Albedoman

No way in this pattern does it snow 2.2"at LVI and 5" at Central Park. WE all get some snow. These clown maps are getting hilarious.

the only positive aspect at this time is that the 0Z CMC finally shows a Ohio/TN valley Low heading to the coast instead of screaming into the Great lakes this year. Finally, a single model run that both the CMC and GFS finally agree 6 days out was somewhat a plus too. Lets hope it says this way in the next 72 hours. I feel somewhat hopeful but we have burned before baby

AS I keeping saying "winter is dead Jim." The positive growth snow on the ground of these models is a few inches so what? If we get it, it will be gone in a few days or even hours with no long sustaining cold.

mid to upper 60's in the LV just beautiful with sunny skies. Screw winter it is done. Sorry NYC- on the wrong side again.

lived there and done that. Stuck in a blizzard in 1977 on my first road trip from Newhall Ca. where I lived and during high school. Went around the the closed interstate 5 blocks at Castaic and got back on and got stuck at Tejon Pass near Gorman. Spent two days in the only motel there. Had had to dig it out the car after 4 feet of snow buried it. Battery went dead too because I had to leave flashers on so the huge snow blowers would not hit it on the shoulder. Lots of fun the good ole days

I lived near the Grapevine in 1975-78 I Graduated from Hart High School in the Santa Clarita Valley. I have been watching this area for over 40 years now. If they were ever to get as much snow as they did when I was there, This year appears to be the winner. Sorry for the pictures being sideways but here was one of my first adventures of being in an actual blizzard at the Grapevine in 77. 3-4 ft of snow for days. Caught at the Caravan Hotel. They helicoptered food to the hotel as hundreds were stranded. MY pictures were all the proof. My 1071 Ford torino car was buried along I-5 and the picture below is before the main storm hit. It took me and my friend over four hours to unbury it. They used snowblowers from Tahoe area to clear the interstate. Never had seen it snow so hard anywhere as it snowed at 5 inch an hour rates for hours

My official spokesman of the weather models just told me this-- You get nothing LOL

well that its --winter is over. It will be snowing around the SF Bay area this week. What a slap in the face. Its snowed in Tuscon, Las Vegas and poor Minneapolis is getting 2-3 ft of snow this week, while we can even scrape up an inch f snow for an entire day. Pathetic

well this is the nail in the coffin for us this winter. I am officially declaring this the worst winter EVER here in the LV. When the hills around the SF Bay area are expected to get 1-2 inches of snow this week, Vegas, Tuscon and sw Texas get snow on the ground for longer than a day and we have had literally nothing that has lasted more than 6 hours this winter, the winter has been officially DOA. IN my 64 years, I have never seen a winter season warmer on the east coast than on the west coast in February. Truly ironic. https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-122.43183690962128&lat=37.54033067584129 Current conditions at Half Moon Bay Airport (KHAF) Lat: 37.5136°NLon: 122.4996°WElev: 65ft. Mist 50°F 10°C Humidity 87% Wind Speed N 0 MPH Barometer 30.08 in (1018.63 mb) Dewpoint 46°F (8°C) Visibility 4.00 mi Last update 20 Feb 06:55 PM PST More Information: Local Forecast OfficeMore Local Wx3 Day HistoryMobile WeatherHourly Weather Forecast Extended Forecast for 4 Miles E Montara CA Click here for hazard details and duration Wind Advisory Tonight Partly Cloudy Low: 45 °F Tuesday Mostly Sunny and Windy High: 51 °F⇓ Tuesday Night Slight Chance Showers and Windy Low: 40 °F Wednesday Chance Showers and Breezy High: 45 °F Wednesday Night Chance Rain/Snow then Snow Showers Likely Low: 37 °F Thursday Rain/Snow Likely then Showers Likely High: 44 °F Thursday Night Rain/Snow Likely Low: 36 °F Friday Chance Rain/Snow then Chance Showers High: 45 °F Friday Night Slight Chance Rain/Snow then Partly Cloudy Low: 36 °F Detailed Forecast Tonight Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. West northwest wind 7 to 10 mph. Tuesday Mostly sunny, with a temperature rising to near 51 by 11am, then falling to around 43 during the remainder of the day. Windy, with a northwest wind 21 to 26 mph increasing to 29 to 34 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 50 mph. Tuesday Night A 10 percent chance of showers after 4am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 40. Windy, with a northwest wind 25 to 30 mph, with gusts as high as 49 mph. Wednesday A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly between 10am and 4pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 45. Breezy, with a west northwest wind around 23 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Wednesday Night A slight chance of rain and snow showers before 7pm, then snow showers likely. Some thunder is also possible. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. West wind 11 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Thursday Snow showers likely before 10am, then rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 44. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Thursday Night Rain and snow showers likely before 4am, then a chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Friday A chance of snow showers before 10am, then a chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 45. Friday Night A slight chance of rain and snow showers before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Saturday Mostly sunny, with a high near 49. Saturday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 40. Sunday Partly sunny, with a high near 49. Sunday Night A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42. Monday A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 50.

I have only one question? Will the Mason Dixon line 25,000 ft wall please move 300 miles to the north? That dam wall is preventing precip from reaching our area. To hell with the snow- it will never come but I would like to see at least one inch of a good soaking rain with a t shower. I guess that is too much to ask for. I have had less than a .25 of an inch of rain in three weeks. When they trenched my yard for a Fios cable today, the topsoil was literally brown powder.

well guys, here is my proof. For the first time ever in my 34 years living in Macungie PA . blooming daffodils on February 16th. I though maybe the end of Feb we might have a chance but today with highs in the lows 60's they bloomed. This winter really sucks. I now wait for them to be covered by the end of the month with snow. To make matters worse, Verizon was trench cutting and boring in my yard for FIOS in our development- the excavation workers( some in the their mid 50's) said they have never trenched and bored in the middle February before as the ground is usually frozen solid. The soil was like powder before we had a speck of rain showers this afternoon- just enough to get the ground wet. We need some serious precip that for sure.

MY god, this would be the ultimate kick in the ass for this winter for us if this did occur. In my ten+ years living in LA county and the Bay area, I only saw snow a couple of times on the coastal ranges.- just an inch or so. This year however, anything is possible. I am waiting to see snow in on the ground in San Diego. That would be something.

what we gets me pissed is that 1. my daffodils are about to bloom- never seen this in my 35 years living in the LV in mid Feb, 2. tornadoes in Memphis Tn tonight - never seen that either and 3. the real ass kicker is a foot of snow in Milwaukee Wi yet we get absolutely Jack crap from this system here in PA but a few rain showers and if we are real lucky a quick clap of thunder tomorrow night LMAO. This winter really sucks. This lady says it all for us on the lower east side of the country

Analog year - 2018 -----3-4 nor'easters in a row dumped 20 inches on the LV in 3 weeks in early March after 1-2 inches of snow in February and little in January of 2018. Feb 15, 2018 high was 66 degrees - tomorrows high in the mid 60's here. Why this analog year? Again we have a fading La NIna year like 2018 and now a direct relationship of sudden stratospheric warming showing up which will eventually changed the La Nina pattern in a few weeks which in 2018 resulted in more LP systems riding and intensifying along the coast instead of being crappy lake cutters. We now a have stratospheric warming suddenly occurring and the models are currently having a real difficult time digesting and ingesting accurate data especially for the next 5-10 days. IMHO, this is the best chance of snow for everyone in the mid Atlantic. NY metro, Central PA and Philly region beginning in the next 2-3 weeks that we have had all year. Its coming baby so get your shovels ready.

OK posters, Do you really want to go on a serious road trip to see some serious snow? Why hell yea, I say. No snow here in the Philly region. Pack you bags - were going to Vegas baby where it snowed today and the snow will not even melt away by days end like it does here in the Lehigh Valley. Damn ridiculous weather pattern we are in, I say. That major weather pattern that these models are pushing out better produce reproducible results in the next 10 days. In fact Trevor Dane says it the best since the US continues to shoot down "benign" objects out of atmosphere. I really wonder if these benign objects are weather satellites being used by the GFS and other models and why all of sudden we are now seeing snow for our area. This movie clip is one of my favorites since it really depicts whats going on in our military right now. LMAO

for the first time in over five weeks, both the 0Z GFS and 0Z CMC runs saying something will fall out of the sky by the end of month into March that is frozen-- from 5-16 inches of frozen whatever on the clown maps now. over E PA. The fact that there is even a chance of frozen precip and that both models are consistent with this idea is the first promising hint of some significant type of winter storm event this year. I guess better late than never. However , I am not holding my breath. Could be model mayhem right now with a new weather pattern change. Just maybe the SER will relax enough to allow the GOM to open up for business. It sure the hell has been dry enough around here. Today we had a wildfire risk statement issued and unless we some receive serious GOM moisture in our area, I see a lot of red flags warnings being hoisted in March as we start to warm up even more as the forest floors are pretty dry already.

This situation proves to me that the instrument needs to be place elsewhere at the airport if you have that much of a difference with just decoupling of winds. The accuracy at ABE IMHO of temp readings just failed based on the present location of the instrument as a fair and somewhat equal representation of the temps for highs and lows throughout the LV. I am having a record high overnight less than ten miles away while the temps are just above freezing in a shack somewhere near the concrete runways and the difference is justified based on decoupling winds does not make sense, especially when the instrument is located within an enclosed structure. The thermometer might as well be located in Bozeman MT because what you are saying is that only a Chinook type wind will rectify this problem. Sorry but the instrument needs to relocated IMHO.

Please somebody tell MT Holly whats up with the temps and thermometer at ABE? 36 degrees at ABE and 60 degrees at my house at 4 in the morning in a span of ten miles. One hell of an inversion I would say or something definitely wrong with the instrument. Has to be one of the warmest overnight temps in Feb ever recorded. One for the record books. Many areas are in the low 60's at 4 am 10 02:51 NW 3 10.00 Fair CLR 36 35 97% NA NA 29.74 1007.4 10 01:51 Calm 6.00 Fog/Mist CLR 39 38 96% NA NA 29.75 1007.5 10 00:51 Calm 8.00 Fair CLR 42 39 56 42 89% NA NA 29.75 1007.7 09 23:51 Calm 10.00 A Few Clouds FEW080 44 41 89% NA NA 29.77 1008.3 09 22:51 NE 3 10.00 A Few Clouds FEW095 45 42 90% NA NA 29.78 1008.6 09 21:51 Calm 10.00 A Few Clouds FEW100 47 42 83% NA NA 29.81 1009.8

Please somebody tell MT Holly whats up with the temps and thermometer at ABE? 36 degrees at ABE and 60 degrees at my house at 4 in the morning in a span of ten miles. One hell of an inversion I would say or something definitely wrong with the instrument. Has to be one of the warmest overnight temps in Feb ever recorded. One for the record books. Many areas are in the low 60's at 4 am 10 02:51 NW 3 10.00 Fair CLR 36 35 97% NA NA 29.74 1007.4 10 01:51 Calm 6.00 Fog/Mist CLR 39 38 96% NA NA 29.75 1007.5 10 00:51 Calm 8.00 Fair CLR 42 39 56 42 89% NA NA 29.75 1007.7 09 23:51 Calm 10.00 A Few Clouds FEW080 44 41 89% NA NA 29.77 1008.3 09 22:51 NE 3 10.00 A Few Clouds FEW095 45 42 90% NA NA 29.78 1008.6 09 21:51 Calm 10.00 A Few Clouds FEW100 47 42 83% NA NA 29.81 1009.8

I am telling all of you now, that the chances of a severe drought this spring and summer are exponentially increasing every week we go with NO snow on the ground. People better start talking about it. The above precip in December all ran off and left us nothing in the ground for recharge since much of it ran off over frozen tundra soils. Facts: 1. 35 in of annual snowfall amount for the LV is currently non existent. Over 1/2 of the LV lies over a limestone bedrock aquifer which supplies a large chunk of bottled water/beer/soda/and juices to the entire NE corridor. With no recharge and no huge precipitation events on the horizon for Feb into March, I am getting quite concerned. 2. The current streams hydrology are currently running at base flow but they are also beginning to drop now. As soon as leaf out out begins in early April (maybe even March this year), this will greatly effect the streamflows and ground water table. Drought watches should be issued at this point if we do not get sustainable snowfall/rainfall. 3. It will take a 1.5' foot snow event or a 3-5 in long duration rainfall event to even get us out of this drought threat. I am sorry but I do not see that anywhere in the cards in the 3-4 weeks in this current pattern. I only see it getting way worse. More later 4. I rely on analogy of La Nina years going into a neutral period for severe droughts. They are real good indicators. The big one was in 2001-2002 and again in 2016-2017 https://www.farmanddairy.com/news/2002-was-marked-by-widespread-us-drought-and-the-return-of-el-ni241o/1713.html

Not enough snow for the rest of Feb to wipe my --------windshield off --- LMAO. These models are comical ---one model run 14 in of snow the next run it disappears with a warm rain--- WAM- Wake me up before I go go as these models go yo yo. Face it winter is DOA in Feb. Lets hope for a March bloomer.

absolute BS. Scxrew the winds. A partly sunny day at 9 am to a dam entire cloudy day at 10 am six days out of the week is enough. I am so sick of this shite. Can someone please do a study on how many cloudy nights we have had since last June? My utility bill cannot take it anymore. The lack of radiant heat to warm up the house during the day is killing my budget. No snow is one thing to talk about but these excessive cloudy nights in the summer holding in the heat killed by AC bill and now the cloudy days are killing my heating bill and we should all be talking about that. This pattern sucks, is rare and I have had enough of it. By the way, I I have seen every imaginable weather pattern and weather anolmaly/feature like tornadoes , bizzards etc in my 64 years on this earth and IMHO this current weather pattern can GO STRAIGHT TO HELL

A potent cold front marking the leading edge of a very cold Arctic air mass will approach from the northwest late Thursday night into early Friday morning. Both the deterministic and ensemble suites continue to indicate bitterly cold conditions Friday night into Saturday morning especially. This may rival the cold we had the week before Christmas in terms of intensity, though the good news is it will not be as prolonged with temperatures already looking to moderate back to normal by Sunday.