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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Impressive LSR for that warned cell which collapsed just to the southwest of Luray. Classic microburst:
  2. Impressive 18z sounding from IAD: Surface CAPE of ~3,100 DCAPE of ~1,400 Lapse rage of -8.4°c/km Classic robust wet microburst sounding. One red flag for more widespread convection is the convective temp of 100° and a 700mb temp of almost 11°, which is still pretty capped. If we get shielded over with cirrus, then we might lose the oompf needed to get the more robust cluster and line segments going.
  3. Fort Belvoir (DAA) and Lake Anna/Bumpass (7W4), and Fredericksburg (EZF) all hit 100°. We definitely seem to be running just a degree or two warmer today in the air temperature department.
  4. Naval academy (NAK) getting the worst of both worlds right now. A faint bay breeze that's enough to push in more humid air, but too weak to cool things off. They're 95/76 right now for a heat index of 108°.
  5. Wilmington (ILG) and Delaware Airpark (33N) both hit 100° Atlantic City (ACY) hits 103°
  6. Based off mesonet and ASOS data, there appears to be a surface boundary running right along I-97 in Anne Arundel County. Might see something fire up or get enhanced by that later on.
  7. Westminster (DMW) and the Inner Harbor (DMH) both hit 102°
  8. Luray (LUA) and Warrenton (HWY) both hit 100° Charlottesville (CHO) and Louisa (LKU) both hit 101°
  9. Sterling about to go into warning mode. That cell SW of Culpepper is going up quick.
  10. Federalsburg mesonet site hits 102°. Pending QA, this sets an all time record high air temperature for the mesonet.
  11. Prince Anne mesonet site running a heat index of 117°...looks like we lost a degree or two on the dewpoints but that's allowing air temps to get higher?
  12. Any objections to posting the storms and heat obs into this thread for at least today?
  13. Agreed. I was very skeptical of the Euro and GFS going for three days in the 100s. We've seen that fantasy mid range heat vanish before. Not this time!
  14. Several mesonet sites in the eastern shore and southern MD are running ahead of yesterday.
  15. Another day working outside. Definitely more tolerable than the past two days bit no breeze whatsoever.
  16. Looks like a decent chance they hit 100° for a third day in a row. Legit heat.
  17. 12z IAD has over 4,000 surfsce cape and over 1,500 dcape, but a convective temp of 100°. There's rocket fuel to tap if something can take off.
  18. Today's the day where some wicked storm fires up and we see a top to 45-50,000 ft.
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