Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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UKMET is FOLKS
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12z Canadian ENS open the freezer post storm.
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12z Canadian is about as amped as I want at this range. Inside of 48 hrs? Sure.
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Earlier this month, Tomer Burg (PolarWx) on Twitter posited that DC - NYC could see something on the order of ~20" for the month of January and people laughed at him. He might be right.
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Canadian is definitely the most amped, but wow. It would be a Top 10 snowfall for IAD and DCA.
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Had light snow breaking out at 1 am on Saturday with precip all the way back to the desert southwest.
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MJO progression is near perfect for snow lover
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12z GFS is a reasonable "fail" scenario where the shortwave doesn't eject cleanly -AND- the confluence to the north is stronger. Even with that in mind, it looks like a solid plowable to warning level snowfall for the entire subforum with no temp issue - and it's on a weekend.
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It's absolutely beautiful. CAD Signature all the way to interior South Carolina, moisture laden storm, banana high from Quebec down to Texas. This is perfect.
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@mappy Parkton mesonet dipped to 8 degrees last night. That 2.5" of snow depth did wonders.
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I concur with the terrain enhancement theory.
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12z ICON would be 3" - 6" of cold powder on a weekend.
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This is a decent chart.
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Yea there seems to be a deamplifixstion trend in the 84 to 96 hr time-frame. If we can survive that this time, then we're golden.
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Absolutely not. Not under were inside HR 60.
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Standard Disclaimer: RE: mixing To keep from and mixing, we do not want to primary low running too deep into West Virginia. Also would need some sort of coastal transfer to lock in cold air east of the mountains.
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Thursday looks like the only "warm" day and that's upper 30s/low 40s. The rest of the week looks primed to keep the ground cold. High in the 30s, lows in the mid 20s.
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Low of 13°
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Phase 8 Neg AO Neg NAO Positive PNA
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We're in the historical wheelhouse of the EPS and Euro-AI, and they still show a whopper of a storm.
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Fresh arctic air on a fresh, deep snowpack will let those temps bust low.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Eskimo Joe replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
00z Euro gets warning level snowfall to I-76 next weekend. Big dog potential for the Mason-Dixon folks. -
How often do you see Parkton mesonet site get colder than Bittinger?
