Jump to content

Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
  • Posts

    23,662
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. My bench mark for this is a 6" - 10" event. Would be the biggest snowfall for me since moving back to Maryland in August 2016.
  2. Yea 12z Thursday is my go/no go for this event. I'd much rather deal with suppression than worrying about something cutting. With such a fresh, strong push of cold air coming I don't think we have to worry about this cutting too much this time.
  3. UKMET is a top 5 snowfall from DC to Harrisburg to Philly. Would rival PDII, '96, 2009-2010, and 2016 in many spots.
  4. UKMET is a top 5 snowfall from DC to Harrisburg to Philly. Would rival PDII, '96, 2009-2010, and 2016 in many spots.
  5. Looking further down the road, do we see another wind reversal in Feb?
  6. 12z UKMET is a top 5 snowfall from DC to Philly. Would rival 1996, PDII, and 2016 for many. Just unreal.
  7. 12z Canadian ENS open the freezer post storm.
  8. 12z Canadian is about as amped as I want at this range. Inside of 48 hrs? Sure.
  9. Earlier this month, Tomer Burg (PolarWx) on Twitter posited that DC - NYC could see something on the order of ~20" for the month of January and people laughed at him. He might be right.
  10. Canadian is definitely the most amped, but wow. It would be a Top 10 snowfall for IAD and DCA.
  11. Had light snow breaking out at 1 am on Saturday with precip all the way back to the desert southwest.
  12. MJO progression is near perfect for snow lover
  13. 12z GFS is a reasonable "fail" scenario where the shortwave doesn't eject cleanly -AND- the confluence to the north is stronger. Even with that in mind, it looks like a solid plowable to warning level snowfall for the entire subforum with no temp issue - and it's on a weekend.
  14. It's absolutely beautiful. CAD Signature all the way to interior South Carolina, moisture laden storm, banana high from Quebec down to Texas. This is perfect.
  15. @mappy Parkton mesonet dipped to 8 degrees last night. That 2.5" of snow depth did wonders.
  16. I concur with the terrain enhancement theory.
  17. 12z ICON would be 3" - 6" of cold powder on a weekend.
  18. Yea there seems to be a deamplifixstion trend in the 84 to 96 hr time-frame. If we can survive that this time, then we're golden.
  19. Absolutely not. Not under were inside HR 60.
×
×
  • Create New...