Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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If this were winter the screeching from Ji would be unreal.
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It's a pending La Nina, so. . .
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The "is it ever going to rain again?" discussion.
Eskimo Joe replied to JenkinsJinkies's topic in Mid Atlantic
Mid January...get a cold front with a juiced wave along it that signals a flip to a workable winter pattern. -
12z Euro is a Matthew redux for a large portion of the Carolinas.
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The sound you just heard was every emergency manager in South and North Carolina furiously trying to order extra water rescue teams.
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Man 06z GFS op tries to bury 94L across interior South Carolina. Looks like a potent 850 and 700 mb jet just pouring subtropical Atlantic moisture into the foot hills.
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Talking about that event, or March 2013, should be insta IP ban.
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Poolesville mesonet site gusted to 26 mph.
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That is just a silly, clickbait headline.
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Last night's Euro dropped that same high in like it was something out of WWE.
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We'll have plenty of those this winter.
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Both the 12z Euro and GFS op show some decent jet dynamics inland of the landfall for 94L across the Carolinas. Would support a legit flooding threat down there.
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Agreed. A Widespread 4" - 9" of rain across North Carolina would be significant.
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12z Euro keeps the bulk of precip south of I-66. Looks like a Hurricane Matthew redux for the Carolinas?
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Pouring concrete early next week in Howard County. Hope it doesn't rain too much.
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PRE is Predecessor Rainfall Event. Essentially a rain event that is ahead of the main event. Sandy in 2012 had that on the Eastern Shore. The PRE for Helene is what did the Appalachian Mts. dirty. Source: https://site.extension.uga.edu/climate/2020/10/what-is-a-predecessor-rain-event-pre/
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FYSA, starting tonight several east coast WFOs will being launching 06z and 18z soundings until further notice.
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FYSA, starting tonight several east coast WFOs will being launching 06z and 18z soundings until further notice.
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Uh, is that the HWRF trying to put 94L to near Cat 3 strength by HR 120?
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It's the anniversary of Helene, people in the southeast are justifiably on edge.
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Spread out over several days. Nothing too heavy. Perfect.
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The Euro / ICON would be a nice drought stopper. Not too much rain to flood anything out, but enough to put us back in the right direction.
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Prepping us for the winter rug pulls
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M0.05" oof
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The HRRR has been insistent on convection initiating around the eastern pan handle region of WV close to 4-5pm. That seems to be the window for things to kick off.
