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Kmlwx

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Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. Kmlwx
    Would be pretty "classic-DC" if we manage to whiff on all three days around DC proper.
  2. Kmlwx
    Yeah - the soundings are absurd for areas within that pocket. Contaminated for sure in areas (I found a sounding with 50.1 supercell composite param).
  3. Kmlwx
    Latest HRRR absolutely sucks for us Looks like we play dodge the storms on that run.
  4. Kmlwx
    So much CAPE available for that one - temps were triple digits ahead of that. Tons and tons of fuel for it. Didn't that have an EML as well?
  5. Kmlwx
    If there's a red box anywhere today it will be there.
  6. Kmlwx
    Early cap breaking is one of our other top ways to fail around here. Need cap to hold another hour or two ideally.
  7. Kmlwx
    Multiple stations now showing 90 degrees.
  8. Kmlwx
    You can see the DC split showing up already (half kidding)
  9. Kmlwx
    My coworker always tells me his story of driving from this area to Western Maryland (Clear Spring area) and he had to keep stopping for warnings apparently. Wild.
  10. Kmlwx
    Makes sense given storms already entering that watch area.
  11. Kmlwx
    That's pretty much an outbreak around these parts - until the next Ivan that is.
  12. Kmlwx
    I'll mark you down as "in" for a wedge on the mall
  13. Kmlwx
    Those models seem to indicate some nice supercell potential too. I know it sucks but UD helicity maps look nice. I can see the Columbia Tornado Redux on the NAM nest for tomorrow
  14. Kmlwx
    Yeah things seem to be improving. I think we get a slight for tomorrow too based on the latest data.
  15. Kmlwx
    For laughs - there is a pocket of 30+ supercell composite parameter tomorrow over Central MD. SE surface wind on the sounding I pulled and a NICE looking hodograph. I'm sure it's contaminated.
  16. Kmlwx
    Very soupy out already. Most areas locally are well into the 80s and dewpoints are juicy.
  17. Kmlwx
    MLCAPE (as usual) is much lower but climbing.
  18. Kmlwx
    Straight out of the weenie handbook. I like it
  19. Kmlwx
    Frustrating to keep having stuff be north of us.
  20. Kmlwx
    Newest HRRR run is a little better - but primary focus still appears to be PA. Will be watching nowcast trends this morning.
  21. Kmlwx
    NAM nest and HRRR pretty much give all the big time stuff to PA...again. Gives us some minor scraps. We do get some better storms tomorrow - always the next day... Hopefully we can work on those trends in subsequent runs...
  22. Kmlwx
    I like to build suspense and wait until the run is done. lol
  23. Kmlwx
    How long until Yoda asks if a moderate is possible tomorrow (or me)
  24. Kmlwx
    Storms following similar paths too. Quite the radar image on the KCCX radar.
  25. Kmlwx
    Imagine if our radar tomorrow looks anything close to how PIT looks right now.
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