Albedoman

LMAO- Guess its time to change my alias to flood guy now

Thanks Mike I should have said "possible" left out the word. Sorry. It appears to be an EF0 after looking at the tree damage video more closely but FWIW to shear of tree tops and twist them like that would have easily destroyed a home if the funnel actually reached the ground and was not over a forested area, which why I said a possible EFI .

well even though Macungie got zilcho rain from this storm, Bangor area in Northampton County got hail and an EF1 tornado that was on video. Tree tops sheared right off and twisted (not straight line wind damage) and no doubt that it was a tornado with hail from this very localized supercell -should have chased that one down. Mt holly storm damage specialists I am sure will out there to inspect tomorrow. https://www.wfmz.com/weather/it-took-out-almost-every-tree-on-my-property-tornado-touches-down-in-northampton-county/article_8f50d7e4-d6a2-4ae0-9709-dd23a3a73bc7.html#tncms-source=More-from-newsroom-(right-column)

nothing but sprinkles here today in Macungie. Missed everything. Total four day is .46 in---- Storms to the west and east and we got the 4-10 split. Well better luck next time. When are we ever going to have a decent NW to SE squall line come through? Everything is hit and miss in our region I literally cannot remember when a squall line preceded a cold front as so many squall lines have went ---poof ---before hitting the Blue Mts.

absolutely agree. Forecast models have continually failed with wind speed and direction since last year. The LR and even the SR computer models need to be calibrated to not just look at temps and precip atmospheric profiles and soundings but should consider the most critical feature- the role of surface topography and overall natural physical geography of our area. For example when a SE to S direction fetch of wind is prevalent for hours or days, the models should compare the geography of the area and bias should be added for chances of higher precip values(especially in training t-storms or froneneis for snowfall predictions ) in certain regions of the entire forecast area for MT Holly. The same goes with a direct east wind in which literally prevents t storms from from the west to cross over the Blue Mts. Physical Geography features plays a vital part in local forecasting for our area and atmospheric modeling needs to be vastly improved to include and or be more accurately biased when using pin point forecasting, especially with wind direction speed for upsloping and downsloping of the mountain ranges and deeper valleys. Simplistic terms- need a better algorithm for physical geography features rather than just using transportation networks to identify different forecasts for different aras. Thats why Macungie to Huffs Church area are constantly having inaccurate forecasting for either high or low temps and or precip values and types because the pin-point forecast do not include the topography for S Mtn range as a dividing line for precip or for different forecasts. Everything is now based on I-78, I-80 and PA turnpike transportation areas when formulating and discussing the local forecasts. IMHO, MT Holly /NOAA needs to reconsider relying more on physical geography/topography when discussing LV forecasts and not just referring to major transportation networks. FWIW, transportation networks literally bore through local mountain ranges by tunnels or by steep climbing lanes and built to go in different directions. I -78 is a perfect example of how dividing forecast areas is incorrect as it goes from SW to NE and then goes directly E to West. It literally bisects the S Mt Range in the heart of the LV. The NE turnpike is a N to S directional road which is usually only brought into the picture on types of winter precip or from storms along the coast--- yet both of these highways go through the heart of the LV.. Hopefully you see the problem of using transportation networks as delimiting line for producing local forecasts in the LV. Best examples of my reasoning- how many times have you personally gone through the Lehigh Tunnel and on one side it is snowing and the other side it is clear? How many times have you gone on RT 29/Rt 100 through Shimerville or Huffs Church and it has 2 in of snow on the ground but you get to the Macungie and Emmaus and or East Greenville and it is raining? Physical Geography plays a vital part in weather forecasting and personally believe not enough attention has been given to this fact based on our vast local regional forecasting area that MT Holly must cover. This is not the fault of the MT Holly staff at all but federal govt decisions made back in the early 90's to do away with the Allentown weather forecast office at LVIA. This was a huge mistake and I was against this change but it was a lost cause. The politicians simply did not care or understand the role of physical geography has on the the LV . That is why I am so outspoken at times about the LV. The "fall Line"" basically stops at S MT range and any thing north of that that is also in a valley which has very unique weather forecasting difficulties such as extreme diurnal and nocturnal temp ranges from the deeper valleys especially with upsloping and downsloping conditions in major storm events including wind storms, fog, freezing rain and even snow accumulations. LV is unique.

I agree. From 2-4 inches to less than an inch for the LV and points north. I received a whopping .02 more rain than you today. Hell, the new small leaves on the trees kept the street dry. There were more pollen sacs in the street from last nights gusty winds and brief heavy shower that I thought the township could bring out the plow. Training of t storms is not in the cards anytime soon.

No way does even 2 in even verify today. Absolutely no training of t storms. Air is too stable and too dry. Just enough rain to keep the pollen down today. I only had a .40 inch of rain yesterday- very localized. 2 day total --.70 inch of rain. Still no drought buster rains for sure but it does help the garden.

thundershower with gusty winds 25-30 mph now. Not severe but a nice t shower Need much more.

holy crap a cell made it over the Blue Mts. I may actually experience a thundershower in the next 30 minutes. Its in eastern Berks near Kutztown. C'mon baby my air needs to cleaned out of pollen and the pollen cement dust needs to goo bye bye off my car.

Blue mts deztroyed storms again tonight. Forecast is becoming doubtful now

Missed again tonight. Had to water-Its been a long time since I had to water a garden on the first day in May. The Blue Mts are absolutely destroying every cell that comes near them. Just incredible.

OK Mt Holly, what do you guys have to say about this 40 degree diurnal temp change today? Woke up at 38 degrees this morning with a projected high of nearly 80 degrees? Wow have not seen this range in temps in a 12 hour time frame in a very long time on a nice day. Definitely living back in the CA Mojave desert environment in eastern PA from my younger days.

sorry, this song is not the same for my generation. here is the original song which was a top ten song and was played on foldgers coffee commercials.

OMG what a utter failure. Severe thunderstorm warning issued for Lehigh county-- all I got was a light shower of less than .05. Talk about a fast disintegrating squall line. As soon as it hit the Blue Mts, it was done for. Totally unbelievable. It just does NOT want to rain anything harder than a light shower right now. It was just enough to make the pollen stick like concrete on the cars. Car washes are going to love this tomorrow.

35+ constant winds like this are really drying out the underbrush big time again. Had only .20 at my house. As tree leaf out continues in huge strides in the next few weeks, no rain means that some streams and surface ponds will be dry by mid-May in our area as any ground water is literally vacuumed out of the soil horizons from no rain and leaf out. Then you will hear the people talk in the media about how this drought never really went away in late March and still exists when their favorite fishing spot goes dry and private wells have to be re-drilled deeper. I see no substantial Gulf moisture influence with 80 degree temps in the next two weeks in our area for heavy rainfall to be forecasted (over an inch). This spells real trouble for us. THIS VERY PROGRESSIVE WEATHER PATTERN JUST WILL NOT STOP. Cold fronts continue to stall out in the midwest and mid south every 2-3 days, dumping copious amounts of rain with thunderstorms and then for some stupid reason race across PA in 24 hours with continuing dying t - storms, with moisture availability gone in a stable air mass, no convective issues and the precip becomes sparse with light showers/drizzle. But the real big issue are the winds behind these fronts being absolutely crazy like tonight. I have had nearly 50 mph wind gusts. Guess will have to wait for Memorial Day weekend to be rained out, as we usually get a stalled out storm pattern to develop by this time.

My answer to you sir---- LMAO

yep I knew it was some knucklehead that I said a few days ago. Hope he now has to pay for this catastrophe too to the county (and not just serve time for arson), municipalities and other govt entities that are fighting this fire including the fire companies time and equipment. He will be broke.

Your italicized comments were not necessary- only to add insult to your previous remarks. I am sorry feel this way. You seem to have a pattern of doing this on other forums too. Anyway you stated the NJ fire was contained in NJ- you could not be more wrong see link below this morning. As far as as fires in the NJ pine barrens as a necessary part of ecology- the Pine Barrens does NOT have the same climate regime as S California. I lived in S. California for ten years and personally dealt with my own brush wildfires. If it they did have the same yearly climatology, S NJ EMS would be better prepared for such a major fire as the one today. Most likely this fire was caused by some knucklehead burning winter debris and not by natural causes like lightning. The Pine Barrens also do not have highly flammable chaparral type vegetation with 18 in of rain per year, just dense evergreen trees and typical underbrush found in our area with 40 in of rain a year. Large wild fires are not normal. https://www.nbcphiladelphia.com/news/local/jones-wildfire-ocean-county-new-jersey-ocean-township-lacey-township-barnegat-township/4166736/

After being criticized by an individual for not taking a chill pill and for saying the mulch fire was major fire and that I was blowing the fire possibilities out of proportion with the current drought in the last few days, two so called non-major wildfires are still going crazy. Jim Thorpe area over 500 acres and now another non major fire in southern NJ. All I hear now is crickets at my house. Also Mike Gorse, I must apologize to you and your staff as I did not mean any disrespect toward you or your staff at MT Holly. I am really frustrated with this crappy weather pattern we are stuck in for the past 9 months and did not mean to take it out toward MT Holly staff. Many of the old weather hobbyists have to be as frustrated as I am too as these daily 20-30 mph Santa Ana type winds with extreme diurnal temp ranges and no Gulf of America moisture source for storm convection which has basically has been gone for nearly a year now. I am also hoping a special weather statement will be issued that considers the under-stories in the woods and nearby brushy fields are extremely dry right now regardless of any rain we received two weeks ago. The dry warm winds are sure not helping as evident by these fires. Thanks https://www.foxweather.com/extreme-weather/jones-road-wildfire-new-jersey-shore-smoke-evacuations https://www.inquirer.com/news/pennsylvania/jim-thorpe-pennsylvania-wildfire-20250422.html

When the mulch pile serves 35000+ residents and takes out a fire company for a few days, yes it is a mafor fire issue for a volunteer fire company and the municipality

C'mon MT Holly wake up. Here is another major fire this morning in Lower Macungie. Township mulch pile on fire.

what BS is this? I am wide awake because it so warm with the windows wide open. At 4:00 am it is 70+ degrees outside here in Macungie. 55 degree low doubt we ever reach it.. However at Towanda PA, it is sitting at 46 degrees. Cold front?, why yes. Precip with this cold front - usually a squall line of heavy showers in late April by a cold front with a 24 degree difference in less than 125 miles- not a drop of rain to be found. Winds- of course 20+ mph. Mt. Holly, be prepared for real nice fire condition's on Sunday for our area. This is definitely not April weather- more like late October weather.

Swing and a miss strike 3. Renegade cell heading fo md. The drought lives on as the blue mtn winds kick up again tomorrow.