Kmlwx

Enjoy the snow! Don't worry about a potential dry slot. It's pretty out there! There's patchy radar coverage in that area and it always shows less snow than is actually there. Just look at the LWX radar you can even see the beam with a little slice cut out of it. If we spend all day hand wringing about dry slots we'll miss the great powder falling now. Take the Jebman approach!

You must have a microclimate. It's been pretty good so far here in Colesville. You've been pretty down on this event the entire time it seems...not just today.

Even the RGEM/HRDPS are decently NE of the area basing off the earlier runs. I'm sure we'll get light stuff Monday but I think this is the main show for a lot of us (the today stuff). It's gorgeous out there so I'm certainly not complaining. Looking over at the long term thread it seems we may not be done either. Pretty Sunday!

Great snow scene out here in Colesville. It looks like the majority of the guidance has adjusted the banding to the north and east of us. Need that low to tuck/stall farther south than it is shown on models. Still seemingly within the margin of error - but I'm thinking we better live in the moment and enjoy what we are getting today. Not sure we'll max potential on part 2 tomorrow.

Ditto what Bob said over here in Colesville, MD at my parent's house. Slipped out just in time for a coffee run. Pretty slick on some of the neighborhood streets already.

Not a complaint - more of a reassurance/observation. I'd think a lot of folks may mix - perhaps not during the early parts of the WAA thump - but as it transitions to the lull period sleet is probable.

Decent amount of folks concerned about sleet/mixing. I'd think some sleet or mixing is possible for many areas outside of the favored all-snow locations. Don't the bigger storms always tend to mix? We've discussed this extensively in the past.

Well now I'm definitely opening the Copper Fox bottle I have in storage. The legend is back! I don't even want to know how old your kids are now....that telescope night feels like it was an eternity ago! Hope you and your loved ones are are well!

Or at least not the full headers. It does sometimes end up being helpful if anybody is every reading through the thread in the future - as those links will die. Though I guess watches/warnings are available via archives too.

What is it with those select few users popping up in the main thread with absolutely no additions to the discussion and no citing of evidence or backing of their points of view?

I'd say that's VERY reasonable. Better to start low and increase with confidence as you get closer. If the CCB fails, 6-10" will be a tall task to hit for widespread areas. Going from 6-10" downwards is a bad look. Remember that CWG is geared towards lay people and not us weenies on a weather forum. They are operating under a different approach than pure weenies.

"we just can't know"

Bob Chill suggested a distillery to me years ago. Have been storing some bottles I picked up there since then. If we are ripping fatties at some point during this storm I might have to pop a bottle open.

Exactly. I'm guilty of spending way too much time on here before and during weather events. Have to say...the times in the past when the forum went down and I was forced to go do other things ended up doing me some good. Post count over 10K (and I'm even lower than a lot of people) always is a sobering wake up call to me that I'm a total weather nerd...

I'm not giving @stormtracker any money - but I'll buy him his drink of choice if we ever have a non-socially distanced get together again.

Mods should just lock the forum for a few hours to let everyone cool down Some time away from the screens might do us all some good.

We aren't going to change Ji - so we might as well just accept that Ji will be Ji. I'm not in the business of laying down absolute hate on any posters here. Sure some are more annoying than others. But ultimately most of us are after the same goal...snow and exciting weather.

Totally understand. At the heart of it we are all weather weenies on here. Trust me, I get it. 6-10 is still a really high bar to have set too far out ahead of the storm. I loved seeing those 15+ maps a few days ago, but we all know how that goes. I have even been refusing to give my friends snow maps - DC area experience has taught me over the years to play it down until absolutely necessary. 3+ was my bar even when I was seeing those golden runs.

@osfan24 - You doing okay this year? I might be wrong but I had memories of you being a really balanced poster in the past. We're all itching for a big storm. I think you and I will do okay in this one for a grass covering, shovelable snow.

I don't think anyone is arguing that it isn't disappointing. But there's a big difference in being all bummed about it and enjoying a nice snowfall. Not everything can be a MECS.

The red taggers made a valid, and well backed up point. But they aren't saying it's a "next" storm. 3-6 would be my largest storm in several years. The amount of folks acting like they will not be at all satisfied with a 3-6er and signs of a decent long term pattern into February is kind of comical. I get it - we all want to be in the lake effect areas. We aren't.

I think the comparisons to the earlier depictions at H5 and such are valid. But the people "requiring" 2ft to be happy are treading very close to become Ji clones. We only need one Ji. He has his schtick and it's his. We don't need 30 other Ji's. It's gonna snow - you might not have 40ft drifts, but your grass will likely be fully covered, and if you enjoy shoveling, sledding, walking in the snow you will be very happy. Will be biggest snowfall in several years for many people. If that depresses you, might be time to take a step back from the computer and go spend some time painting or something.

I was pretty shocked that somebody commented "next" in the main thread. Some of the reactions of non-mets are downright absurd. You're not going to be happy with our first WSW criteria snow in a longgg time? I'm elated that I'll actually have the grass fully covered. Signs pointing to us not having a shut the blinds pattern into February too. Sometimes in here it feels like when you offer a homeless person some fruit and they turn it down. Good lord.

Remember how much you hated me in 2006 My awkward over-dramatic high school weather phase. Glad that's over.

To me - what this storm is looking like is a general very nice storm. I don't think we are going to have any areas getting widespread 2+ feet. So if you're looking for a Jan 2016 redux you're of course going to walk away with your tail between your legs. This looks like a good shot to be a "significant" snow event for a huge swath of the area. That alone is a big time win considering how long we've gone without something that actually looks like piled up snow instead of a sloppy event where you still see the blades of grass. If we are realistic about what we expect and end up getting - we'll enjoy the storm. If you want 3ft...I don't know what to tell you other than this is not your storm.