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Kmlwx

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Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. I agree with this like 90% of the time - and definitely for tornadoes I agree for sure. If you're looking downburst winds and large hail - I would argue that huge CAPE values and maybe a little to be desired on the shear/dynamics side of things could potentially serve you better...more pulsey and isolated for sure, though. But yes - I would take your combo over the opposite more often than not.
  2. Looks quiet for now. GFS had maybe a window around April 23rd.
  3. PEPCO only has 2,400 outages so far. I'm sure that'll come up a bit. Not bad for a start to severe season.
  4. Not seeing anything on LSRs yet other than some wind reports. Probably just the lag like EJ said,.
  5. Less lightning/thunder than a really good summer-time storm - but the wind and such made this better than a lot of summer storms. Good severe day!
  6. Really nice gust here (there was another decent one a few minutes ago). This is near Colesville, MD.
  7. Going to miss me JUST to the north it looks like. Darkening up here big time.
  8. Lightning strikes ahead of the line showing up on the ENTLN data.
  9. THat MoCo cell looks really good all of a sudden. Tail-end charlie FTW if it holds.
  10. Next line (for the moment) looks very lackluster other than the Washington County portion.
  11. The cell crossing into Maryland near Williamsport is going to get TOR warned shortly I bet.
  12. That cell in Fairfax looks suspicious again.
  13. We are going to miss that stuff along I-81 unless it starts extending south. Looks like the discrete stuff out ahead is the bigger tornado risk - QLCS style stuff maybe in the line later.
  14. My camera looking north from the apartment back in Columbia got something - looks like a lowering.
  15. The conditional prod of sigtor probabilities are really on the rise locally.
  16. They were also in a radar "dead zone" of sorts. Stuff does tend to look better as it rolls off the mountains.
  17. It's always something - watch flooding become the primary threat.
  18. The wind? Or severe weather? Synoptic wind definitely busted here. Severe is more uncertain.
  19. 750 SBCAPE isn't bad for having no sun so far. The clearing should help boost that at-or-above 1000. Things are looking a bit better compared to earlier. It definitely feels muggy out there.
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