Albedoman

ye p , I called it over a week ago. Here come the sinkholes- twice in less than a week in Palmer Township. The groundwater tables are dropping like a rock-- literally https://www.lehighvalleylive.com/easton/2024/09/25-foot-deep-sinkhole-opens-across-parking-lot-from-palmer-twp-warehouse.html

I agree. If we have accumulating snow the week after Thanksgiving, we will be in good shape. We need the cold arctic air to be established over us the first week of December, not in Novemeber, otherwise we wast a month tracking perfect scenarios for accumulating snow events.Less than 1 inch events do not count. From the old fart of the forum

wow the drizzle that is falling is really getting the street wet-- IN SPOTS. 40% chance of nothing. Why must they indicate t- storms and get my hopes up? well onto Francine in the next two weeks- our last hope for significant rains until Halloween. You know damn well it will wait until Halloween night to rain hard. At least it will be cooler

Drought guy is pissed off. That meso area out near Somerset just sat there all day is finally moving south. Everything to the north just dried up- a few sprinkles here. That was our last chance of decent rain until 9/12-15 time frame like I emphasized in an earlier post. Folks, the cooler weather drought conditions will not help in reseeding the scorched lawn from all of our 90+ degree days and it will yellow by the end of the week. Stream levels are going to drop quickly now. More sinkholes coming too our area as the water table falls quickly. What to expect this week? Field corn and soybeans will dry up quickly almost overnight. Early harvesting of the corn and soybean fields is expected this year. Pumpkins will be much smaller this year and the fall leaves will turn just turn brown and yellow unless we get a sharp cold front with some moisture come through-- do not see that coming anytime soon. The air will be crisp and cooler on Monday with good sleeping weather for the rest of the week but we really need a tropical storm event up here. Hurricane Francine is aiming for the 12-15th in our general area but the current models say it will go straight up to Canada through the Ohio Valley.

this pitiful crap tonight is just another tease. Nice downpours in central pa tonight near Lewistown will hit the Berks county line and become DOA. This process of missing the area from Macungie to Reading to Quakertown and south toward Limerick is becoming the norm. The cells tonight should break part going south and north of this are. This situation happened last night and it looks to repeat again tonight.

Here is the situation. I will lead you to the land of milk and honey if mother nature allows me. The current train of dying tropical storms near Hawaii will swing around to the north and die out as LP troughs over the Gulf Of Alaska over the next few weeks. With La Nina pattern taking over early, these parade of former tropical storms will become strong LP's hitting the Pacific NW coast from Oregon and especially along the west coast of British Columbia Canada over the course of the upcoming weeks. As they come ashore, they will drag cooler Canadian air masses across the northern areas of the US ( below normal temps for sure) and should be loaded with some cloudy dreary showery/rainy days. We will be edge of this parade of storms and as the recipient of these constant barrage of strong cool fronts sometime after 9/15. Hopefully this Pacific moisture can be maintained all the way to the east coast with these cool fronts. Driving forces for my prediction: any stalled out dying tropical system along the east coast from 9/8 to 9/15 will help fill the creeks as well

And you thought the drought guy was basking in the downpours somewhere? LOL Yards getting crispy again. Just when the grass starting greening again too. Tomatoes are done. Creek levels are stable for now but they will be dropping pretty quickly in the next week without significant rains. Sinkholes popping up in Northampton County along Rt 33- indicating dropping groundwater tables. Wheres the dam tropical storms? The GOM is shut off again.

anybody north and east of Rt 22 and I78 interchange got nailed in the LV. For us in western lehigh County into Berks- hit and miss all day. The flash flood watches were eventually verified near the LVI airport but as a whole another localized event with no widespread flooding. Anybody west of Kutztown- nada for the day. Hopefully with the cold frontal passage tomorrow afternoon everyone gets some some decent rain. Cannot wait for upper 40 temps Wednesday morning . The ac needs a rest and the scorched grass patches needs to regreen from the excessive high soil temps.

Yep, areas to my immediate northwest getting hammered right now- around Kuhnsville to South Whitehall township. I have received about .75 in of rain from various intense but short in duration downpours throughout the day. The saving grace- the sun popped out right after noon and the air became quickly unstabilized. First time in months this has happened. It was refreshing seeing towering cumulonimbus clouds forming all around me with the sun still out. The street dry out, then it rains and the streets steam up. The convective portion of this event has been nice for a change too- again all because the sun came out right at noon instead of right before sunset. This is how summer should be, not cloudy all day with smoke haze hot sticky and no rain in the picture.

The skies finally opened up after we got some sun this afternoon it's nice to see the rain showers pop-up everywhere and heavy downpours it's about d*** time.

flood watch? How about a dry watch? I hope this atmosphere starts to moisten up soon with some convective cells but I am afraid the flood watch maybe canceled. Almost feels like last years winter is approaching because of the Radar virga LOL.

This satellite picture in the last hour explains my previous post. Look at the ohio valley where there is sun- thats where the heavy rain/t storms are. NO convective environment anywhere in E PA .

another joke of forecasted heavy rain event today thus far. These dying t showers are worthless from the Ohio Valley. The PWAT's modeling maybe high but the NER's are off the charts. IMHO, the NERS must be weighed against the PWAT to determine realistic probabilities of heavy rain events. With the constant debris stratus clouds and no diurnal sunshine, the convective aspect for the formation of high PWAT ratios are essentially nill and with the NER's so low too, its impossible to achieve heavy rain events. Lets hope the sun peeks out later somewhere west of Reading before the sun sets

I swear this video depicts some areas of our region of localized downpours are really like this summer LMAO https://www.itemfix.com/v?t=cm5e71

Really a debbie downer. I was expecting lows in the mid 50's with decent dewpoints and a little breeze. Boy am I suprised when the overnight lows barely just reached 60 degrees with dewponts still in the low 60's. All Debby did was raise the humidities in the overnight areas, promote mold and mushroom growth. The worst part is there is no breeze at all in the evening. The midwest is getting the refreshing airmass. By the time it reaches here, it will warm up another 5-10 degrees at night. Record lows in the Great lakes - upper 40's to lows 50's here jack squat. The windows will stay shut as the dewpoints still remain in the 60's. If you open yoor windows, you are basically allowing the heat to create steamy conditions in the house in the evening with no breeze. Its really pitiful when the windows steam up the last few mornings on the outside even when I set the temps in the house in the house at 70 degrees. When does a real Canadian air mass over us? LOL

Unbelievable- canceling Kutztown festival today over drizzle. These people must be out of their mind. You think it was 33 degrees and a cold ass rain with sleet outside. Its 75 degrees. The fair sponsors wonder why attendance will be down. Cry wolf and this is what yoou get. Music fest is just as bad. But get this, if the event was the garlic fest or baconfest, they would go on even if a hurricane was hitting them directly

Last nights total .45 in Lower Macungie,Ancient oaks . Not a flooding event for sure. In the last two hours however, I have received nearly .50 inch of rain with these very localized tropical downpours. Hardest rains for awhile here. Cannot wait until Sunday/Monday with the the new airmass. The skies should be a deep blue with Debby washing out all of the heat, haze/smoke, pollen and humidity

the flooding rains were pretty bad -NOT. Did have two hours of some light to moderate rain from the dying storms. The precip donut hole still exists over southeastern Lehigh County into Northern Montgomery and Bucks. Well, maybe Frday offers some hope. While the 95 crew gets literally washed away, the 78/222 crew is dying of thirst and stays in the 90's. It was not predicted to be in the mid 90's yesterday either. The only thing that I got was a bunch of down branches for the dozen time this summer -please no more downdrafts from the dying t-storms.

Complete miss in Western Lehigh county what a joke The winds were gusty about 45 miles an hour I spent the last 45 minutes picking up tree limbs. Music fest is being hammered however

C,mon man, my location in the bullseye for Saturday? These models are garbage. Lets see how many times this changes in the next five days. 11 in of rain. If this scenario actually happens, it will be the worst foods ever to hit Lehigh Valley. Isaias was bad enough in 2020 with 8 in of rain in 24 hours. here was my front yard in the pic below in 2020.

Laugh now Ralph, but watch the storm take a wide right and leave us all wondering what the hell happened. I will not believe the models precip runs again until my rain gauge registers two inches of precip and the precip is actually called for. These precip models have been poor in their guidance all summer. Hit and miss t storms will not make the cut. Even Mt Holly has had trouble with posting 60-80 % chances of precip and then changing their forecasts two- four hours later and lowering the aerial coverage to 20%. I have been using my leaf blower after every t storm because of the amount of scorched leaves from the trees being blown off from the gusty winds with little to no rainfall. It appears MT Holly is already downgrading the precip totals between forecast periods this morning too going from 1-2 inches to less than an inch in the last four hours. Enjoy your tropical rains.

Double the chances of sprinkles. Lines are falling apart bigtime

The crap that's coming our way in the next hour will find a way to manage to Miss all of us

well like i said in an earlier post, the drought watches are coming. Here is the first of many notices from private water companies. This morning- a few sprinles thats it. https://www.wfmz.com/news/area/berks/mandatory-water-restriction-in-effect-for-the-north-heidelberg-water-system/article_82ef7f16-517e-11ef-ad4f-9b7a759f97d5.html

You mean there is a chance----- LMAO