Kmlwx
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Everything posted by Kmlwx
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I'm also interested. And who cares about cold - let's have it outside in the middle of one of the 15 blizzards we are going to get this winter.
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I mean...they're all too early to tell...even Florence.
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Had some very, very loud thunder and extremely heavy rain for a bit - but sun is back out now.
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Remember this day so vividly. Hard to believe it's been this long...
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Quite the storm here in Potomac. Close lighting strike scared our receptionist while I was standing with her at the windows in the waiting area.
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HP supercells get me going. TMI
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Look at some of the model progs for later this afternoon. There's plenty of guidance that keeps DC completely dry with the storms all heading well north and west of the area. Instability/ingredients in place does not equal severe weather. Could be best forcing stays west. It may be that the triggers for closer in to the cities will be outflow boundaries and things like bay breezes etc.
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3km NAM has pretty much nothing for our area through 01z Thursday. Lol. Next.
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Rude. Wrong person
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Did I miss a memo/change - since when did SPC start issuing 2 Day 3 outlooks each day?
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Outflow racing out from the line.
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Looks much better now to my eyes. Especially coming in from the west.
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Washington County cell might get a warning soon. There might be some weak rotation in it as well. Lots of lightning in it.
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Nothing all that impressive on velocity scans. But that's an area that is known to have some enhancement for rotation in storms at times (near the river).
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Yeah I guess that's another question - if somebody gets their report of "MULTIPLE TREES DOWN" into the SPC reports - does that count as SVR verification if the winds were not measured or if they did not reach 58mph?
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We've seen them warn for 30-40mph storms and list it as 60mph gusts.
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I mean they tend to warn sub-severe even without wet ground conditions But yeah - I could see today being pretty memorable simply due to the loose ground. Any other day I'd probably meh today for other than isolated severe - but today could be pretty damaging across the area.
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I'm in for isolated spots of severe - it may look worse though given the wet ground - even 30mph winds could be pretty damaging in spots. I wonder if NWS will warn storms accordingly even if they are not meeting the official criteria.
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The rain pattern? Or the lack of severe pattern?
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That complex is not there on the 12z NAM 3km
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Yeah I'm snoozing so far this summer on severe. Granted, I've been busy with work and I moved... But I have not been impressed IMBYs
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Per the obs thread - slight risk already in place for Friday from roughly DC and then to the north and east. Day 3 risks are fraught with potential to bust
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Getting rocked with heavy rain and CG strikes near Columbia right now.
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I have a training class in Ellicott City on Sunday PM. Would be nice to not get washed away.
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WTOP weather forecast mentioned storms with damaging winds and flooding rains for tomorrow - SPC is not impressed lol.
