Albedoman

E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion Albedoman replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region in October My forecast did suggest a slow start. Enjoy the fall weather while you can. Come january you will be wishing for temps above 45 . I expect more mix events than anything else in late nov into mid dec as the pattern sets up for january------- well I was pretty close. We will get 1-2 days this week above 45 degrees. Thank god it will melt the .50 in of snow equivalent liquid precip with the expected 1-2 inches of rain. That will help the drought somewhat for the stream base flows but the main problem is that the frost in the soil horizon is already pretty deep especially in the LV. The groundwater is likely not going to be recharged at all. You will see real muddy conditions in the yard for a few days as the topsoil is unfrozen, but then back into the deep freeze. I would love to see t storms Thursday night. The snow will quickly disappear with sublimation from fog and from the heavy rain. The down trees on Friday will be a huge problem from the winds as the soils around the tree roots will soften up just enough to be wind thrown before freezing. Main concern for me, if it rains hard enough Friday afternoon, the expected winds may not dry our the road surfaces from the excessive ponding and we will have flash freeze conditions Friday evening in many areas. Saturday morning may not be very nice around our region. Also, my utility bill is doubled from last year according to my usage and I still have have a 15 days to go. Going to be many homeowners wishing they had not spent so much on Christmas gifts come mid January when they get their utility bill. This chart says it all just posted by Mt Holly.

January 6-8 1996 happened you should not have forgotten about that?

Thats what physical geography can do with the South Mountain Range to the SE and the Blue Mt to the north. Adiabatic winds in banding snows is just like t- storms in the summer coming over the mts and hills and getting blown apart too. Sorry for your loss. SE Lehigh County and much of northern and central Chester Montgomery Bucks Counties was the jackpot area where the heavier band stayed together near the downslope side of S. Mtn and dropped additional precip. Northern Lehigh County had only 3-5 inches because of the way this storm traveled too. I am sure the final snow map from Mt Holly will clearly demonstrate this too

ABE had officially 5 inches - just reported. Here at my house- nearly 7 inches. South Mountain Screamer for sure. From eastern Chester, Berks , Lehigh, Bucks, Northampton and into NJ all along the South Mountain Range and especially elevation driven - anywhere from 5- 8 inches of snow- take your pick. Geography rules folks. NOUS41 KPHI 141536PNSPHIDEZ001>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-101>106-150336-Public Information StatementNational Weather Service Mount Holly NJ1036 AM EST Sun Dec 14 2025...SNOWFALL REPORTS AS OF 1030 AM...Location Amount Time/Date Provider ...Delaware......Kent County...Smyrna 3.5 SSW 2.0 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Clayton 1.5 SW 2.0 in 0730 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Cheswold 2.0 in 0900 AM 12/14 Broadcast Media 3 SW Magnolia 1.4 in 0900 AM 12/14 Public Harrington 2 ENE 0.5 in 0900 AM 12/14 COCORAHS ...New Castle County...Bear 6.8 in 0950 AM 12/14 Broadcast Media Hockessin 6.0 in 0710 AM 12/14 Public Wilmington 5.6 N 5.4 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Newark 3.9 SSW 4.6 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Newark 1.5 S 4.0 in 0720 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Newark 3.9 in 0950 AM 12/14 Broadcast Media Middletown 4.9 NW 3.8 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Middletown 3.8 in 0730 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter New Castle County Airport 3.3 in 0700 AM 12/14 ASOS Newport 2.4 WNW 3.3 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS ...Sussex County...Seaford 2.3 SSE 0.9 in 0800 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Bridgeville 2.6 W 0.5 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Seaford 0.5 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS 3 ESE Bridgeville 0.5 in 0800 AM 12/14 COCORAHS ...Maryland......Kent County...Chestertown 4.0 in 0850 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Worton 3.9 NW 3.6 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Rock Hall 3.0 in 0800 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter ...Queen Annes County...4 SW Chester 1.0 in 0642 AM 12/14 Public ...New Jersey......Atlantic County...Hammonton 4.0 in 0905 AM 12/14 CO-OP Observer Ventnor City 2.5 in 0903 AM 12/14 Public Estell Manor 1.1 in 0800 AM 12/14 COOP Brigantine 0.9 ESE 1.0 in 0800 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Atlantic City International 0.6 in 0700 AM 12/14 ASOS Linwood 0.7 NNE 0.5 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS ...Burlington County...Moorestown 7.0 in 0800 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Mount Laurel 5.8 in 0815 AM 12/14 Public Burlington 1.7 E 5.8 in 0835 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Medford Lakes 4.8 in 0830 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Evesham 4.2 S 3.8 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Mount Holly WFO 3.6 in 0700 AM 12/14 Official NWS Obs Mount Laurel 3.6 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Westampton 3.6 in 0700 AM 12/14 COOP Willingboro Twp 1.3 ESE 3.4 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS 1 NNE Rancocas 3.4 in 0728 AM 12/14 NWS Employee 2 NW South Jersey Regional A 3.1 in 0630 AM 12/14 NWS Employee Wrightstown 3.0 in 0601 AM 12/14 Public Mount Laurel Twp 3.9 NE 3.0 in 0630 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Medford 1.0 in 0614 AM 12/14 Public ...Camden County...Haddon Township 5.7 in 0840 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Pennsauken 5.7 in 0930 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Barrington 0.8 NE 3.3 in 0730 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Winslow Twp. 3.5 W 3.1 in 0715 AM 12/14 COCORAHS 2 SW Chesilhurst 2.3 in 0820 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter ...Cumberland County...Deerfield Twp 2.0 E 1.6 in 0730 AM 12/14 COCORAHS ...Gloucester County...Pitman 5.6 in 0830 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Washington Twp 5.5 in 0930 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Greenwich Twp 2.2 ESE 5.0 in 0950 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Monroe Twp 0.6 WNW 4.0 in 1000 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Glassboro 1.6 WNW 3.5 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Pitman 0.1 W 3.2 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Monroe Twp. 1.8 SE 2.7 in 0800 AM 12/14 COCORAHS ...Hunterdon County...1 WNW Stanton 7.3 in 0930 AM 12/14 Public 1 WNW Pittstown 6.5 in 0815 AM 12/14 Public Frenchtown 0.5 N 6.5 in 0830 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Clinton Twp. 4 N 6.5 in 0845 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Flemington 1.9 SE 6.3 in 0900 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Flemington 2.3 E 6.2 in 0800 AM 12/14 COCORAHS 1 SW Three Bridges 6.2 in 0800 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Flemington 3 E 6.0 in 0700 AM 12/14 COOP Clinton 6.0 in 0800 AM 12/14 Public 2 ESE Port Murray 6.0 in 0800 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Flemington 6.0 in 0804 AM 12/14 Amateur Radio Milford 6.0 in 0915 AM 12/14 Public Readington Twp 1.8 ENE 5.9 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Lebanon 0.5 E 5.8 in 0800 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Whitehouse Station 5.8 in 0830 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Holland Twp 2.6 NNE 5.5 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Lebanon 2.8 N 5.0 in 0645 AM 12/14 COCORAHS ...Mercer County...Pennington 7.0 in 0855 AM 12/14 Public Trenton Mercer Airport 6.8 in 0815 AM 12/14 CO-OP Observer Hopewell 5.5 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Ewing Twp. 5.0 in 0720 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Princeton 2.3 E 4.8 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Pennington 1.7 SE 4.5 in 0630 AM 12/14 COCORAHS East Windsor Twp 3.9 in 0700 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Hamilton Twp 2.6 NNE 3.9 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS 2 S Mercerville 1.5 in 0616 AM 12/14 Public ...Middlesex County...Cranbury 6.5 in 0900 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Sayreville 0.9 ENE 5.6 in 0935 AM 12/14 COCORAHS New Brunswick 3 SE 5.4 in 0800 AM 12/14 COOP Edison 5.2 in 0945 AM 12/14 Newspaper New Brunswick 1.8 E 4.8 in 0845 AM 12/14 COCORAHS North Brunswick Twp 1.5 W 3.8 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS South River 3.8 in 0810 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter 1 NW Concordia 3.5 in 0917 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Woodbridge 1 ESE 3.1 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Woodbridge 3.1 in 0732 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter East Brunswick Twp 3.0 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Old Bridge Twp. 5 NE 3.0 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Woodbridge Twp. 1 NNE 2.7 in 0600 AM 12/14 COCORAHS ...Monmouth County...Upper Freehold Twp 6.6 in 0912 AM 12/14 Public Upper Freehold Twp. 2.3 S 5.9 in 0830 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Tinton Falls 5.7 in 0912 AM 12/14 Public Freehold 5.0 in 0721 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Long Branch 5.0 in 0900 AM 12/14 CO-OP Observer Colts Neck Twp 2.4 NW 4.9 in 0845 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Howell Twp 3.7 SSW 3.9 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Red Bank 1.9 NNW 3.6 in 0724 AM 12/14 COCORAHS 1 ENE West Long Branch 3.0 in 0730 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter 0.7 SW Long Branch 2.8 in 0630 AM 12/14 COOP Long Branch 0.5 W 2.8 in 0630 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Neptune City 0.1 E 2.5 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS ...Morris County...Jefferson Twp 3.1 WSW 6.0 in 0800 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Mine Hill Twp. 6.0 in 0815 AM 12/14 COCORAHS 1 SW Netcong 6.0 in 0824 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Budd Lake 5.8 in 0805 AM 12/14 Public Mount Arlington 5.5 in 0800 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Mendham 3.2 NNW 5.0 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Randolph 5.0 in 0850 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Randolph Twp 2.2 SE 4.9 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Rockaway 2.5 N 4.7 in 0830 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Madison 0.8 WSW 4.5 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Rockaway 4.5 in 0720 AM 12/14 Public 1 SSW Brookside 4.5 in 0823 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Mendham 1.5 W 4.4 in 0845 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Butler 0.5 NE 4.2 in 0730 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Chatham 0.6 NE 4.0 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Kinnelon 1.4 SE 4.0 in 0800 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Denville Twp 1.5 ESE 3.6 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS ...Ocean County...1 N Jackson 6.8 in 0913 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Toms River 5.7 in 0900 AM 12/14 Public 2 N Lavallette 5.1 in 0905 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Manchester Twp 5.6 NE 4.0 in 0630 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Toms River Twp 4.2 WSW 3.8 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS 1 WNW Point Pleasant 3.5 in 0930 AM 12/14 Public Point Pleasant Beach 3.2 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Berkeley Twp. 2.7 SSE 3.1 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS 2 E Ocean Acres 3.1 in 0900 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Toms River Twp 3.1 SSE 3.0 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Stafford Twp. 2.1 NW 2.5 in 0800 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Stafford Twp. 2.8 NNW 2.5 in 0800 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Barnegat Twp 2.1 in 0707 AM 12/14 Public Lacey Twp 4.1 ESE 2.0 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Brick Twp. 1.5 NNE 0.5 in 0800 AM 12/14 COCORAHS ...Salem County...Woodstown 4.5 in 0830 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Salem 0.6 ENE 3.8 in 0812 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Pennsville 3.5 in 0638 AM 12/14 Public ...Somerset County...Branchburg Twp 2.0 NE 7.1 in 0800 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Martinsville 7.0 in 0900 AM 12/14 Public Bridgewater 6.6 in 0928 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Watchung 1.4 WNW 6.5 in 0957 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Franklin Twp 3.8 ENE 6.2 in 0905 AM 12/14 COCORAHS 1 S Manville 6.0 in 0745 AM 12/14 Public Bridgewater Twp 3.3 NW 6.0 in 0800 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Somerville 6.0 in 0800 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter 3 NNW Bridgewater 6.0 in 0836 AM 12/14 Public 1 N Manville 6.0 in 0911 AM 12/14 Public Bernards Twp. 5.6 in 0815 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Bridgewater Twp 0.9 NE 5.2 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS 1 E Belle Mead 5.0 in 0750 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Watchung 5.0 in 0755 AM 12/14 Public Bernardsville 4.9 in 0735 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Manville 4.0 in 0600 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Bernards Twp 0.9 ENE 3.5 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS ...Sussex County...Stockholm 7.0 in 1010 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Vernon Twp 3.8 WSW 6.5 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Sparta Twp 1.4 SSW 6.5 in 0900 AM 12/14 COCORAHS 1 ENE Hamburg 6.4 in 0845 AM 12/14 Public Sparta Twp 3.3 NW 6.1 in 0831 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Sparta 6.1 in 0910 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter High Point 6.1 in 0915 AM 12/14 Public Newton 7.2 W 6.0 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Sparta Twp 3.6 SSW 6.0 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Wantage Twp 5.9 in 0730 AM 12/14 Public 4 WSW Wantage Twp 5.8 in 0700 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter 1 WNW Vernon 5.7 in 0645 AM 12/14 COCORAHS 2 NW Vernon 5.7 in 0753 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Vernon 5.7 in 0800 AM 12/14 Broadcast Media Hardyston Twp 3.2 SE 5.5 in 0730 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Lafayette Twp 5.5 in 0830 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Montague Twp 2.7 WNW 5.1 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS ...Warren County...Greenwich Twp 1.6 S 6.3 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Hackettstown 5.8 in 0850 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter 2 E Phillipsburg 5.5 in 0700 AM 12/14 Public Washington Twp 2.4 ESE 5.5 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Blairstown Twp 2.2 ESE 5.2 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS 2 SE Mt. Bethel 5.2 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Oxford 5.0 in 1000 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter ...Pennsylvania......Berks County...Alburtis 4.7 SW 7.0 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Earl Twp 7.0 in 0730 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter New Morgan 1.8 WNW 6.1 in 0800 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Lyons 2.6 SE 6.0 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS 1 WSW Union Twp 5.8 in 0715 AM 12/14 Public Huffs Church 5.8 in 0755 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Elverson 2.1 NE 5.5 in 0900 AM 12/14 COCORAHS 1 WSW Amity Gardens 5.4 in 0900 AM 12/14 Public Fleetwood 2 ESE 5.3 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Mohnton 2.8 SSW 5.3 in 0800 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Oley 0.9 SSW 5.3 in 0800 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Fleetwood 4.8 ESE 5.0 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Hamburg 5.0 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Fleetwood 5.0 in 0720 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter 3 ENE New Morgan 5.0 in 0835 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Mertztown 4.5 in 0830 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Bernville 1.3 SW 3.3 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS 1 SSW Sinking Spring 3.1 in 0630 AM 12/14 Public Mohrsville 0.1 W 3.0 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Reading 4.7 WSW 3.0 in 0800 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Reading Regional Airport 2.2 in 0700 AM 12/14 ASOS Blandon 2.0 in 0820 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter ...Bucks County...Doylestown 3.4 SW 8.0 in 0800 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Hilltown Twp 7.8 in 0955 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter 1 ESE Tinicum Twp 7.5 in 0837 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Doylestown 7.3 in 0704 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Fricks 7.0 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Perkasie 0.8 NE 7.0 in 0800 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Souderton 1.4 ENE 7.0 in 0800 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Trumbauersville 7.0 in 0953 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Newtown 1.6 S 6.0 in 0845 AM 12/14 COCORAHS 1 NNW Langhorne 6.0 in 0950 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Croydon 0.4 SW 5.2 in 0944 AM 12/14 COCORAHS 1 NW Lahaska 5.2 in 0955 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Levittown 5.0 in 0711 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Langhorne 3.4 NNE 3.6 in 0630 AM 12/14 COCORAHS ...Carbon County...Lehigh Twp 8.0 in 0641 AM 12/14 Public Lake Harmony 2.4 WNW 8.0 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS 1 NE Christmans 8.0 in 0920 AM 12/14 Public Hudsondale 7.0 in 0900 AM 12/14 Public Lehighton 3.3 WSW 5.6 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS ...Chester County...East Nantmeal Twp 8.8 in 0915 AM 12/14 Public East Nottingham Twp. 8.5 in 0900 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Malvern 8.0 in 0720 AM 12/14 Public Berwyn 8.0 in 0940 AM 12/14 Public Exton 2.1 SE 7.9 in 0738 AM 12/14 COCORAHS 2 SE Exton 7.9 in 0755 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Atglen 7.8 in 0700 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter 2 WSW West Sadsbury Twp 7.8 in 0735 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter West Caln Twp 7.5 in 0730 AM 12/14 Public Easttown Twp 7.5 in 0750 AM 12/14 Public Oxford 2.9 SW 7.0 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS 1 NNW Marshallton 7.0 in 0959 AM 12/14 Public West Chester 2.4 SSE 6.5 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Pottstown 3.0 SSE 6.5 in 0730 AM 12/14 COCORAHS East Coventry Twp 6.0 in 0613 AM 12/14 Public Spring City 4.9 W 6.0 in 0800 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Unionville 2.2 NE 5.9 in 0730 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Chads Ford 3 SW 5.2 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Chesterbrook 5.0 in 0643 AM 12/14 Public 1 WSW Phoenixville 4.0 in 0844 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter ...Delaware County...1 WSW Bethel Twp 6.5 in 0739 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Springfield 0.1 NNW 6.0 in 0735 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Upper Chichester 1.4 W 5.5 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Morton 4.9 in 0845 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Aston 4.8 in 0700 AM 12/14 Public Lansdowne 0.4 NE 4.0 in 0920 AM 12/14 COCORAHS ...Lehigh County...Coopersburg 8.0 in 0900 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Center Valley 7.0 in 0830 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter 1 NW Macungie 6.5 in 0753 AM 12/14 Public Salisbury Twp 6.3 in 0907 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Wescosville 5.8 in 0628 AM 12/14 Public Allentown 5.6 in 0945 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter 1 NW Schnecksville 5.3 in 0740 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Schnecksville 1.7 ENE 5.3 in 0800 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Lehigh Valley International 5.0 in 0700 AM 12/14 ASOS Slatington 2.3 SE 4.5 in 0730 AM 12/14 COCORAHS ...Monroe County...Jackson Twp 8.0 in 0900 AM 12/14 Public Delaware Water Gap 6.8 in 0800 AM 12/14 Public Mount Pocono 0.7 N 6.1 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Saylorsburg 6.0 in 0830 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Coolbaugh Twp 5.8 in 1000 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Arlington Heights 5.0 in 0721 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Saylorsburg 2.7 ENE 4.0 in 0900 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Canadensis 3.8 in 0700 AM 12/14 COOP ...Montgomery County...Blue Bell 2.3 NW 8.7 in 0927 AM 12/14 COCORAHS 2 NE Worcester Twp 8.5 in 0835 AM 12/14 Public 1 SW Skippack Twp 8.0 in 0800 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Harleysville 2.1 SW 7.5 in 0731 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Salford Twp 7.5 in 0815 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter West Pottsgrove Twp 7.3 in 0900 AM 12/14 Public Norristown 7.2 in 0845 AM 12/14 Public 1 NE Pottstown 7.1 in 0722 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Pennsburg 2.4 SSW 7.0 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS New Hanover Twp 7.0 in 0805 AM 12/14 Public 1 SSE Trappe 6.9 in 0900 AM 12/14 Public North Wales 1.3 WSW 6.8 in 0830 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Stowe 6.6 in 0830 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter 1 W Willow Grove 6.4 in 0757 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Hatboro 0.6 E 6.0 in 0600 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Harleysville 6.0 in 0614 AM 12/14 Public Salford Twp 6.0 in 0800 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Fort Washington 0.8 NW 6.0 in 0900 AM 12/14 COCORAHS 1 NE Jenkintown 6.0 in 0900 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Willow Grove 0.6 SW 5.9 in 0800 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Glenside 1.1 NW 5.5 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Conshohocken 0.5 N 5.5 in 0830 AM 12/14 COCORAHS 1 ENE Plymouth Twp 5.5 in 0923 AM 12/14 Public King of Prussia 5.2 in 0920 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Eagleville 5.1 in 0715 AM 12/14 Emergency Mngr Penn Wynne 0.5 NNW 5.0 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Willow Grove 0.9 ESE 4.5 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Wyncote 4.0 in 0745 AM 12/14 COCORAHS ...Northampton County...1 E Pen Argyl 7.0 in 0747 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter Williams Twp 6.3 in 0910 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter 2 ESE Bethlehem Twp 6.1 in 0730 AM 12/14 Public Nazareth 6.0 in 0648 AM 12/14 Public 2 E Tatamy 6.0 in 0700 AM 12/14 Public Bethlehem 1.8 NW 6.0 in 0830 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Bath 5.5 in 0735 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter 3 E Moore Twp 5.4 in 0740 AM 12/14 Public North Catasauqua 5.3 in 0649 AM 12/14 Public Martins Creek 5.0 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Tatamy 5.0 in 0700 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Easton 2.4 N 4.0 in 0800 AM 12/14 COCORAHS ...Philadelphia County...Fox Chase 5.0 in 0953 AM 12/14 Emergency Mngr Rockledge SE 4.9 in 0730 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Bustleton 4.9 in 0923 AM 12/14 Trained Spotter 1 SW Somerton 4.3 in 0900 AM 12/14 CO-OP Observer Philadelphia 3.6 in 0900 AM 12/14 COCORAHS Philadelphia International A 1.3 in 0700 AM 12/14 ASOS &&

ABE had officially 5 inches - just reported. Here at my house- nearly 7 inches. South Mountain Screamer for sure. From eastern Chester, Berks , Lehigh, Bucks, Northampton and into NJ all along the South Mountain Range and especially elevation driven - anywhere from 5- 8 inches of snow- take your pick. Geography rules folks.

right at 4 in here in the Macungie area. Still snowing moderate to heavy. Snowing moderate to hard in macungie ---- right at 4 in. A S Mtn Screamer as shown in this radar shot too. LOL

still holding on 3 to 5 inches at my house where the snow does not band as the LP digs in. S Mtn range looks like the jackpot in the latest runs. If banding occurs between 2 -5 am - 2 inch hour rates are possible. Someone is going to get smacked in our area.

Folks, I have stuck to my guns. This map says it all - South Mtn special with banding. Lollipops of more than 6 inches across S Mtn region. Be prepared for a winter storm warning to be issued. for some areas during the storm event. This is a "now" event -lets see what happens I go by physical geography, not by dam roads as do the models. Bear Creek is going to love this storm

Its a tough call period. Banding could be an issue as the S Mountain area favors that the last few years. I got nearly 16 inches a few years ago while other got less than 6 inches. Either way it goes, the snow will immediately stick given given how cold it is right now. The big tell, is how cold and dry it is right now 14 degrees at my house with dew points in the single digits. That is a hell of lot of dry air to overcome in this typical alberta clipper. I expect a lot of virga. That is why this event is a wait and see game if the moisture gets more involved with this clipper before the shortwave digs in off the coast.

The higher snow ratios maybe achieved north of South Mountain which could lead to a solid 3-5 inch snow event even in the LV if get good digging and upper moisture. South of South Mountain range will be more moisture acceptable so this is a tough call for the LV. The mesos are also having a tough time absorbing the digging aspect of this event -- the GFS was lost-- and the fact there maybe one hell of alot of virga throughout the profile until it collapses. We have a lot of cold dry air to overcome for this event to unfold. This storm event could easily become a debbie downer based on this fact, especially for those north of Philly.

you should be looking at the mesoscale models now. GFS is unreliable IMHO, especially with digging clippers for our area

Fantasy Christmas storm shows up again this evening runs with over a foot and half. WE can only dream. White rain all day here but at least it was some precip. Take.

New York poster are scared because no water in the reservoirs means no water for them regardless of how the polluted Hudson looks. The bitter cold is locking up the streams everywhere with ice too- so the water intakes in the rivers will be the talk too. Just look around hear- the Jordan creek is already frozen over with the little water that is in it. It might as well be empty. We really ne3d a 3-5 in rain event with 50 degrees for a 3-4 day duration event. Any one see that in their crystal ball?

no relatives but watch what comes out of DRBC the next few weeks. A basin wide drought warning maybe implemented by them by mid January if we do not get any moisture Up this way. The southern jet stream is simply too far south and the northern jet stream will not bend to bring it up. Their is enough short waves below Memphis but they are dying on the vine in the Tenn Valley. WE NEED TN VALLEY SHORTWAVES FOLKS TO PRODUCE UNTIL THEN YOU GET NOTHING TO TRACK.

I have seen so much convoluted crap in these long range models last week or so.- it is so sickening. These LR models are so undependable when the southern jetstream gets cutoff and whisked away along the carolina coast for snow making in our region. All I am saying is you all better hope we get some deep moisture storms coming from the gulf or the atlantic, or we are going to be in one hell of a drought come spring. Right now I see no significant precip in the next 2-3 weeks. These clippers are bone dry. Less then . 25 inch of any type of precip is absolutely worthless when the dewpoints are in the single digits and below zero and the winds are at 25 mph after the clipper goes by. Its a dam desert out there. Snow will sublimate and rain will evaporate within hours. My humidifier is running like gangbusters right now and its not even mid-January. We really need the gulf moisture and it it just cannot get to our neck of the woods because the barrage of bone dry clippers keep it at bay below Memphis Tn. I have never seen such a relentless pattern in my 50 years of studying weather for the eastern US. It will take a very deep low pressure sitting in the gulf and spinning shortwaves toward until the pattern breaks. When this will form I have no idea but frankly the only outcome we are all going to see is fricking utility bills that will be doubled or tripled from last year with all of these cloudy, dreary cold days under 32 degrees. My november bill nearly doubled because this dam dry and cloudy weather pattern already. Snow weenies, lets hope for a good and really an original four corners low to reform in the gulf and head up the spine of the appalachians at the same time the SE ridge is retreating, especially around Christmas. Thats the only chance of a good storm I see worth tracking in December. Anything else is a shot in the dark right now as everything and I mean everything has to line up perfectly to see a 6+ in snow event before Christmas. Signed debbie downer LMAO

Posted this on 11/23 Where the hell these long range so called weather gurus snow weenies seeing snow for our area on facebook and other media sources and who are just trying to make a few advertising bucks playing up the polar vortex bs but the current models are sure are NOT portraying anything like this right now for our area.. Every single snow chance has now dwindle to rain/mix event and also an insignificant rain event at best for our area as the cold dry air is winning the battle. The models have shown only one positive thing in the last two weeks for a major pattern change and a possible major snow event for us but when it will ever occur will just be plain luck. If you old timers recognize the current major pattern shift on the last weeks runs which we have not seen in nearly 6-10 years is identified as the four corner lows which are developing and pushing into the Gulf of America. Then these lows are quickly re-energized with a ton of moisture and are setting up for a good Miller A type of storm event- rain or snow along the east coast. The lows south of New Orleans into Tampa are impressive on the model runs. This is the best look in model runs in a long time as it appears the GOA is opening back up for business, however these low pressure systems are also quickly becoming southern sliders too. The cold dry air that does come through with a cold front is NOT retreating back up into Canada so quickly before the moisture reaches us. Would not be surprised if the Carolina's up to Washington DC sees more accumulating snow then us this year. This pattern is slowly setting up for a lot nuisance mix storm events snow/sleet to rain for our area if this keeps up. A pure snow event will be hard to come by in the next few weeks

Many media outlets will be picking up on the cold that is going to hit us in the next few days too. Single digits expected. I am expecting to see many reports on frozen pipes because of so many transient people from other areas of the country gave moved into the Lehigh Valley. They are not used to winterizing their homes. If I was a plumber, I would be resting up right now. They will be busy by this time next week. Never threw out a final call on this storm. The mix line is going everywhere this morning. Just happy to get some moisture.

bullseye is south mountain/macungie- my house --should be under a winter storm watch based on this model. Mt Holly no time to be bashful. The drivers in the LV have not seen snow in a long time. At least get them concerned about this storm event. Its border line warning criteria I know but least get them prepared under a watch. Too many times in the last few years , an advisory level event has turned into double digit snowfall events

Location:Lower Macungie Twsp Posted November 23 The models have shown only one positive thing in the last two weeks for a major pattern change and a possible major snow event for us but when it will ever occur will just be plain luck. If you old timers recognize the current major pattern shift on the last weeks runs which we have not seen in nearly 6-10 years is identified as the four corner lows which are developing and pushing into the Gulf of America. Then these lows are quickly re-energized with a ton of moisture and are setting up for a good Miller A type of storm event- rain or snow along the east coast. The lows south of New Orleans into Tampa are impressive on the model runs. This is the best look in model runs in a long time as it appears the GOA is opening back up for business, however these low pressure systems are also quickly becoming southern sliders too. The cold dry air that does come through with a cold front is NOT retreating back up into Canada so quickly before the moisture reaches us. Would not be surprised if the Carolina's up to Washington DC sees more accumulating snow then us this year. This pattern is slowly setting up for a lot nuisance mix storm events snow/sleet to rain for our area if this keeps up. A pure snow event will be hard to come by in the next few weeks

snow weenie amounts of 4-6+inches of snow and or .25 inch of ice for 2-3 runs with DR No and the GFS also agreeing and within 3 days of the event will usually get a good one started in this forum. We are a long way from that now. LOL Last year, it only took winter weather advisory level events to kick one up - we are so snow starved and have been spanked and run down the beaten path with a bunch of events that tuned out to be absolutely jack. This forum is pretty much gun shy for starting storm threads by having been burned so much the last 5 years with pity storms. In the MA forum, you will roasted over the coals for jinxing their forum by starting one. LMAO

I agree. The low pressure shortwave ejecting from the Tenn Valley(GOA) has got to have some decent moisture for us to get some decent overrunning. For many years now, the these ejecting lows have been bone dry. Lets hope the mosture gets involved this time before the dry air wins out. Literal crap shoot until 48 hours before the event.

I usually do not post in this forum but I feel for you guys too. AS I said a few days ago in the Philly forum: Where the hell these long range so called weather gurus snow weenies seeing snow for our area on facebook and other media sources and who are just trying to make a few advertising bucks playing up the polar vortex bs but the current models are sure are NOT portraying anything like this right now for our area.. Every single snow chance has now dwindle to rain/mix event and also an insignificant rain event at best for our area as the cold dry air is winning the battle. The models have shown only one positive thing in the last two weeks for a major pattern change and a possible major snow event for us but when it will ever occur will just be plain luck. If you old timers recognize the current major pattern shift on the last weeks runs which we have not seen in nearly 6-10 years is identified as the four corner lows which are developing and pushing into the Gulf of America. Then these lows are quickly re-energized with a ton of moisture and are setting up for a good Miller A type of storm event- rain or snow along the east coast. The lows south of New Orleans into Tampa are impressive on the model runs. This is the best look in model runs in a long time as it appears the GOA is opening back up for business, however these low pressure systems are also quickly becoming southern sliders too. The cold dry air that does come through with a cold front is NOT retreating back up into Canada so quickly before the moisture reaches us. Would not be surprised if the Carolina's up to Washington DC sees more accumulating snow then us this year. This pattern is slowly setting up for a lot nuisance mix storm events snow/sleet to rain for our area if this keeps up. A pure snow event will be hard to come by in the next few weeks I basically want a 2-4 in long duration three day rain event asap to get the trees feet wet before the ground freezes and to get runoff back into the soon to be dry streams. Trout fishing and landscaping this spring will be severely hampered too if you do not get some significant rains in the next 2-3 weeks. When LCA declares a drought watch folks,its pretty serious. I have USGS gauging stations in my backyard for the Little Lehigh and if this stream dries up, the businesses will be greatly affected too throughout PA Quote

Where the hell these long range so called weather gurus snow weenies seeing snow for our area on facebook and other media sources and who are just trying to make a few advertising bucks playing up the polar vortex bs but the current models are sure are NOT portraying anything like this right now for our area.. Every single snow chance has now dwindle to rain/mix event and also an insignificant rain event at best for our area as the cold dry air is winning the battle. The models have shown only one positive thing in the last two weeks for a major pattern change and a possible major snow event for us but when it will ever occur will just be plain luck. If you old timers recognize the current major pattern shift on the last weeks runs which we have not seen in nearly 6-10 years is identified as the four corner lows which are developing and pushing into the Gulf of America. Then these lows are quickly re-energized with a ton of moisture and are setting up for a good Miller A type of storm event- rain or snow along the east coast. The lows south of New Orleans into Tampa are impressive on the model runs. This is the best look in model runs in a long time as it appears the GOA is opening back up for business, however these low pressure systems are also quickly becoming southern sliders too. The cold dry air that does come through with a cold front is NOT retreating back up into Canada so quickly before the moisture reaches us. Would not be surprised if the Carolina's up to Washington DC sees more accumulating snow then us this year. This pattern is slowly setting up for a lot nuisance mix storm events snow/sleet to rain for our area if this keeps up. A pure snow event will be hard to come by in the next few weeks I basically want a 2-4 in long duration three day rain event asap to get the trees feet wet before the ground freezes and to get runoff back into the soon to be dry streams. Trout fishing and landscaping this spring will be severely hampered too if you do not get some significant rains in the next 2-3 weeks. When LCA declares a drought watch folks,its pretty serious. I have USGS gauging stations in my backyard for the Little Lehigh and if this stream dries up, the businesses will be greatly affected too throughout PA

well drought guy, here. These pity rain events is killing us now. Just issued a drought watch for my water supply. The bad thing is that it did not come from PADEP or the USGS, it came from my water authority LCA. This is getting serious as this affects the water bottling companies as well as 200,000 residents in the LV. Where is 2-3 in rainfall from a noreaster? WeE can not even squeeze out a popcorn fart for a decent rainfall event. Every time I look at the models, the snow potential keeps getting push back to the middle of December too. Welcome to the arid tundra region again. https://www.lehighvalleynews.com/environment-science/lehigh-county-authority-declares-drought-watch-asks-residents-to-reduce-water-use

the big pattern change is afoot- 4 corners lows constantly ejecting toward us for the next 3-4 weeks. One of them should be a minimal car topper event but still the GOM is not opened for business yet. We really need one of the 4 corner lows to go into the GOM and then run up the coast and stall as a Miller A. The PAC winds are just to strong right now and too progressive. Three more days of 40+ winds coming this week. I am so tired of dealing with dead ash trees falling with our public works dept.