Albedoman

For better or worse. Well she apparently does not know what that means. My god, going blind and not breathing for a parent is terrifying in any situation and especially to the children and grandchildren. Moving your mother to PA nursing home would be the best option if you want to save your marriage. But if the wife says no, its time to hit the road and live with Mom until the end. I know my wife would support either one of our parents no matter the situation. We miss them. You wife's parents still alive or have they passed and she simply does not care? So Sorry

how in the hell can I believe this snow map when a penile looking amount of accumulation is depicted in the middle of the Adirondacks? These models are becoming hilarious in their own mind. LOL

in this pattern, it is very possible for 80+ degree days in April as evident in 2002 April 2002 Allentown Weather Day High (°F) Low (°F) Precip. (inches) Snow (inches) April 1 56 37 0.01 0.0 April 2 63 31 0.00 0.0 April 3 68 37 0.18 0.0 April 4 50 30 0.00 0.0 April 5 43 26 0.00 0.0 April 6 44 27 0.00 0.0 April 7 50 21 0.00 0.0 April 8 62 35 0.01 0.0 April 9 72 54 0.33 0.0 April 10 64 43 0.01 0.0 April 11 64 37 0.00 0.0 April 12 55 34 0.07 0.0 April 13 70 54 0.05 0.0 April 14 76 53 0.84 0.0 April 15 77 59 0.23 0.0 April 16 89 57 0.00 0.0 April 17 91 60 0.00 0.0 April 18 87 61 0.00 0.0 April 19 87 59 0.19 0.0 April 20 68 45 0.01 0.0 April 21 54 44 0.03 0.0 April 22 55 39 0.12 0.0 April 23 55 36 0.00 0.0 April 24 60 30 0.00 0.0 April 25 54 37 0.33 0.0 April 26 59 34 0.00 0.0 April 27 61 31 0.08 0.0 April 28 59 46 1.13 0.0 April 29 57 41 0.01 0.0 April 30 59 34 0.20 0.0

that was a huge mistake. Groundwater/streamlevels will be at record lows by May in this crappy but weak La Nina pattern. No snow base for available soil moisture recovery and maintaining base flows plus the ground is not frozen. Warm sunny days in March- April above 80 degrees will teach those hydrologists. I guess they forgot to look at 2001 to 2002 analogs for the transition period from a weak La Nina to an El Nino year. The setup is almost identical to this year. Allentown only received 26 in of snow in 2002 before going into the worst drought for the area. We stand at one inch of snow now with some areas of the Lehigh Valley seeing nothing. I have not more than one inch of rain since early december in any event. By the way, have there been any years where there were no Nor'easters in the winter? We are heading in that direction too.

wrong on both counts. I bet it was for his leaf blower. Those dam leaves have not been pushed down on the surface by the the lack of a snow pack and are still blowing everywhere. They using the blower for cleaning up mulch after spreading too. This is the first time that I have ever seen mulch being spread in January in the LV These landscapers are really hurting as their off season plowing is shot to hell.

these models are useless- rain rain and more rain. Even the NAM is throwing in the towel for Sunday. Well bring on Spring. I will make a million dollar bet that the first snow, someone on this board will call it an over performer because there is not one model that is performing correctly LOL

That secondary precip field off Hatteras will tend to pull the LP 985 SE closer to the coast in future runs---Chesapeake Crabber to me. Almost in the sweet spot for E PA That looks to be the best shot for me for some snow in a long time.

Take your choice of which video clip matches the euro, GFS, CMC or Icon at this time. The official outcome will be called by our umpire/ref (NAM)on the field during the instant replay at the OZ Sunday night model run. Do not be surprised if the play is called back by the NAM for an illegal block from the SE ridge downfield. LMAO https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3KP4CDS0eVk

And this what the models are showing

wow, the planet Mars had a sunny day too. Its a shame we are now comparing the two for the amount of sun we have received this month a rarity indeed. https://www.itemfix.com/v?t=5e0ewn

every GFS model run fakes this or that. This afternoons Euro run is trying to spit out something but it cannot get its act together. Lets face it, when the Euro and Nam both agree at 3-5 days, then we have something, otherwise every model run fits this meme in this shitty pattern.

this what I really think how the pattern will develop

In all my years 15-20 yrs tracking models on the internet, I have never seen the GFSGEm and even the Euro so screwed up as it is right now in showing snow totals for our area at the end of the runs. Absolutely no confidence in anything over 5 days. The last 2-5 days model runs , the 12Z says 12+ and then the 18Z comes back and says zippo. Then the 0Z says 4" and the 6Z comes back with zilcho again. Yes I like snow but I also like rain. The primary rain events appear to be doing the same thing as well now. I guess I would say if nothing pans out between the 23rd and the end of the month for a major snow event, I will be writing off this winter. Yes I know Feb is our snowiest month but I cannot possibly see any consistent pattern developing on the LR in Feb with these models so wishy washy. I want to be optimistic but dam GFS/GEM and Euro throw me a bone and show me 6+ inches of snow in at least 48 hours worth of runs. Sorry for the rant guys but this is getting plain ridiculous to even look at the models over three days looking for LR patterns to develop when we cannot even get consistency from run to run.

this is a better way of saying it

thanks Don. Nice to see in the philly forum. This what i think of the current pattern for the next few weeks but I am sure sometime after the 22-24 period something will give to break it.

I absolutely agree. The window opening is very short and every chance of a storm will be thread the needle in our pattern. The only barn burner for this current crappy pattern is a Mardi Gras special LP forming and riding the southern Apps and then along the coast for true Miller A. Until the LPs form in the southern Miss Valley/GOM, nothing good will come our way according to the Mardi Gras cat

this is how I feel right now:

went washed my car FWIW. Usually its salt, bird crap from the geese flying over. Only 1-2 days of nice full sunshine a week is far worse than no snow right now. This mornings mangled flakes were a joke. I saw more bird crap on my car.

to last nights big snow event -Kahn(Dr No. ) says:

for all the snow weenies out there, its not a woosh you hear, it comes from Khan himself when demanding a nice snow event for our area. LMAO

not much better here. At least here, the hair dryer cord will not be plugged in. If you were looking for a ray of sunshine, you might as well go to Texas. We have seen so many cloudy days in the LV the past month, Allentown is now known as Seattle 2.

Jeez, Have to bring out my broom or leaf blower on this heavy hitter on Sunday night. This event will be all melted and gone before sunset on Monday afternoon and we return back into our dull weather pattern for the rest of the week. The only good thing next week - sunny skies for three days in a row, something we sure did NOT see the last few weeks.