
  14. Can you imagine if the December storm from that winter had happened closer to this one and the one on the 9th/10th? We would have had like 50-70 inches of snow on the ground lol.
  15. I especially like how I was clearly just sitting at the computer that day given that I posted a minute after the quake EDIT: less than a minute
  16. omg. I forgot I was the one who started this thread.
  17. Pattern in the aftershocks MAP 2.4 2011/08/25 15:27:47 37.951 -77.924 0.1 6 km ( 4 mi) S of Mineral, VA MAP 2.3 2011/08/25 06:37:31 37.912 -77.969 0.1 12 km ( 7 mi) SSW of Mineral, VA MAP 4.5 2011/08/25 05:07:50 37.940 -77.896 5.0 7 km ( 5 mi) S of Mineral, VA MAP 2.5 2011/08/25 04:06:47 37.923 -77.988 0.1 11 km ( 7 mi) S of Louisa, VA MAP 3.4 2011/08/24 04:45:26 37.925 -77.994 4.9 11 km ( 7 mi) S of Louisa, VA MAP 4.2 2011/08/24 00:04:36 37.912 -77.951 7.9 11 km ( 7 mi) SSW of Mineral, VA MAP 2.2 2011/08/23 19:20:26 37.911 -78.004 0.1 13 km ( 8 mi) S of Louisa, VA MAP 2.8 2011/08/23 18:46:50 37.931 -77.935 0.1 9 km ( 5 mi) SSW of Mineral, VA MAP 5.8 2011/08/23 17:51:04 37.936 -77.933 6.0 8 km ( 5 mi) SSW of Mineral, VA two little ones between each larger one. The 3.4 didn't fit though I guess. But still - now this is HARD evidence that the next one is going to rock the entire area
  18. 2.7 out in WV. Looks unrelated. http://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/recenteqsus/Quakes/se082511a.php
  19. Chopper just went over - thought we were going to die again.
  20. 5.0 might be pushing it. Especially since we've seen 4.2 as the highest thus far. I guess anything is possible. I was actually holding out for a 6.0. I think the profile might be a bit different than west coast quakes given the different fault configurations etc (I am by no means an expert though). Might have a more gradual aftershock profile - rather than a bunch quickly fizzling we might have one or two for the next few weeks (each week that is).
  21. An aftershock is possible I guess but certainly not an expected thing. I could be wrong, but that sounds a bit out there to me.
  22. I should change the thread title - earthquake and forum quake
  23. Frederick Co. is telling some staff members to report to alternate buildings so I think they sustained some damage too.
  24. I can relate lol - Part of me was expecting it to get more and more violent.
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