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Kmlwx

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Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. Kmlwx
    The other nice thing is the severe weenies tend to not have a meltdown when storms don't work out. We move on after complaining a little bit. Not speaking for everyone - but there's a lot more of a "what happens happens" mentality with severe.
  2. Kmlwx
    The only difference is we tend to not crash the forum during severe season
  3. Kmlwx
    Not a particularly robust meso discussion.
  4. Kmlwx
    Cell going up near Hancock
  5. Kmlwx
    Ah - the good old "SEE TEXT" - that was an amazing example of how tough to predict severe can be. Some of our most memorable events I feel like are underforecast by SPC from leads.
  6. Kmlwx
    Wooo - some of what I read is sticking (finally). I've come so far since 2006.
  7. Kmlwx
    The way I've seen it explained - the bars (horizontal) coming from the left side of the sounding indicate that the sounding is heavily contaminated (I guess from lift/precip???)
  8. Kmlwx
    Just south of FDK tomorrow - contaminated obviously
  9. Kmlwx
    Would be pretty "classic-DC" if we manage to whiff on all three days around DC proper.
  10. Kmlwx
    Yeah - the soundings are absurd for areas within that pocket. Contaminated for sure in areas (I found a sounding with 50.1 supercell composite param).
  11. Kmlwx
    Latest HRRR absolutely sucks for us Looks like we play dodge the storms on that run.
  12. Kmlwx
    So much CAPE available for that one - temps were triple digits ahead of that. Tons and tons of fuel for it. Didn't that have an EML as well?
  13. Kmlwx
    If there's a red box anywhere today it will be there.
  14. Kmlwx
    Early cap breaking is one of our other top ways to fail around here. Need cap to hold another hour or two ideally.
  15. Kmlwx
    Multiple stations now showing 90 degrees.
  16. Kmlwx
    You can see the DC split showing up already (half kidding)
  17. Kmlwx
    My coworker always tells me his story of driving from this area to Western Maryland (Clear Spring area) and he had to keep stopping for warnings apparently. Wild.
  18. Kmlwx
    Makes sense given storms already entering that watch area.
  19. Kmlwx
    That's pretty much an outbreak around these parts - until the next Ivan that is.
  20. Kmlwx
    I'll mark you down as "in" for a wedge on the mall
  21. Kmlwx
    Those models seem to indicate some nice supercell potential too. I know it sucks but UD helicity maps look nice. I can see the Columbia Tornado Redux on the NAM nest for tomorrow
  22. Kmlwx
    Yeah things seem to be improving. I think we get a slight for tomorrow too based on the latest data.
  23. Kmlwx
    For laughs - there is a pocket of 30+ supercell composite parameter tomorrow over Central MD. SE surface wind on the sounding I pulled and a NICE looking hodograph. I'm sure it's contaminated.
  24. Kmlwx
    Very soupy out already. Most areas locally are well into the 80s and dewpoints are juicy.
  25. Kmlwx
    MLCAPE (as usual) is much lower but climbing.
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