Albedoman

do you have a a heat pump system? If so , it sounds like the defrost board or the reversing valve maybe screwed up. The other issue in this high humidity is that the compressor maybe screwed up too if they never charged the unit with enough coolant when they installed it. Low coolant pressure can give you the appearance that the unit is working as the more you turn down the thermostat, the warmer it gets in the house as the air never really cools.

Wow, first decent t-storm since April. Real good squall line coming through with lots of heavy rain. Quakertown and points south should be in the mix too. My garden will love this. This rain event is helpful but not a drought buster.

as an official spotter for 30 years, I saw very little rotation with the tornado warned t -storm that is quickly fading. In fact, just enough sprinkles was the only thing produced in Lower Macungie with a brief downdraft as the storm was clearly localized (rain across the street but not at your house episode). Scud clouds gave the appearance of some rotation at the base of the storm. Major disappointment with the rainfall. Sprinkles and that was it. I am sure someone in Fogelsville and western Allentown got a quick downpour of an .25 in. or little more as we really need training t- storms. 70 percent chance of rainfall in the forecast has been a real misnomer as the areal coverage has been more like 30% or less. I see better chances of afternoon t storms in TN than I have seen here with 70-80% chances being predicted. The models absolutely suck in a Canada in dominated high pressure pattern. If I was Mt Holly, I would predict nothing more than 30% of rain in the forecast until the pattern changes or we get a cold front that means business.

CoolhandMIke you are spot on with above statement. That is another reason why I believe you and I are right in our thinking and why I made such a bold statement. Others will be making such statement soon in the media. The combination of significant volcanic ash and dust dispersal, wild fire smoke and a constant three years of a la nina pattern cannot be ignored. I distinctly remember the Mt Pinatubo eruption(as I am physical geographer and geologist) in 1991 and what happened the following years from the result of the ash ejected into the stratosphere. The winter of 93-94 was cold and wintry that's for sure for our area. The effects of the 1991 eruption were felt worldwide. The volcano ejected more particulate into the stratosphere than any eruption since Krakatoa in 1883. Over the following months, the aerosols formed a global layer of sulfuric acid haze. Global temperatures dropped by about 0.5 °C (0.9 °F) in the years 1991–1993,[9] and ozone depletion temporarily saw a substantial increase. The climatic results took two years from Mt Pinatubo in the southern hemisphere to reach the northern hemisphere weather and wind patterns. I also believe the effects of the Hunga Tonga eruption will arrive this winter since it is further from the northern hemisphere than is Mt Pinatubo and by January, we will see clear evidence of how the combination of ash, smoke and dust effect our local climate. To many idiotic climate activists rely on greenhouse gasses to make wild predictions when the real issue is dust, smoke and ash being ejected into our atmosphere. You all saw first hand what wildfire smoke can do to our atmosphere in our region by bringing down temps the last few weeks. Now imagine that higher up in the atmosphere with ash and dust from volcanoes too. These greenhouse climate people need to go back to school and learn about the albedo effect in our atmosphere.

its the winter of 2003 with presidents day noreaster plus others in December of 2002 that I am talking about.

I am going to emphatically state tonight and please mark this post. The Canadian wild fires have emitted so much smoke now in the northern hemisphere that this winter in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast will exhibit record cold snaps and perhaps above average snowfall for some areas. The dominating HP over southern Canada which is preventing the Bermuda High from taking over this summer will relax every now and then during the summer but will continue its dominance over our weather patterns until the pattern reloads with el nino pattern becoming dominate. in mid to late winter. Below average monthly temps will continue into the foreseeable future. As the el nino returns with an easterly pattern, nor'easters will become the talk of the town in December. This year reminds me a lot of 2002 winter season coming off a major a drought into an developing el nino pattern. we had some good nor'easters that year. The smoke will help keep temp down.

enough to get my deck wet. Hopefully more after midnight

Total thus far is .75 in of rain today in western lehigh county. Not a drought buster but better than nothing. The garden and lawns are loving it but the streams will rise for a few hours and then drop again. The ground is no where near saturation thats for sure. Another round incoming, maybe this can round can put me over an inch of precip for today.

.45 in of rain total from the last two days, including the 10 minute downpour this morning. Its a start. Need that sun to come out in the next few hours to provide the juice now.

wow, I hear the thunder as the the skies are beginning to darken in the southwest just as as the debris clouds were beginning to thin out here - just maybe a quick downpour as the radar is starting to light up in eastern Berks County. If this current scenario is any indication this morning, those areas where the sun gets out in the afternoon - big time training t- storms and severe potential will be popping.

less than .10 in the gauge overnight. Rumbles of thunder- nothing more. Not a good day to start off for producing rain- no sunshine and cloudy from this early mornings showers. Have got to get the sun out out like in VA in the last hour satellite image below. Yesterday, the debris clouds from surrounding t- storms in south eastern PA and in the Poconos absolutely killed any chance of training t- storms in the LV. This morning is looking the same as yesterday afternoon. Very localized t- storms popping up where the sun is trying to peek out on the current radar.

here we go again. Chester county into Philly metro getting more heavy rain right now at 11:20 pm Unbelievable. that same area has received more rain in the last two weeks than the LV has received in over three months. The sinking air lid is over the LV even at night now. The line of t-storms west of Harrisburg is also fizzling out. The forecast has literally stated that the LV was to expect by the end of the weekend 2-3 in of rain. I have had less than .25 of precip in this same time period. Localized t- storms do not help in a long term drought situation.- it just makes it more frustrating.

flat out zilch from western Lehigh county to Lebanon Countym, especially along I -78 corridor. The area has been one huge wall of nothing the last 3 days.

wow. Forecast for 1-2 in of training thundershowers Monday night. Hey, Mt Holly, I am ready for another bust. I guess they believe what the Euro and CMC has been spitting out. The NAM/RGEM is however getting close to what the the globals are telling them but we have burned too many times in the past 90 days on even SR model accuracy. The one thing I am ecstatic about is the fact this morning is the first morning in 30+ days that the sun was out after 7am with absolutely no smoke/haze evidence in the air after the early morning fog burned off-. Crystal blue skies at 8 am . Its nice to breathe again

the sun cam out but every cotton picking t-cell was northeast of the LV into the Poconos or were SE near Philly. I say give it up Mt Holly. I have had only one t storm in three months at my house and it was only 20 minutes long- back in April. The lid is on for convectivity over the LV in the foreseeable future. These .15 rain showers at night are keeping the lawns green but the Little Lehigh streamflow in my backyard is the lowest I have seen in over 20 years. You cannot keep ignoring hydraulic stream flows in your discussions.

this is the biggest bust of the year IMHO. We were supposed to get 1.5 in of rain by midnight. I got .19" in my gauge in Macungie. This was not even close to what was forecasted. Tonights radar looks absolutely pathetic. The 60- 80% chance of heavy rain should have been forecasted to 20-30%. Philly metro area is getting dumped on the last two weeks, high and dry north of the South Mtn range. I expect nothing more than hit and miss showers the next five days. This pesky low- shortwave is not a drought buster- just a lawn greener. many residential wells in the LV and toward Harrisburg will be be going dry in the next few weeks. A drought warning and emergency should be issued by PADEP by Tuesday if we do NOT get some really significant rains this weekend and I mean real back to back gully washers. The sun did not come out at all today and without the convective nature with the sun daytime heating, we are destined to light rain showers and drizzle for the next five days.

I could take a leak more than what has fallen thus far. All these spotty showers are doing is simply washing the pollen off the cars. We need significant rain to infiltrate the ground and I mean inches of rain not a .5 inch here or there. The Euro saying 5 in-- it has not been right for the six months on any precip event. This winter was pathetic with this LR model. No LR range model has produced. We must rely on 48 hour models until this stubborn Canadian HP system moves the hell out of the way. This current dominating Canadian pattern has really screwed up the reliability and accuracy of LR models since last December. Time for recalibrating these models since the current pattern last existed in the 60's- 70's

no suicides but farmers will not be happy. Lucky it going to be cool- great way to green up the yard without weed proliferation.. The rains over the weekend maybe beneficial however if it rains everyday. The corn is still has sprouted but way too small. It should be knee high by now.

this mornings forecast has taken rain out of the forecast for the next five days. Dry begats dry pattern. Back to watering the gardens on Monday. The streams in our area will begin to dry up, even in the karst areas. . A drought warning/emergency is coming.

less than .5 in two days of t-showers in Lehigh County. No drought buster thats for sure. The creek levels are still falling as any rainfall the last five days has only helped green some lawns and getting the corn/soybeans out of the ground. Lucky the temps are cooler otherwise we would be in a drought emergency. Lets hope for more showers to keep the gardens and crops growing but for the streams, it looks like a piss poor prognosis right now as the groundwater tables are not being recharged to keep base flows established. The only water for many streams are from the stormwater pipes flushing all the crap from the roads into a dry stream bed. NOT A GOOD SITUATION.

small pea size hail with nice t- storm in Macungie. Fist one of the year. Lots of cold air and lapse rates steep enough for hail. Not alot of rain though. 25 in thus far today.

good for gardens lawns and trees. Thats it. Stream flows will continue to fall as the first inch of soil has finally received some water. The only water that made to the streams was from polluted (first flush) roads. The amount of non-point pollutants had to be astronomical in that runoff- from oil, fetilzer, pesticidesbird and animal crap etc. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/First_flush

a debbie downer for sure. Its like waiting for a winter storm and the dry air virga eats it all the snow up. The air is so dry . 03 in in the bucket. Going to be a lot of disappointed farmers and gardeners if the air does not moisten up.

Any precip we get on Monday- Tuesday time frame will be just enough to keep some green in the lawns and for keeping the garden going. The streams however are screwed. The stream base flows will continue to fall. We need a tropical storm and there is one forming on the LR models after the 20th near the GOM. Maybe some of that moisture can make it up here. Otherwise a drought warning/emergency is coming quickly. The cool temps are really saving us from having a drought emergencydeclared now as people are only periodically watering their gardens. The poor corn crop should be approaching knee high by now and I only see sprouts in the LV. Even the winter wheat looks like crap.

Guys, Earlier this spring I know many of you gave me the name drought man. While I do not mind, It was never my prediction to bring all of this smoke with no humidity. I knew it was going to be bad with the drought since I was calling for this drought since February but this is ridiculous. With two red flag warnings this week and additional fire special weather statements unless we get some beneficial rains on Monday- Tuesday, we are heading into a drought emergency and not just a warning. The real killer has been in the last 2-3 nights is the lack of humidity in order to reach critical dewpoints. With no overnight moisture availability for the vegetation, once the smoke clears out and the heat returns, its into the oven for the vegetation. By the way look at the trend section below for the Lehigh Valley- its really bad https://www.airnow.gov/?city=Macungie&state=PA&country=USA