Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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00z Euro is about 18 hours of light to moderate snow with no temp issues, and on a weekend. It's just beautiful.
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Parkton mesonet now colder than Bittinger. Nice.
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Yes. It's really encouraging to have the Euro EPS, Euro, and Euro-AI on our side. Even the Canadian, and UKMET are trying for something. There's clearly a signal for a storm and we're now inside HR 150 for most of the event.
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Those panels imply 6" - 10" of snow regionwide. Would be a warning level event for almost the entire LWX CWA.
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Cold powder snow on the weekend with plenty of wiggle room. Where do I sign?
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Classic signal for a significant to major east coast snowfall.
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Euro AI is almost a top 10 snowfall for IAD, DCA, and BWI. Incredible.
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From @wxmvpete:
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After working in public safety and transportation for almost 20 years, I can tell you that light to moderate snow events are far, far more impactful. Folks see the lane markers and think they can drive like it's dry roads. Nope. Yup. Rapid onset of an arctic airmass and no wind to wick the surfaces dry. Classic flash freeze.
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Areas with even a minimal amount of snow cover are seeing their air temps crash. Parkton mesonet already down to 18 degrees.
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I know this is for Philly, but this just underscores the upside potential for this general area in the next 7 days.
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I'm optimistic, given the favorable teleconnections and the fact that we're seeing a decent amount of agreement from multiple ensembles.
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A 72-hr ensemble MEAN of 6" - 8" from Mason-Dixon to the tidewater of VA. Wow.
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Folks. . .
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Wow that -and- it's already at HR144?
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18z Euro AI is just nice. Cold, snow, great long duration event.
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Coastal cranking. Solid.
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Heck yea nice band developing in Carroll County.
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Legit SN- in New Windsor, Carroll County.
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I'd prefer #1.
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Hope the southern Maryland and Delmarva folks on here can cash in this afternoon and evening. Snow for everyone is the best!
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12z Thursday, 1/22
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Folks. . .
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Euro just swings the MJO through Phases 7, 8, 2, 1 with a tanking -AO, marginal NAO, +PNA, and -EPO. It's like the stars are trying to align.
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Agreed. This is probably our best shot for a widespread, warning level snowfall this season. My go/no go would be the 12z runs on Thursday, 1/22. My goal for this window is at least one, widespread warning level snowfall of 6"+. Bonus would be two, warning level snowfalls of 6"+. That would cement the region with it's first above normal snowfall in a decade. Bottom line: I'm very optimistic about the period Jan 25 - Feb 15.
