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Albedoman

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Everything posted by Albedoman

  1. A potent cold front marking the leading edge of a very cold Arctic air mass will approach from the northwest late Thursday night into early Friday morning. Both the deterministic and ensemble suites continue to indicate bitterly cold conditions Friday night into Saturday morning especially. This may rival the cold we had the week before Christmas in terms of intensity, though the good news is it will not be as prolonged with temperatures already looking to moderate back to normal by Sunday.
  2. dam, I rather have good short range model that was more reliable and can put out in a nice event like this one
  3. give me a break ten days away. Mid range models suck
  4. dusting to .5 of an inch. A real attention getter LMAO
  5. my god those 12z runs are ugly on all models. Winter is gone until March. Some of the runs had 60+ and not one run after this weekend indicates wintry precip. March is going to be fantastic compared to Feb at this rate if you are wanting snow.
  6. Iconic (LOL) says differently but the SER will send that extreme cold back to Canada until March real quick. With the MJO in the Phase 3-4 range and circling around the COD for the next 2-4 weeks, I see a major accumulating March snowstorm event - as likely outcome as the MJO attempts to head toward Phase 8 and the La Nina pattern slowly dies off with a relaxing SER in late Feb. I have seen this same type of dying pattern unfold many times in my lifetime at the end of a dying La Nina/El Nino pattern. Until then, need to joke around some more. Not saying another 1993 superstorm is in the works but a 1958 March type of snowstorm is not out of the realm of storms threats for our area in March. Winter will not be dead until after Easter IMHO. https://www.mcall.com/news/weather/mc-nws-1958-noreaster-lehigh-valley-20180320-story.html https://arcfieldweather.com/blog/2021/3/18/715-am-the-great-blizzard-of-march-18-21-1958one-of-the-worst-snowstorms-ever-in-eastern-pennsylvania
  7. i told you so-- another Christmas redux- dusting to an inch and then butt cold-- how pathetic --"wasted cold and wasted storm events chances" is the title of this of this song below A song for all the snow weenies out there: LOL
  8. Hot damn finally a gif that fully explains our perfect MJO model this year if ever I have seen it - dancing around the COD with pouring rain perfect explanation LMAO
  9. Exactly like Christmas snow event --dusting to an inch and thats it . Wishcasting these models now will not work.
  10. Another abysmal cold spell top remind us of this lackluster winter- 2-3 days after Ground Hogs day with virtually no snow on the ground again- the pity hits just keep coming this winter. Gotta talk about this last gasp of winter since the rest of February appears to be toasty. Even the ground Hog has a message for all of us after this cold outbreak:
  11. I am actually shocked at the image from the 18Z GFS run i just observed below. I have been alive for 64 years, lived in Wi, Tn, Ca and pretty much traveled throughout the country. Yet, it appears I will actually finally experience a great plain weather scene next weekend where the temps are near zero with no snow on the ground. I say good because every dam nuisance bug will be killed after that cold spell on our area for sure, including the ash borer, box elders, stink bug, lantern fly and maybe some mosquitoes to boot. Finally something good to talk about in the pattern. I will be looking forward to less bugs
  12. This is not only bad- it is just outright disgusting. One run for the records. The LR thermals indicate us back into the 60's after the end of next week. This year will be aka "The little winter season engine that could" https://www.prindleinstitute.org/books/the-little-engine-that-could/
  13. OMG. I have to wipe the tears out of my eyes from laughing so much. The point forecast for my house tonight is literally a joke. No sunshine until Thursday. I edited it for your enjoyment too ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Tonight Increasing clouds, with a low around 30. South wind 5 to 10 mph. Saturday Increasing clouds, with a high near 46. West wind 10 to 15 mph. (So it is just cloudy enough for you in the LV yet so we will keep increasing the clouds until it is?) Saturday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31. South wind around 5 mph. Sunday A slight chance of rain and snow showers before 10am, then a chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 47. Southwest wind 5 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Little or no snow accumulation expected. (Yep it is true, snow is not allow to accumulate for longer then 8 hours in the LV before melting away) Sunday Night A slight chance of showers before 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 34. Southwest wind 5 to 15 mph becoming northwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Monday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 45. Monday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 29. Tuesday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 36. Tuesday Night A chance of snow after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 25. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Wednesday A chance of snow showers, mixing with rain after 10am, then gradually ending. Partly sunny, with a high near 36. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Wednesday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23. (whoopee -- ice to deal with on my car as the melted snow freezes- my favorite) Thursday Partly sunny, with a high near 33. (Hot dam-- what the hell is that yellow ball in the sky that I see today?) Thursday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 17. Friday Sunny, with a high near 33. (Finally all day sunshine but no again snow on the ground and now it is below freezing for a high -- typical screw job)
  14. Yearly snowfall amounts in LV and where we stand this year. Pitiful as the snow we received yesterday is already gone. As far as I am concerned, its still a shutout as no snow has been on the ground for the entire day
  15. I tell you what a pathetic winter is. When it does actually snow nearly 3 inches and the snow cannot even stay on the ground for longer than 8-12 hours. The snow cover is basically gone in the LV area. We have had nearly 4 inches of snow this wonderful year and none of it has been on the ground 12 hours later. That should count for jack shite for snowfall totals Its like pulling the rug out. Somebody please provide us posters who like a good winter season with info on when the last snow that was on the ground for longer than three days in the LV or SE PA. Otherwise as far as I am concerned I am afraid this winter season is over even with yesterdays snow as I see no significant snow being on the ground longer than 24 hours on any model run period in the foreseeable future. In summation, winter is not a true winter unless snow is on the ground for longer than a week.
  16. Rephrase Please "what could possibly go right!" LMAO
  17. wow, finally some pancake snowflakes an hour ago here in Macungie. Looks real hopeful on Wednesday as the Nam and Euro all agree on 4+ in snow for the LV 48 hours out. Expect at least a WSW for our extreme northern counties in our area tomorrow.
  18. this video clip is painful for me watching the models runs lately and then finally waiting for a good snowstorm. LOL. This movie is demonstrates the epitome of how it rains primarily in Philly but snows in the NW burbs in the opening scene
  19. For better or worse. Well she apparently does not know what that means. My god, going blind and not breathing for a parent is terrifying in any situation and especially to the children and grandchildren. Moving your mother to PA nursing home would be the best option if you want to save your marriage. But if the wife says no, its time to hit the road and live with Mom until the end. I know my wife would support either one of our parents no matter the situation. We miss them. You wife's parents still alive or have they passed and she simply does not care? So Sorry
  20. how in the hell can I believe this snow map when a penile looking amount of accumulation is depicted in the middle of the Adirondacks? These models are becoming hilarious in their own mind. LOL
  21. in this pattern, it is very possible for 80+ degree days in April as evident in 2002 April 2002 Allentown Weather Day High (°F) Low (°F) Precip. (inches) Snow (inches) April 1 56 37 0.01 0.0 April 2 63 31 0.00 0.0 April 3 68 37 0.18 0.0 April 4 50 30 0.00 0.0 April 5 43 26 0.00 0.0 April 6 44 27 0.00 0.0 April 7 50 21 0.00 0.0 April 8 62 35 0.01 0.0 April 9 72 54 0.33 0.0 April 10 64 43 0.01 0.0 April 11 64 37 0.00 0.0 April 12 55 34 0.07 0.0 April 13 70 54 0.05 0.0 April 14 76 53 0.84 0.0 April 15 77 59 0.23 0.0 April 16 89 57 0.00 0.0 April 17 91 60 0.00 0.0 April 18 87 61 0.00 0.0 April 19 87 59 0.19 0.0 April 20 68 45 0.01 0.0 April 21 54 44 0.03 0.0 April 22 55 39 0.12 0.0 April 23 55 36 0.00 0.0 April 24 60 30 0.00 0.0 April 25 54 37 0.33 0.0 April 26 59 34 0.00 0.0 April 27 61 31 0.08 0.0 April 28 59 46 1.13 0.0 April 29 57 41 0.01 0.0 April 30 59 34 0.20 0.0
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