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Kmlwx

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Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. Kmlwx
    Thursday continues to look interesting on CIPS and GFS.
  2. Kmlwx
    0z output from CIPS is not bad looking for our area at the 120hr period.
  3. Kmlwx
    I was in Calverton earlier and the lightning off in the distance looked spectacular.
  4. Kmlwx
    Sunday doesn't look that impressive anymore locally. But we are close to a slight from SPC. We'll see. Meanwhile - looks like Ian and our guys are in for a nice chasecation!
  5. Kmlwx
    We need to change that lol into a woo
  6. Kmlwx
    I'm punting today. Looks ho hum around here...and for most of the area. Sunday on the NAM really looks interesting. We'll see if it holds as we get closer. Nice instability of over 3000 on some of the soundings nearby. Good helicity too. And the LOL UD helicity maps on the end of the 3km run are nice looking.
  7. Kmlwx
    Sunday afternoon/evening looks like it has potential on the 3km NAM.
  8. Kmlwx
    Slight risk for today.
  9. Kmlwx
    Looking at LWX velocity scans I'm not sure i see much other than the abrupt windshift.
  10. Kmlwx
    That storm is going bonkers right now...
  11. Kmlwx
    50kft tops with it too! Impressive!
  12. Kmlwx
    Question will become whether it will maintain strength as it crosses the boundary into the more stable airmass north of the front.
  13. Kmlwx
    This is extremely lame so far.
  14. Kmlwx
    Tstm watch for areas west of the metro area.
  15. Kmlwx
    The warned cell is exhibiting some supcellular qualities
  16. Kmlwx
    Appears to be a boundary just south of the Potomac running across DC and then into Maryland. Visible nicely on satellite and even a bit on radar too.
  17. Kmlwx
    15z HRRR keeps everything north and west of the cities. Doesn't get much at all into the metro corridor.
  18. Kmlwx
    Definitely looks like a little "tongue" of clearing is working it's way into central MoCo.
  19. Kmlwx
    Delmarva starting to erode the wedge but no such luck in the DC/Balt area.
  20. Kmlwx
    Making a little progress - looks like DCA is out of the wedge and maybe even the southern parts of MoCo.
  21. Kmlwx
    I tend to just use them to get an idea of where the "best" activity might be - and also to look for consistency. Other than that I don't really think they have much use. I've seen days where they look crazy and we get nothing as well as days where just a little green shows up and we get multiple TORs
  22. Kmlwx
    10z run of UD helicity swath map
  23. Kmlwx
    The stupid UD helicity swath map
  24. Kmlwx
    Example from the 11z run - using the COD site - https://weather.cod.edu/forecast/
  25. Kmlwx
    Consistency at least - of course it could be consistently wrong... But 11z HRRR has almost the same thing.
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