Eskimo Joe

ProTip: turn the smoothing off. You'll see the finer features better.

Watch the sun rise on Ian here: https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/basicLooper.pl?category=goeseastabimesoscale1&regex=00p64um&title=GOES-East ABI Mesoscale 1 - 0.64 um - Band 2&time_drop=show

Wow does Ian make a run at Cat 5?

Gulf storm gonna gulf storm.

Morning visible satellite should be a stunner. Ian sure is living up to the 'I' storm reputation so far.

Pre gaming for an epic winter.

Looking like the 2nd landfall is becoming a real possibility.

Unless that's contaminated, looks like Ian is trying for Cat4

Hot

Got a map?

Couple of trends with the 00z/12z guidance today: 1.) Big rainfall totals for Florida up into Carolinas 2.) Ian maintains or strengthens up until first US landfall 3.) Ian may emerge back over SE Atlantic Ocean then make 2nd landfall in GA or SC. 4.) Moderate flooding impacts possible up into southern VA this weekend.

KNHC issues Vortex Data Message: 951 URNT12 KNHC 271749 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL092022 A. 27/17:07:10Z B. 23.36 DEG N 083.38 DEG W C. 700 MB 2713 M D. 957 MB E. 115 DEG 21 KT F. CLOSED G. C18 H. 101 KT I. 059 DEG 6 NM 17:05:00Z J. 146 DEG 101 KT K. 052 DEG 9 NM 17:04:00Z L. 96 KT M. 105 DEG 9 NM 17:11:00Z N. 199 DEG 109 KT O. 102 DEG 11 NM 17:11:30Z P. 9 C / 3056 M Q. 18 C / 3038 M R. 10 C / NA S. 12345 / 07 T. 0.02 / 1.25 NM U. AF302 2109A IAN OB 25 MAX FL WIND 109 KT 102 / 11 NM 17:11:30Z

Ian's eye clearing out quickly on visible satellite: https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/basicLooper.pl?category=goeseastabimesoscale1&regex=00p64um&title=GOES-East ABI Mesoscale 1 - 0.64 um - Band 2&time_drop=show

1st US landfall: Venice, FL, 135 mph winds. 2nd US landfall: Charleston, SC, 90 mph.

Developers got their way. Post Andrew, there was a building standard developed called the Miami-Dade Standard. It was designed to make residential and commercial structures more hurricane resilient. It began to take hold in Florida, but then the building association lobby got into the state legislature and killed it. Otherwise, it would have probably saved millions in Federal disaster reimbursement costs over the past 20 years.

Ian now doing gulf storm things

We truly live in a golden age of remote sensing and data archival.

Cool video from NOAA plane

KNHC issues Vortex Data Message NOTE: reporting closed eye 832 URNT12 KNHC 271612 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL092022 A. 27/15:46:30Z B. 23.13 DEG N 083.47 DEG W C. 700 MB 2746 M D. 961 MB E. 115 DEG 4 KT F. CLOSED G. C19 H. 92 KT I. 316 DEG 8 NM 15:44:00Z J. 041 DEG 82 KT K. 315 DEG 10 NM 15:43:30Z L. 82 KT M. 098 DEG 7 NM 15:49:00Z N. 186 DEG 107 KT O. 087 DEG 15 NM 15:51:00Z P. 7 C / 3035 M Q. 17 C / 3052 M R. 12 C / NA S. 12345 / 07 T. 0.02 / 1.25 NM U. AF302 2109A IAN OB 17 MAX FL WIND 107 KT 087 / 15 NM 15:51:00Z