Albedoman

way long time ago under the old forum. Do not remember the exact time before 2017. I believe somebody else had that name too. Thats why I changed it.

You guys better start thinking about drought instead of cold and warm. Not having more than .50 inch of rain in weeks here at my house is worrisome. Usually the ground is so wet, I cannot even drive the mower on it. Once the tree releaf begins and the temps hit near 70, its game on as the moisture will really get sucked out of the ground. Fortunately the soil temps are below normal now but that can quickly change with a few sunny 70 degree days. I am hoping Saturday we can get an inch of rain with some t- storms but I am not holding my breath as this stagnant light shower weather pattern refuses to budge. I am so tired of either the constant cloudy cold days or sunny blowing your ass around days. It has been this way for the entire month. 50 degree sunny days with 30 mph + northerly winds is not productive.

wow- t storms in the forecast the next few days. Well beats the hell out of this past winter. Bring it on and we really need the convective gully washers

ah don't worry, our drought is just starting. No significant rain events in the immediate future. 1-2 in of rain since January is not going to cut it it with no snow base. The fire watches/red flags are only the start of the drought problems in these past few weeks. If we get no significant rain events by leaf out, we will be in a drought folks. Well yields and stream flows will be down big time. This happens after every La Nina winter pattern like clockwork. What breaks the drought-- early season tropical storms

That model is on a snow high for sure. NO way.

NO way in hell does this work out for us. There is not enough cold air in the profile. Just toss this crap back into the hopper.

I finally found out what pattern we are now in

March snow squalls only the light version nothing more. Agree will be gone quickly. Batter up for next week though.

Game on. The models keep spitting out a deepening LP late next week. The precursor for a MAJOR pattern change IN THE MAKING signified by todays BS system becoming the eventual blocking mechanism for next weeks storm for us. Now you can say buckle up.

Thanks for checking Mike. Typo?

I have a clip for the MT Holly guys writing this discussion for the LV this morning--- Whats even more unbelievable is that 6-10 warrants a winter storm watch and they did not even issue one. Yes I agree it is warranted as a minimum If the cold air buildup upon in a deepening coastal LP, the rain will likely turn to heavy wet snow in an extreme dendritic growth situation and MT Holly will be forced to issue a winter storm warning after we had 3+ in of snow on the road in the LV. With all the truck traffic in the LV, thats a disaster in the making. Why even mention if you are not sure.

My forecast - From northwest NJ to Long Island from Northern Surekill county to the Poconos 6 -12 inches of snow. From LV west into Harrisburg 1-2 in of wet slop on the grass. Anyone south of LV might as well go pound sand. Winter is dead folks and this next storm will slap the hell out of the Philly metro area and even the LV for snow accumaltions. NIMBY syndrome for sure when it comes to snowfall events for se and south central PA

Looks Promising as temps jump into the 60's. God I would love to see some training t storms. That would make up for this crappy March worth it. The Hail I could live without but a continuous lighting storm would be like getting a nor'easter KU storm right now without the shoveling. Bring it on bay and for you Ralph Buckle up.

This thread is for tracking t- storm events only. Its time we all stop wishful thinking of a KU event happening this spring and start tracking our next squall line event.

we have been good to toss in winter since the first week in January. Time to think t- storms. We should be tracking them as much as we have been chasing these BS snowstorms on the models. This is the first year in my memory (35 years) that I have not had to even bring out the shovel as the snow is gone in less than 24 hours. The snow that has been recorded at LVI has been all from either white rain snow events that have melted away in less than 12 hours or a dusting from a weird snow squall. The dusting we had in the arctic outbreak in December blew away and evaporated. I have more dust on my snow shovel and snow thrower. The real issue to ponder- what the hell happened to all of the alberta clippers in January and was this disappearance a true pretext to our crappy winter? This year will be known as the year without snow and the year of the lake cutters. I heard more thunder than I saw snow this winter. Disgusting. Also this winter season is known as the season without sunshine. So many cloudy days with crappy below normal temps thus far in March. What stands out the most however in this pattern is the fact that we had so so so many cloudy nights with record warm overnight lows from fall and lasting into the winter season. Whatever happened to the fall crisp and clear nights or the cold clear bitter nights in winter? I am ready to go back to normalcy that is for sure. I hope April brings on a new weather pattern with warm spells and t- storm frontal passages

.5 inch of snow does not cut it with me for precip totals. At this points 1-3 in snows are worthless. I would rather see 1" rainfall totals right now to recharge the parched groundwater tables. This week alone we had two wildfire hazardous messages. If this crappy weather pattern does not break soon, we will be heading into a drought in late April and streamflows will be down big time as the water gets sucked out of the ground during the releafing process.

Four degree daily anomaly and this indicates spring? Had to really dig this one up? Notice the blue in the Chesapeake Bay area. All this model tells me is that there is a decent chance of a Nor'easter forming as the cloudy and really cold rainy days continue until the second week of April Thanks anyway.

Sorry, but what guidance is showing Spring? I have yet to see a 70+ degree in the next 15 days. In fact the temps for the rest of March may not even hit the 60's. Spring to many of us is 70+ degree days with t-showers. Hell the soil temps are still so cold , the grass will not turn dark green yet. The leaves on my pussy willow tree have not even budded yet. 5 out 7 days a week of Cloudy 40 degree days just do not indicate Spring to me yet. We just do not have the white crap on the ground this year thats all. Give me Feb again as that was a spring month to me.

what a joke 1" in Reading and nearly 8 in at ABE Give me a break. That run is on drugs. Overdose on heroin model run and Narcan cannot even save it.

this better explains it as I posted in the Philly forum the models trying to hot a bouncing ball and we get whiffed everytime

Stated and summed up with all of these models in the last two days in these three simple words we all come to know "HIGH BUST POTENTIAL" This has been on-going this entire season. I expect nothing less at this point since consistency for each model run between 3-5 days has been an utter joke. Well lets see the 18z model run will show a huge strung out mess and we all get rain or zilcho as the 0z runs will clearly depict a tight wound up series of lows near the sweet spot with 2 ft snow accumulations. Place your bets. ITs like playing the roulette wheel. Another word missing from this year in our vocabulary- "OVERPERFORMER" LOL as the models are simple ball paddles right now.as in this clip

the only problem with this measurement is that does not accurately represent the entire LV as a whole. Many places in western lehigh county have received as much snow as Norristown PA, less than 2 inches. Furthermore, a true snow weenie would be also looking at how many days of measurable snow has been on the ground at LVI. I would bet that record will be broken. Thus far at my house no snow has lasted on the ground longer than 12 hours.

I love this tit for tat. Great to get our spirits up for a nothing burger model run. This clip below is about the truck diver as the Euro model spitting out 30 inches of snow and us acting like Sheriff Justice by getting ticked off. LOL

this is the most accurate post of the week.