Jump to content

Kmlwx

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    13,111

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Kmlwx

  1. Kmlwx
    Some of the hail numbers on the Loudoun/MoCo cell are coming down now. Still a heck of a storm - and a neat shape/look to the cell as a whole on the KLWX radar. So far I haven't seen much ground truth from it, though.
  2. Kmlwx
    It's a messy looking radar overall. Definitely the signature when there's not much inhibition and stuff just wants to fire.
  3. Kmlwx
    VIL numbers on the Loudoun/MoCo cell are really impressive. Looks like the core of the VIL will head near or just south of Poolesville on current track.
  4. Kmlwx
    That is a GREAT shot!
  5. Kmlwx
    My guess is that the Loudoun/Montgomery cell may weaken before it gets to me...but that's a really, really nice storm.
  6. Kmlwx
    The Loudoun cell is preparing to cross over into Montgomery. That cell seems to have some legs so far. That may be the one to watch for the closer in northern DC burbs and even DC proper. It's heading ESE and continues to look impressive both on KLWX and TIAD. Question is the impact of the lead cells near Gaithersburg and the beltway. Those could leave behind a bit of a stabilized airmass for the larger, more intense cell.
  7. Kmlwx
    Heads up Leesburg! Heck of a cell now. Good velocity continues on the TIAD scans.
  8. Kmlwx
    ProbSevere for wind spiked big time with the Loudoun cell!
  9. Kmlwx
    https://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/severe_conv/NOAACIMSS_PROBSEVERE
  10. Kmlwx
    Seems like a compact area of potential 60-65mph winds heading towards Leesburg judging by the TIAD radar.
  11. Kmlwx
    the ProbSevere placefile that @Eskimo Joe has shared before is printing out abnormally high values for some of these cells. Have gotten used to them staying under 30% most days.
  12. Kmlwx
    Severe criteria winds showing up on the TIAD radar on the Loudoun cell heading for Montgomery. Could head towards me if it keeps intensity.
  13. Kmlwx
    The Loudoun complex/cell bears watching as well. Nothing severe - but there may be a developing wind signature on that - 35-40mph range for now. But that may be organizing further. Will be interesting to see how it interacts with the outflow from the storms to the SE of it.
  14. Kmlwx
    Snakey outflow boundary heading north
  15. Kmlwx
    That Anne Arundel cell has a wind signature on the TBWI radar.
  16. Kmlwx
    The cell near Berryville/Rippon looks nice - lots of lightning being detected as well.
  17. Kmlwx
    Remember that those are the grids. Often the language is better in the zone forecast product.
  18. Kmlwx
    There's an MCD now. I'm at work and can't post.
  19. Kmlwx
    You know I'm jaded when I'm a Deb lol
  20. Kmlwx
    There still seems to be a south-favored nature of today's threat on the models. Not to say stuff isn't north of the Potomac, but I'd say best shots at something above the severe criteria is south of DC. We'll see!
  21. Kmlwx
    12z NAM nest focuses the activity south of DC
  22. Kmlwx
    Earlier 12z CIPS run has 5/2/2016 and 5/13/2002 in the analogs. The 2002 date was a MDT risk day.
  23. Kmlwx
    Mid-level lapse rates suck on the NAM. Timing could also adjust since we are several days out. NAM does give us sunshine that morning (for now)
  24. Kmlwx
    CIPS has a few heavy hitter events sprinkled in the next 48 hours.
  25. Kmlwx
    Yep. I saw two maybe. Not a storm though!
×
×
  • Create New...