Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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- 1,025 replies
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- 5
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- severe
- thunderstorms
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- 7
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SPC raises a good point, it ultimately comes up to how strong the EML is an whether it persists across the mountains. If we get a good chunk of that to get overhead, then it's going to be a fun day.
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I think tomorrow and Saturday are going to feature one or two decent cells that drop some good hail, but there will be more famine than feast. Saturday might be a decent elevated convection.
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Looks like the NAM twins and the RRFS (spelling?). Not necessarily buying their output, especially beyond 48 hours, but they're definitely trying to cause some problems.
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Some of the CAMs at range for Friday
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Walford mesonet site has M2.18 since midnight. These small cells are really putting down some rainfall.
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Looks like northeast flow at the surface and southerly flow aloft. Probably enough convergence and limited instability to get a few cells firing up where the sun broke out a bit.
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We're steadily devolving into a world where everyone has their own "special weather product" that's cheaply made and devalues legitimate weather information.
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Looks like Garrett and Allegany counties got hit much harder than originally though. Pretty significant debris management operations ongoing.
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Yea I'm definitely intrigued about Friday's potential.
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Congrats on the jackpot.
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You got a lat/lon or road for that?
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Frostburg mesonet site closing in on 5" of rain since midnight.
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Agreed. The SE winds were evident on the rainfall disparity earlier today between the Thurmont site in Frederick County, and Keedysville in Washington County. Thurmont was racking up the rainfall, while Keedysville was in a bit of a rain shadow.
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Impressive rainfall queueing up just SE of Crozet, VA. Looks like it's aimed right at the mountains again.
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Impressive photos emerging from western Maryland.
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I've noticed that heavy rainfall events tend to jump north and east last minute. Perhaps the referenced CHO -> Winchester rain is going to fall in the metros?
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President Trump signed an Executive Order mandating that all government agencies recognize the gulf as the Gulf of America. This was followed up with a Congressional law. As a result, Federal agencies must update this reference. Neither the private sector nor any foreign nation or individual are bound by the order.
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Model guidance really waffling. Genuinely wonder if the lack of RAOB data is hurting.
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Radar looks a bit paltry.
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At least it's not cancer. Hope whatever you may have is readily treatable.
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Overnight batch was impressive. Woke me up out of a dead sleep.
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Looks like another sneaky severe evening.
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60% chance of a watch from I-64 and points south it appears.
