Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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Only thing we have going against us are weak mid level lapse rates. Would lean towards the pulse type storms with a few decent wind reports today.
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Happy summer. Heat index mapping is now available through the statewide mesonet.
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It's out. Blue Box coming. Really like the new graphics from SPC.
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Best I've seen is 8+. We get that, we're in for high end. As I've said several times, good mid level lapse rates allow for storms to survive the rapid terrain changes in these parts. It's probably our best insurance policy for organized severe weather in these parts.
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IMO, 7.0 c/km or better.
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If we have decent mid level lapse rates, then today could be really fun for someone.
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Looks like we'll get a special 18z RAOB from IAD.
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@wxmeddler and I were thinking the same thing. Looks like the site got clipped.
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Almost midnight and the air temperatures are 80 to 83 degrees on lower and central Delmarva. Summer is definitely here.
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I could see a late morning upgrade to an ENH risk from I-66 north for a 30% wind. Timing is everything in these parts, if that front lags then it's going to come down to luck on who gets a decent storm. Seems like we flip to real summer after this frontal passage.
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^Ridgley mesonet station gusted to M51 mph. Just north of that little mesolow or ball of whatever that is.
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Plenty of 75° to 77° dewpoints east of I-95 today.
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Agreed. I'm skeptical of us hitting 100° during this stretch.
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Woke up to 70 degree and humid. Summer has arrived.
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Healthy elevated convection right now.
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Euro/EPS has a known heat bias in the mid range. We need a lot to go right to hit 100 degrees or better namely: Low temps at or above 80 degrees. Little to no cloud cover Minimal mixing
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Some peeks of blue sky in Gaithersburg.
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Finally seeing some lee side clearing in Virginia. Probably too late for Baltimore metro and points east, but still glad to see some blue sky trying to get in here.
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If we get sun, then today has all the makings of a sneaky tornado threat along the I-81 to US 15 corridor.
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Well get plenty of it starting tomorrow afternoon. Soon, people will beg for a cool, cloudy day.
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Euro/EPS mid range heat bias seems to be kicking in, but to see the GFS/GEFS trying to edge into the upper 90s make me wonder if we just flip the switch to the oven for the rest of the summer?
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Starting to see this on radar. Wonder if it's southeast flow interacting with Parrs Ridge?
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Put a bunch of perennials in this afternoon to cap off a growing flower garden. Really could use a steady, soaking rain overnight.
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Doubt it.
