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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Leesburg Airport gusted to 51 mph.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    TOR for Garrett County
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Definitely looks like a cold pool developing behind this line. Woo storms for everyone today?
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Decent velocities on that line approaching Garrett County. Might be an overperformer today west of I-95 into the mountains.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    SPC adds 30% wind risk from I-81 west for today.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Great pool weather.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    The AWOSs for KAPG and KEDG used to be available for public viewing. Not sure what happened.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Just finished mowing the lawn in time.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    As @wxmeddler noted the other day, the real tragedy is KMTN rain gauge failing.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Harford County up to Lancaster County getting smoked.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    That cell firing up just south of Fallston looks legit from my house. Big tower shooting up quickly.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Unless something changes, it looks pretty bleak south of the PA line.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    I'm an Eskimo that lives south of Mason-Dixon. I've accepted my fate.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Speaking strictly from parameters on the SPC mesoanalysis page, I'd favor NE Maryland into the western suburbs of Philly today. Weaker lapse rates may be offset by the hillier terrain there as things coalesce.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    I do in fact dare
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Could you imagine if this was 100+ air temps?
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Hey Ji is actually trying to be positive this time. At least give him until October before he has his annual crash out.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Normalized CAPE and 12z RAOB from IAD/RNK/PIT would argue skinny CAPE profiles. Shear is also pretty weak too, but the 1.8" - 2" PWATs would suggest isolated flash flooding is the bigger risk, especially around any surface boundaries.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    RIP winter
  20. Eskimo Joe
    No trigger, limited shear.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Leesburg Airport (JYO) just gusted to 51 mph.
  22. Eskimo Joe
  23. Eskimo Joe
  24. Eskimo Joe
    I'm seeing more and more of the "EF-0 tornadoes aren't bad and don't need warnings". Couldn't disagree more: EF-0 tornadoes damage houses, cars, and are a direct danger to people outside. I would make the argument that we should work to shrink the size of polygons and keep warnings to less than 30 minutes, those would narrow the impact, especially in more marginal environments.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    My earlier optimism for overnight rain is fizzling.
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