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Everything posted by Albedoman
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I am more concerned that what happened back in 96 really still has not changed for the Morning Call as they are dismal at best at any weather forecasting- always late and never enough important info as it relates to actual storm progression. They realized this several years go as readers have left in droves and MC has gone to Empire forecasting for their weather forecasting needs. What ever happened to trusting Mt Holly and the NWS? If I was running the show at MC, I would have direct links to the Mt Holly site from the MC site and to all of my subscribers and encourage these subscribers to use those links in order to have constant weather warning updates. I would make my reporters read and request help from the pro's at Mt Holly to understand the weather discussion, especially for each posted storm synopsis . Mt Holly does an excellent job of this. This going to a private service is hogwash for MC as they are providing ad space for the private consultants for terms of service to use their name recognition to appear they know what the hell they are doing better than the NWS. Mike Gorse you are spot on with your opinions. Thanks
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January 7th First Snow for some N&W folks Discussion
Albedoman replied to ChescoWx's topic in Philadelphia Region
wow can the LV score on this? -
January 7th First Snow for some N&W folks Discussion
Albedoman replied to ChescoWx's topic in Philadelphia Region
one inch on the ground already and snowing moderately to heavy at times. There goes our chance of having the longest period for a measurable snow record out the door in the LV Well better luck next time. I guess reverse psychology does work. LOL -
January 7th First Snow for some N&W folks Discussion
Albedoman replied to ChescoWx's topic in Philadelphia Region
perfectly good explanation, he just missed his dose of prozac last night. -
what winter wonderland are you dreaming of right now? Winter has not even started yet in the LV? I have bird seed sprouting under my feeders right now with bulbs pushing up and my pussy willow has white blooms on it. I have a book to read right now in this pattern. Would you like to join me in reading this particular book? LMAO
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well, I will succumb as it looks like we will get a very measly measurable snowfall of nearly one inch of snow on Friday morning ending my hopes for a new snowfall record. However the latest full one inch record snowfall is still in jeopardy. Wow, no snow thrower for me this time too, Hell not even a shovel . Just need my leaf blower or broom and barely a grass covering. The birds should be able to still find the bird seed on the ground too. Congrats SNJ shore. You are finally scoring on every winter event thus far this year. The municipalities salt budgets will be used up pretty quick at this rate however as they will not be able to easily remove the salt by natural means. plow the snow off the road in the LV while the frozen tundra conditions really set in now. No more groundwater recharge too for awhile as any precip that does fall will not penetrate the soil as the frozen conditions of the soils/closed depressions really lock up too. It will be one big salt dust bowl up here for awhile as the vehicles turn grey. Car washes are loving this set up for sure. Snow plow contractors, sorry, it may be awhile before for really you cash in.
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alrighty now, thats the way i like to see it. The latest snowfall record for the LV being broken is still on the table by the reliable 18 GFS model LMAO
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I have been rooting for something that makes this current pattern worth noting as it really sucks. My motto Just because something doesn't do what you planned it to do doesn't mean it's useless."
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lets go for it. We got nothing to lose right now.
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the Euro will not let me down, Oh c'mon baby another whiff for the LV so our no measurable snow record can be broken. The model chaos will send everything to the coast and leave us with a high and dry tundra surface
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Central PA - Winter 2021/2022
Albedoman replied to Bubbler86's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
i want the screw hole over the LV so we can break the no measurable snowfall record next week. If we are going to screwed, I demand a royal screw job to prove it was satisfactory LOL -
Yep the LV no snow record is in trouble after tonights runs. Incredible, every model shows the donut hole real nice.
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No way 12 to 18". The models cannot even agree on one inch right now outside of 24-36 hours . What are you smoking? I want some of that. I would love to see that amount but it is not in the cards right now I agree there is a 50/50 chance of a measurable snow right now for the LV and that is all I can agree on with this chaotic LR model runs and the extremely progressive jet stream over the US. One run shows 12-18 in, the next makes the storm disappear all together. The model runs both short and long range are pretty bad right now as the buoy data in the Pacific cannot be ingested quick enough into the models because of fast jet stream to make them more reliable. I keep saying we need to send drones over the PA ocean and SW desert areas to supplement the atmospheric wind/temp data gathering over vast open areas and to perhaps help launch more weather balloons . I am surprised nobody at NOAA has thought of that
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well , the latest measurable snowfall record of Jan 13 looks to be broken the way these LR maps are going here in the LV. Even in the heart of benchmark LP location, the models indicate less than an inch of snow on Friday. It will take a miracle for all the models to even agree on a storm location right now. I would just like to see the grass snow covered- i guess that is even too much to even ask. They finally will open Bear Creek trails in the few days as they are making snow like crazy right now. The Mountain looks like a blizzard is hitting it right now in these partly sunny skies at sunset.
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The ski resorts in the Poconos may have to shut down, maybe for the season if there is no snow this upcoming week. Making snow for their base only to see it gone by a typical January thaw is not productive and become really expensive especially in this Covid climate too. The only saving grace was the nearly one inch of rain we got last week in the drought stricken areas of Eastern PA to allow further pumping of water out of the ground or out of the streams to replenish the artificial snow base. Lets hope this progressive pattern goes away.
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Goody goody, breaking the latest no measurable snowfall record is still in play. The 12Z model runs are insisting on breaking this record too as they too are already pushing the next storm out to sea. The east central snow hole lives on Hurray.
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screw all of the models. This is strictly a thread the needle storm for anyone northwest of Philly as th east side of 95 stands to see a good snow. I for one will keep my 60 degree temps today. Sun just popped out here in Macungie. It absolutely nice for this time of the year. 20+ above avg temps I want us to break the record for the first measurable snowfall here in the LV. If Fridays storm does not pan out , we have a legitimate shot at it. I am so sick of waiting for measurable snowfall as the kick the can down the street syndrome has taken over in those lousy LR models. LV looks to get the infamous squeeze play and donut hole syndrome this week for snowstorms if these models come to fruition. The only models to trust is the 36 hour NAM or Euro as the GFS really sucks. I have a video clip just for this snowfall occasion in this model chaos
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almost an inch here in the LV so far Its about time. This was great because this rainfall soaked into the ground before it starts to freeze by next weekend. This rainfall was very beneficial and will help stabilize the base flows in the creek and keep the forest litter from drying out too much now. Thursday night into Friday looks like our first accumulating snow event for the LV. The Euro finally shows us getting around 6-8 inches. Its the only dependable model so far outside the three day range so this event looks real promising.
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whats the latest day for measurable snow in allentown? It maybe in jeopardy?
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memphis TN gets 1-2 inches of snow on Sunday after being in the mid 70's for the past 3 days , we get zilcho. The epitome of this winter thus far.
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Memphis tv stations will be on board Wednesday again tracking the supercells. Its coming like a thief in the night. This freakish warm severe weather has to end soon
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No snow whata whiff -strike two. Another sleet band coming through maybe. That will be strike three. The air coming over the Blue Mountains sucked the living hell out of available moisture to cool the profile too. Another flooding event coming with .10 rain over the next two days LOL These long range models really suck in this chaotic weather pattern. I have come to the conclusion that any significant snowfall will have to be thread the needle event until the gulf of mexico opens up for moisture availability. Its really sad that the lake effect snow region has zilcho in the snow dept. There are many ski resorts, snow mobile trial operations and snow plow contracting operations that are going to be in pretty bad shape unless this pattern breaks. https://www.weatherstreet.com/weather-forecast/Snow-Depth-US.htm
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looks like the LV remains snowless. The dry air and drought continue on.