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Everything posted by Albedoman
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forget about any rain for the LV. That Saharan desert dust is choking the living hell out of any precip forming north of I-78. That LP for Monday is also pee in the wind for anyone near i_78.
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wow /less than .10 inch in three weeks at my house. These storms are so localized. The only savior will be a tropical storm. Today was a joke. It rained so little that the trees covering the road prevented the road from being wet. Mt Holly keeps pushing PWAT in their discussion like everyone is getting this in every local storm. no way. You would be lucky to get over .5 inch of rain. Time to rethink the pwat situation in the discussion. The storms are very short lived and blow themselves out in 20 minutes or so as evidence in the outflow boundary comments by other posters. I would be worried about PWAT if we had training storms- yet to see this situation this summer. I am afraid when the cold front comes through on Thursday- we will not see good rains for awhile. return back to early July weather cool and dry. The lawn will continue to burn up.
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just received the million dollar rain. Almost an inch of water thus far from this storm. 2 million drops is my best estimate. Finally a t storm just for the LV on the radar. This will help hydrate those thirsty lawns, especially with the nitrogen as there was actual some lighting with the the showers
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million dollar rain baby last night. .65 in of rain every little bit helps. Farmers are rejoicing in Southern Lehigh county
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its coming. I expect a watch will be issued by mid - August unless we get a tropical storm. These hit and miss showers are good enough for farmers but not good enough to recharge the aquifers. The stream base flows are really starting to drop now as well. They were really high this past spring. The topsoil horizon is like powder in the shale soils and the clay soils elsewhere are starting to crack. The lawns are brown because they are primarily perennial ryegrass cool season grasses that are not heat tolerant as well as drought tolerant. The heat is browning the lawns even if they are watered sufficiently. The water tables are also falling rapidly in Lehigh county karst areas as the water is literally being sucked out from the water bottlers.
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million dollar rain if its more than an inch. Yes its hopeful. The best chance in the last two weeks if it holds together
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hit the forecast right on the nose. T storms redeveloping right around Philly. NWS discussion has left out the LV again of why we were screwed again.. What else is new. They are too worried about PWAT's in the forecast that do not even come to fruition. The 70% chance of rain has dwindled to 30% by 1:00 pm for the LV. I really do not see a measurable rain over one inch for the rest of the month. Normal for July should be around 4 in. Have had less than .25 in at my house. Drought watches coming soon. Current streamflow on the Little Lehigh is now in severe drought conditions. https://waterwatch.usgs.gov/index.php?r=pa&m=real&w=map
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You can fire as many phasers (rain showers) at it and they just get absorbed in the dry shield around the LV. The line of t showers hits the LV and is done for. 20 drops at my house. Fricking unbelievable as the storm line separates again , goes south and north for the upteenth time this summer. Any storm line that hits the LV at 10 am is done for too All we get are stratus debris clouds from the storms with a few drops. By the time the line gets to philly area and south, they will be regenerating with raging t-storms again. The sun will come out soon and we will be in the 90's again with no heat advisory -typical screw job
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Long shot thats for sure. Last week when had a t storm watch and 80% chance , less than 20% of the area got any precip and that was short lived. Its going to take a tropical wave/storm to break this stubborn pattern
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The storm line struck the foul line pole near Walnutport and disappeared. Its like drying a wet spot on a shirt with a hair dryer. The rain disappeared within minutes in this desert air.
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Oh I am here and watching. Keeping a low profile as seeing is believing for many posters. A back to back La Nina pattern for 2-3 years is killing this country right now. The evapotranspiration rate is a killer right now and it only going to get worse. The only way to break this routine is a tropical storm which will not appear until mid August or later. Hit and miss t storms with no chance of training is the norm right now. The base flow stream levels are dropping fast and I expect drought watches to be issued by the end of month. Here is the link for your perusal. We are in a moderate drought https://www.drought.gov/location/18062
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Let the screw zone live on. What a fail. I was expecting a decent chance of a good t storm for the LV. It is fading real quick. That 80% chance of precip in the forecast looks more like 20% with the aerial coverage depicted on the radar right now. The .35 in of rain on Saturday was just enough to knock off the scorched leaves on my Kousa tree. It is going to real bad for lawns here by the end of the week.
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finally a half inch of rain overnight. That was a multi million dollar rain for the farmers in our area.
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the key to this pattern is the extreme low day and night humidities from the distinct dominance of the canadian highs over the Bermuda Highs taking control. Add to that dying cold fronts that stall to south of the Mason Dixon line and cloudy nights that prevent dew formation on the vegetation add up to a significant recipe of extreme dryness in the soils. We must have the return of the cold fronts stalling or dying north of the LV and short waves riding the fronts. That pattern has completely disappeared since April. Its seems every time we have had a chance for this , a stronger cold front moves through our area and prevents stalling of the fronts. The lifting mechanism for training of t-storms have been non-existent this year too. Its just like a typical late December weather pattern where the dry cold air does not meet with moisture from the south and is typical of La Nina dominated pattern.
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hory crap, 52 drops tonight. Just enough to spot the car windshield with pollen and dust in the morning. Hits the LV wall and virtually is gone in 15 minutes. Never seen such a dry pocket of air over us like this. well , I got 20 drops more than this weekend, so that it is a plus. The corn today in Breinigsville is so spiked, I just do see how it will make it. ITs bee at least ten years since I have seen such severity in the corn spiking. My zucchini have stopped producing and for the first time, the canadian geese have come over in my yard as the fields are drying up and the humidity during the afternoon drops into the 30% range. Even the ground is cracked in the wetland areas.
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can you say screw zone? LV getting screwed again. Wow I got thirty drops of something. They should cancel the t- storm watch north of quakertown. There is no way the LV will even get a decent t-storm looking at the radar.
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Nada for tonight for the LV. This is getting bad. The 60% chance is quickly turning into a 10% chance with less than .25 inch. That will not even put a dent in the soil conditions. I put a shovel in the ground today and it was like concrete and this was in the shady woods. Well, it looks like it will take a tropical storm to break this crappy pattern we are in. Cooler is not necessarily better at this point. I expect drought watches to be issued by the end of the month for our area as the base flow of the Little Lehigh is really falling quickly
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MT Holly has said nothing in their discussion about how abnormally dry this weather pattern has been for anyone nw of Philly. What are their thoughts? Everyday, its Delmarva this and Delmarva that. There is a LV and metro area north of Philly where over 3 million people live and read their weather discussion. Please guys, I am interested your thoughts too. Is too much emphasis is placed on the Delmarva region? Is it because it is closer to Mt Holly? Just because it does not rain, does not mean there should be no discussion about how the weather pattern has affected these other subareas of your CWA. Simply saying it will be drier this weekend when it has not rained more than .05 in in two weeks is not part of a good discussion without some reasoning? Some reasoning examples such as why is it drier, whats holding up the fronts just south of the Mason Dixon line, the unusual dominance of the Canadian weather highs for this time of the year for our area, the role of the Bermuda High with the formation afternoon t- storms, the fact that July is normally the wettest month of the year, the lack of convective storms in our area, the lack of tropical storm development and the list goes on. Thanks
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thats ten more drops than me in Lower macungie. Achieving 2 inch PWAT's are in a dreamscape right now. The air is so dry and then any available moisture is sucked out in the stratus clouds before the dying front comes through. The stress on the turf is pretty nasty right now too. My garden needs some rain. Cannot remember when the last time a good time cracking /rumbling training t- storms have hit our area. The good ole afternoon t- storms from the Bermuda High are gone as the Canadian HP takes over. This weekend looks pretty cool for July.
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Need some rain bad. Lawns are browning pretty good in northern Montgomery County. No drought issues yet. This year has been the weirdest summer in five years. Utility bill will be low compared to other years as 90 degree temps have been scarce and extremely low humidity nights with temps in the 50's in June helped. What rain we have received falls in a single 12 hour period and then is gone for days. We need some tropical storm remnants now. I have to wait until after Wednesday to see the Bermuda High kick in and resume our normal afternoon high PWAT's. July is the wettest month. Hope we can get some of this needed rain on Tuesday. Central PA has been clobbered the past week in heavy rain. Its seems the cold fronts die out in the evening before getting here. Big ole donut hole over the LV as the t- showers have been so localized
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2022 OBS Thread
Albedoman replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
Lehigh Valley will take and is grateful. Three inches of rain in a week here in macungie and I am happy. two inches since last week and another inch last night. I am ready to say the end to the drought potential. With the air temps that are not above normal and the the soil temps that are way below normal, I do not expect leaf out until the end of April/early May. With this late leaf out is actually good as the the soil profile will remain moist and groundwater will be recharged until then the leaves uptake the ground moisture. If PWATs exceed 1.5 to 2 inches from next week storms, expect flooding to occur. -
March 12, 2022 Snow Discussion and Obs: Winter's Last Appearance?
Albedoman replied to Newman's topic in Philadelphia Region
You guys are hilarious. The snow is ripping, the yards and roads are caving, its trucking, a huge bag of wtf???? This clip best describes the current situation for you guys\\: -
March 12, 2022 Snow Discussion and Obs: Winter's Last Appearance?
Albedoman replied to Newman's topic in Philadelphia Region
to my fellow snow weenies LMAO . My sister in law just sent me this picture of whats coming our way a few minutes ago-- She lives in Memphis Tn. They already have thundersnow and the visibilities are pretty low. Notice the stickage on their streets and trees and by the way , it was 64 degrees yesterday there. -
March 12, 2022 Snow Discussion and Obs: Winter's Last Appearance?
Albedoman replied to Newman's topic in Philadelphia Region
alot of weenies going to be suprised tomorrow south of the LV. It will stick and accumulate. No sun angle here this time as temps fall and whiteout conditions become a problem with the winds. Bt Tuesday afternoon it will all be gone. -
E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2022 OBS Thread
Albedoman replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
I know alot of you were ribbing the hell out of me about a drought. Well, this as in tonights paper and is why I am concerned: https://www.mcall.com/news/weather/mc-nws-us-expansive-drought-lehigh-valley-abnormally-dry-20220309-olkwcc5rtfcpjhck4nuozal6ai-story.html