Kmlwx
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Everything posted by Kmlwx
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The airmass is not bitterly cold or anything. It may be "cold enough" in spots but it's also still a time when we are fighting climo. A good ULL pass doesn't guarantee snow of course.
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I've always had this question - do models actually suffer from this? I'd assume that each run has no "recollection" of what the prior ran show. Therefore, shouldn't it just show what is modeled regardless of the prior run? Mods and shadow mods - this was not intended to be OT.
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Derecho on steroids
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Have learned a ton watching you and Bob Chill and the others post. All thanks to you guys!
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Not showme but look at the huge trough in the east and the angle of the height lines. No room for anything to turn up the coast. Obviously it's a mean so it's smoothed but that's a textbook look for too much cold. Like showme said - you could get a white smoke clipper - but there's not going to be a KU with that look. No monsters lumbering up the coast.
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@WxUSAF hit the nail right on the head below. Look at the height lines. You're pretty much getting a tsunami of straight Pacific air flowing over the entire CONUS. We want a nice flow of continental polar air to give us good cold air delivery.
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I see 11/2009 in there - probably too early but everyone knows what came later
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Not in my case - I did NOT keep up with the maintenance of my lawn renovation back in 2013. It is almost entirely weeds and ugly stuff now.
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Oh Yoda. It's November
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You need to conserve water. You'll need to change your username to assist in the cause.
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Very anomalous. I think his statement still holds.
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Or a one hit wonder
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Man...I'm guessing this GFS cold bias is real. That's crazy.
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Tree down on a car in my parent's neighborhood with critical injury. Rescue in progress. Gathering more info
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We need these wind fields with 3000j/kg CAPE lol
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I'm becoming more intrigued by the synoptic wind behind lol
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Latest SPC outlook mentions poor lapse rates but 700J/KG of CAPE at IAD
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Pressure rises of 5mb in 2hr now indicated on mesoanalysis behind the system. Those have been increasing.
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Tornado possible tag in the Maryland warning.
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Gust to 48mph in Leesburg it seems.
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No warnings locally for now. Pressure rises behind are really cranking.
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67mph non-tstm gust reported in MIneral, WV
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It's very far away lol. It has a lot of ground to cover before it would threaten the city.
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The one thing that may be wrong with the HRRR is the instability on the model looks pretty high. Over 1K
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21z HRRR shows the line intensifying a bit as it comes east.
