Albedoman

Truth hurts sometimes. After last nights snowfall bust IMHO, I hold out no hope that 10 day models will ever be accurate, no matter how many times they are calibrated. It's like wishing the wheels on you car to be perfectly aligned all the time but at the same time going over potholes, especially for PA. Every single 10-15 day model demonstrates the inability to project accurate snowfall totals. They are only good for sniffing out potential overall pattern change. While I agree the La Nina pattern is on its deathbed after three miserable years, I would expect nothing less than abrupt weather pattern change while its on last breath in March or April to signify its passing. Typically but not always a deep LP forming off the east coast is the precursor of this pattern change. I have seen this situation unfold nearly a dozen times. I expect nothing less. Actually a moderate to heavy snow event in the next week or so is really needed for our soils (since we have been robbed of snow all winter) for a beautiful spring flowering season and before the buds are formed on all of the trees. I would agree a moderate snow event is most likley in the cards as we have nothing to lose and even Stevie Wonder can sing along with that tune.

at this point winter is DEAD. A car topper this morning . Put a fork in it please Euro is on drugs.

time to put this winter season to bed. Every 10 day 12+ storm event has turned to rain-- every one one on the GFS model alone. Here is my final answer to this winter season below- instead of bacon just add the word snow. I just hope we get more rain to avoid a drought. Tonights downpours really helped. Most rain all year in a 4 hour period.

posted this 16 hours ago in NYC forum. spot on LMAO wow, a real winner coming tonight cannot wait. When I wake up on Tuesday morning I expect to be shoveling away these two inches of a whopping heavy wet snow sleet slush ball event. More like just pushing off the crap off the driveway. However my true expectations when I wake up-- is what the hell happened to all the mixed crap that fell last night?-- its already gone. This winter season, no snowfall on the ground lasts more than 8 hours in the LV this year. Might as well be spring as my crocuses and daffodils are in full bloom, my pussy willow tree has bloomed...

by the way will someone come shovel around my deck too? LOL

wow, its really piling up from Lake Tahoe, CA here tonight.. LMAO . We can not even a few inches to stick around here for a day in PA

wow, a real winner coming tonight cannot wait. When I wake up on Tuesday morning I expect to be shoveling away these two inches of a whopping heavy wet snow sleet slush ball event. More like just pushing off the crap off the driveway. However my true expectations when I wake up-- is what the hell happened to all the mixed crap that fell last night?-- its already gone. This winter season, no snowfall on the ground lasts more than 8 hours in the LV this year. Might as well be spring as my crocuses and daffodils are in full bloom, my pussy willow tree has completely budded out and the tulips are coming up. My synopsis of this HECS event outcome----Might as well put this winter back right back into the air fryer. However, please just make sure it is not a Cosori air fryer- I do want to see another recall of this winter season. LMAO

wow, a real winner coming tonight cannot wait. When I wake up on Tuesday morning I expect to be shoveling away these two inches of a whopping heavy wet snow sleet slush ball event. More like just pushing off the driveway. However my true expectations when I wake up-- is what the hell happened to all the mixed crap that fell last night-- its already gone. This winter season, no snowfall on the ground lasts more than 8 hours in the LV this year. Might as well be spring as my crocuses and daffodils are in full bloom, my pussy will tree has completely budded out and the tulips are coming up. My synopsis of this HECS event outcome----Might as well put this winter back right back into the air fryer. However, please just make sure it is not a Cosori air fryer- I do want to see another recall of this winter season. LMAO

I have constantly stated that the winter storm warning criteria for the LV for snowfall is set too high. It should be at 5 in too because of the truck traffic alone warrants it. LV metro has now almost million people and has major arterial interstate /road networks in place. Its time for MT Holly to wake up. You would think after the 2007 Valentines Day disaster they would lower the snowfall criteria. Wrong.

aren't we the optimistic one. LOL I expect Nothing and like it in the LV. Its been that way all year. If we get some, it all gone by Tuesday at lunch anyway.

No way in this pattern does it snow 2.2"at LVI and 5" at Central Park. WE all get some snow. These clown maps are getting hilarious.

the only positive aspect at this time is that the 0Z CMC finally shows a Ohio/TN valley Low heading to the coast instead of screaming into the Great lakes this year. Finally, a single model run that both the CMC and GFS finally agree 6 days out was somewhat a plus too. Lets hope it says this way in the next 72 hours. I feel somewhat hopeful but we have burned before baby

AS I keeping saying "winter is dead Jim." The positive growth snow on the ground of these models is a few inches so what? If we get it, it will be gone in a few days or even hours with no long sustaining cold.

mid to upper 60's in the LV just beautiful with sunny skies. Screw winter it is done. Sorry NYC- on the wrong side again.

lived there and done that. Stuck in a blizzard in 1977 on my first road trip from Newhall Ca. where I lived and during high school. Went around the the closed interstate 5 blocks at Castaic and got back on and got stuck at Tejon Pass near Gorman. Spent two days in the only motel there. Had had to dig it out the car after 4 feet of snow buried it. Battery went dead too because I had to leave flashers on so the huge snow blowers would not hit it on the shoulder. Lots of fun the good ole days

I lived near the Grapevine in 1975-78 I Graduated from Hart High School in the Santa Clarita Valley. I have been watching this area for over 40 years now. If they were ever to get as much snow as they did when I was there, This year appears to be the winner. Sorry for the pictures being sideways but here was one of my first adventures of being in an actual blizzard at the Grapevine in 77. 3-4 ft of snow for days. Caught at the Caravan Hotel. They helicoptered food to the hotel as hundreds were stranded. MY pictures were all the proof. My 1071 Ford torino car was buried along I-5 and the picture below is before the main storm hit. It took me and my friend over four hours to unbury it. They used snowblowers from Tahoe area to clear the interstate. Never had seen it snow so hard anywhere as it snowed at 5 inch an hour rates for hours

My official spokesman of the weather models just told me this-- You get nothing LOL

well that its --winter is over. It will be snowing around the SF Bay area this week. What a slap in the face. Its snowed in Tuscon, Las Vegas and poor Minneapolis is getting 2-3 ft of snow this week, while we can even scrape up an inch f snow for an entire day. Pathetic

well this is the nail in the coffin for us this winter. I am officially declaring this the worst winter EVER here in the LV. When the hills around the SF Bay area are expected to get 1-2 inches of snow this week, Vegas, Tuscon and sw Texas get snow on the ground for longer than a day and we have had literally nothing that has lasted more than 6 hours this winter, the winter has been officially DOA. IN my 64 years, I have never seen a winter season warmer on the east coast than on the west coast in February. Truly ironic. https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-122.43183690962128&lat=37.54033067584129 Current conditions at Half Moon Bay Airport (KHAF) Lat: 37.5136°NLon: 122.4996°WElev: 65ft. Mist 50°F 10°C Humidity 87% Wind Speed N 0 MPH Barometer 30.08 in (1018.63 mb) Dewpoint 46°F (8°C) Visibility 4.00 mi Last update 20 Feb 06:55 PM PST More Information: Local Forecast OfficeMore Local Wx3 Day HistoryMobile WeatherHourly Weather Forecast Extended Forecast for 4 Miles E Montara CA Click here for hazard details and duration Wind Advisory Tonight Partly Cloudy Low: 45 °F Tuesday Mostly Sunny and Windy High: 51 °F⇓ Tuesday Night Slight Chance Showers and Windy Low: 40 °F Wednesday Chance Showers and Breezy High: 45 °F Wednesday Night Chance Rain/Snow then Snow Showers Likely Low: 37 °F Thursday Rain/Snow Likely then Showers Likely High: 44 °F Thursday Night Rain/Snow Likely Low: 36 °F Friday Chance Rain/Snow then Chance Showers High: 45 °F Friday Night Slight Chance Rain/Snow then Partly Cloudy Low: 36 °F Detailed Forecast Tonight Partly cloudy, with a low around 45. West northwest wind 7 to 10 mph. Tuesday Mostly sunny, with a temperature rising to near 51 by 11am, then falling to around 43 during the remainder of the day. Windy, with a northwest wind 21 to 26 mph increasing to 29 to 34 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 50 mph. Tuesday Night A 10 percent chance of showers after 4am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 40. Windy, with a northwest wind 25 to 30 mph, with gusts as high as 49 mph. Wednesday A 30 percent chance of showers, mainly between 10am and 4pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 45. Breezy, with a west northwest wind around 23 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Wednesday Night A slight chance of rain and snow showers before 7pm, then snow showers likely. Some thunder is also possible. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. West wind 11 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Thursday Snow showers likely before 10am, then rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 44. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Thursday Night Rain and snow showers likely before 4am, then a chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Friday A chance of snow showers before 10am, then a chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 45. Friday Night A slight chance of rain and snow showers before 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 36. Saturday Mostly sunny, with a high near 49. Saturday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 40. Sunday Partly sunny, with a high near 49. Sunday Night A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42. Monday A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 50.

I have only one question? Will the Mason Dixon line 25,000 ft wall please move 300 miles to the north? That dam wall is preventing precip from reaching our area. To hell with the snow- it will never come but I would like to see at least one inch of a good soaking rain with a t shower. I guess that is too much to ask for. I have had less than a .25 of an inch of rain in three weeks. When they trenched my yard for a Fios cable today, the topsoil was literally brown powder.

well guys, here is my proof. For the first time ever in my 34 years living in Macungie PA . blooming daffodils on February 16th. I though maybe the end of Feb we might have a chance but today with highs in the lows 60's they bloomed. This winter really sucks. I now wait for them to be covered by the end of the month with snow. To make matters worse, Verizon was trench cutting and boring in my yard for FIOS in our development- the excavation workers( some in the their mid 50's) said they have never trenched and bored in the middle February before as the ground is usually frozen solid. The soil was like powder before we had a speck of rain showers this afternoon- just enough to get the ground wet. We need some serious precip that for sure.

MY god, this would be the ultimate kick in the ass for this winter for us if this did occur. In my ten+ years living in LA county and the Bay area, I only saw snow a couple of times on the coastal ranges.- just an inch or so. This year however, anything is possible. I am waiting to see snow in on the ground in San Diego. That would be something.

what we gets me pissed is that 1. my daffodils are about to bloom- never seen this in my 35 years living in the LV in mid Feb, 2. tornadoes in Memphis Tn tonight - never seen that either and 3. the real ass kicker is a foot of snow in Milwaukee Wi yet we get absolutely Jack crap from this system here in PA but a few rain showers and if we are real lucky a quick clap of thunder tomorrow night LMAO. This winter really sucks. This lady says it all for us on the lower east side of the country