Eskimo Joe

HR 72 is just sick. It's pure weenie porn. Wow.

HR66 on the 00z GFS has a pretty sick death back right over DC to Annapolis. Legit vertical velocities at 700mb. Someone is gonna get the goods it this keeps up for another 24 hrs.

This is going to happen. I finally have a weekend where I'm not on call at work, and my wife just surprised me with the last tickets to the Lord of the Rings: Return of the King in Frederick Sunday evening. I've never seen this in theaters and it's the last showing in the entire state.

This is paste falling at night with wind. Enjoy no power. Oh man.

Could you imagine if the 00z suite comes in even a bit better?

Yes. To be a fly on the wall at LWX and WPC right now.

18z Euro at HR 84 is borderline F O L K S

That falls at dusk into nightfall. . . .

What's going on is far worse than is being reported in the traditional media. Every day it's a struggle to just sustain and maintain the current status.

I am going to use as neutral of language as possible - there is a systematic, and gleeful dismantling of the atmospheric science infrastructure ongoing at the Federal level. Operationally, the National Weather Service lost many positions at key field offices. A short-lived Federal agency that shall remain nameless listed the building that houses the SPC/NSSL for sale. It took direct involvement from Congress to stop this. The National Science Foundation has been cut to ribbons The National Center for Atmospheric Research's very existence is now being threatened. These changes are likely to stay in place for at least the next two years. Even if there was a dramatic shift in Federal policy starting in 2028, you cannot easily rebuild back to what we had prior to 2024 overnight. These cuts are worse than physical buildings, or personnel positions - the loss of institutional trust is enormous and is cumulative. Meanwhile, our international competitors will continue to lap the country. We are simply headed in the wrong direction and fast.

Putting this in banter, but it's going to be very difficult if not impossible to see sensible, sustained improvements in American NWP for the next decade or so. The current Federal climate is extremely hostile to meteorology and earth science right now. Both operational and research efforts across the country are being gleefully decimated. Meanwhile, the Euro-AI is schooling us on a weekly basis. This is the end result of years of doing lots of little things consistently well across the pond.

Falling at night with still reasonably cold ground. Oh man.

RIP, regional power grid. This would be a legit disaster.

Oh.My.God

I remember that. Was up in Lancaster for that event and the Euro blew chunks on that storm. The 00z Euro on 2/9/10 only had us around 0.5" QPF (I was the lead forecaster for campus weather service that night). Everyone rightfully saw that as a red flag for the event, but the UKMET, GFS, Canadian, and NAM were all in lock step. We ended up with 18" - 22" in Lancaster from that. The night before, the NWS had us at 6" - 12".

Shame this is happening at the end of February during the day. Wish this could be an overnight storm.

We are definitely in sun angle season. Even with the clouds and fog the mesonet sites are pushing a couple hundred watts of solar radiation.

We have 11 other months of the year for rain. Maximize snow.

Let's make it two more days so it's a clear #2.

Always.

I've only lost about two inches of my sleetcrete in the past two weeks. It's going to take a warm rain to bust this up.

The 12z Euro would bring me to climo snowfall for the year. Yes please.

I just don't want to hit 60° this month. It can start March 1st, but my Co-Op site is just 16 days away from having it's first winter in a decade with no 60°+ readings. This is a meaningless stat that only matters to me, but it's important to my sanity for some reason. Just give me this.

Months of work to get a normal to below normal winter and we're could lose it in the last two weeks of winter.

Are you referring to 2"+ liquid events in DJF? What airport are you looking for, just DCA< or BWI, DCA, and IAD?