Albedoman

The rain pitch was thrown, high and to the left a complete whiff- going up to Williamsport/ Hazelton in the past few hours and then dying- calling a ball. With 80% chance- how in the world do we even get that Mt Holly? I say right now the percentage is less than 20% of coverage in the entire forecast area. I am waiting for the wind up and pitch for the next potential at midnight --hope its a strike. If we get anything less than .50 an inch, I call drought warning for the entire area until a tropical storm hits us in the second week of September.

wow that's 39 drops more than me. I would say by tommorows mornings run, the precip chances will dwindle to 30% based on the short range models today. Its not looking good

wow, I have not seen a brick wall put up around the LV and points east for the formation of rain like the last two months. I got 20 drops last night- left some spots on the windshield of dust and pollen. The car instantly became so dirty again. The same areas are getting the rain right now - from York to points south and east and it is retrograding south and west. That 40% forecast of precip is for western Chester county only. All I can say if a tropical storm forms off the Carolina coast or northern gulf coast in September, there will be plenty of latent heat around here for it to stay strong.

everytime MT Holly calls for a 20% chance of t shower in the forecast period, this is how I feel

https://www.drought.gov/location/18062

This weather pattern sucks for sure. My yard is being destroyed. The garden stop producing and the we should be under a drought watch by the end of the week. No tropical development on the horizon that's for sure. I have had less than 2 in of rain since the beginning of June. The corn yields will be down big time.

precip on Monday is being ghostbusted . Precip chances dwindling by more than 10% each day. Not a real confident booster for sure. Each model run is being pushed further south and out to sea. Is this January 2022? Tropical season is not going to arrive until mid Sept this year for us.

I agree. Drought does not stop at the Delaware River just like flooding and a Nor'Easter.. The media takes a graphic and runs with it no matter how stupid it is. The USGS people need to wake up when doing public media for graphics. The media is too stupid to recognize the situation. https://www.drought.gov/states/Pennsylvania/county/Lehigh

forget about any rain for the LV. That Saharan desert dust is choking the living hell out of any precip forming north of I-78. That LP for Monday is also pee in the wind for anyone near i_78.

wow /less than .10 inch in three weeks at my house. These storms are so localized. The only savior will be a tropical storm. Today was a joke. It rained so little that the trees covering the road prevented the road from being wet. Mt Holly keeps pushing PWAT in their discussion like everyone is getting this in every local storm. no way. You would be lucky to get over .5 inch of rain. Time to rethink the pwat situation in the discussion. The storms are very short lived and blow themselves out in 20 minutes or so as evidence in the outflow boundary comments by other posters. I would be worried about PWAT if we had training storms- yet to see this situation this summer. I am afraid when the cold front comes through on Thursday- we will not see good rains for awhile. return back to early July weather cool and dry. The lawn will continue to burn up.

just received the million dollar rain. Almost an inch of water thus far from this storm. 2 million drops is my best estimate. Finally a t storm just for the LV on the radar. This will help hydrate those thirsty lawns, especially with the nitrogen as there was actual some lighting with the the showers

million dollar rain baby last night. .65 in of rain every little bit helps. Farmers are rejoicing in Southern Lehigh county

its coming. I expect a watch will be issued by mid - August unless we get a tropical storm. These hit and miss showers are good enough for farmers but not good enough to recharge the aquifers. The stream base flows are really starting to drop now as well. They were really high this past spring. The topsoil horizon is like powder in the shale soils and the clay soils elsewhere are starting to crack. The lawns are brown because they are primarily perennial ryegrass cool season grasses that are not heat tolerant as well as drought tolerant. The heat is browning the lawns even if they are watered sufficiently. The water tables are also falling rapidly in Lehigh county karst areas as the water is literally being sucked out from the water bottlers.

million dollar rain if its more than an inch. Yes its hopeful. The best chance in the last two weeks if it holds together

hit the forecast right on the nose. T storms redeveloping right around Philly. NWS discussion has left out the LV again of why we were screwed again.. What else is new. They are too worried about PWAT's in the forecast that do not even come to fruition. The 70% chance of rain has dwindled to 30% by 1:00 pm for the LV. I really do not see a measurable rain over one inch for the rest of the month. Normal for July should be around 4 in. Have had less than .25 in at my house. Drought watches coming soon. Current streamflow on the Little Lehigh is now in severe drought conditions. https://waterwatch.usgs.gov/index.php?r=pa&m=real&w=map

You can fire as many phasers (rain showers) at it and they just get absorbed in the dry shield around the LV. The line of t showers hits the LV and is done for. 20 drops at my house. Fricking unbelievable as the storm line separates again , goes south and north for the upteenth time this summer. Any storm line that hits the LV at 10 am is done for too All we get are stratus debris clouds from the storms with a few drops. By the time the line gets to philly area and south, they will be regenerating with raging t-storms again. The sun will come out soon and we will be in the 90's again with no heat advisory -typical screw job

Long shot thats for sure. Last week when had a t storm watch and 80% chance , less than 20% of the area got any precip and that was short lived. Its going to take a tropical wave/storm to break this stubborn pattern

The storm line struck the foul line pole near Walnutport and disappeared. Its like drying a wet spot on a shirt with a hair dryer. The rain disappeared within minutes in this desert air.

Oh I am here and watching. Keeping a low profile as seeing is believing for many posters. A back to back La Nina pattern for 2-3 years is killing this country right now. The evapotranspiration rate is a killer right now and it only going to get worse. The only way to break this routine is a tropical storm which will not appear until mid August or later. Hit and miss t storms with no chance of training is the norm right now. The base flow stream levels are dropping fast and I expect drought watches to be issued by the end of month. Here is the link for your perusal. We are in a moderate drought https://www.drought.gov/location/18062

Let the screw zone live on. What a fail. I was expecting a decent chance of a good t storm for the LV. It is fading real quick. That 80% chance of precip in the forecast looks more like 20% with the aerial coverage depicted on the radar right now. The .35 in of rain on Saturday was just enough to knock off the scorched leaves on my Kousa tree. It is going to real bad for lawns here by the end of the week.

finally a half inch of rain overnight. That was a multi million dollar rain for the farmers in our area.

the key to this pattern is the extreme low day and night humidities from the distinct dominance of the canadian highs over the Bermuda Highs taking control. Add to that dying cold fronts that stall to south of the Mason Dixon line and cloudy nights that prevent dew formation on the vegetation add up to a significant recipe of extreme dryness in the soils. We must have the return of the cold fronts stalling or dying north of the LV and short waves riding the fronts. That pattern has completely disappeared since April. Its seems every time we have had a chance for this , a stronger cold front moves through our area and prevents stalling of the fronts. The lifting mechanism for training of t-storms have been non-existent this year too. Its just like a typical late December weather pattern where the dry cold air does not meet with moisture from the south and is typical of La Nina dominated pattern.

hory crap, 52 drops tonight. Just enough to spot the car windshield with pollen and dust in the morning. Hits the LV wall and virtually is gone in 15 minutes. Never seen such a dry pocket of air over us like this. well , I got 20 drops more than this weekend, so that it is a plus. The corn today in Breinigsville is so spiked, I just do see how it will make it. ITs bee at least ten years since I have seen such severity in the corn spiking. My zucchini have stopped producing and for the first time, the canadian geese have come over in my yard as the fields are drying up and the humidity during the afternoon drops into the 30% range. Even the ground is cracked in the wetland areas.

can you say screw zone? LV getting screwed again. Wow I got thirty drops of something. They should cancel the t- storm watch north of quakertown. There is no way the LV will even get a decent t-storm looking at the radar.

Nada for tonight for the LV. This is getting bad. The 60% chance is quickly turning into a 10% chance with less than .25 inch. That will not even put a dent in the soil conditions. I put a shovel in the ground today and it was like concrete and this was in the shady woods. Well, it looks like it will take a tropical storm to break this crappy pattern we are in. Cooler is not necessarily better at this point. I expect drought watches to be issued by the end of the month for our area as the base flow of the Little Lehigh is really falling quickly