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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Agreed. This is probably our best shot for a widespread, warning level snowfall this season. My go/no go would be the 12z runs on Thursday, 1/22. My goal for this window is at least one, widespread warning level snowfall of 6"+. Bonus would be two, warning level snowfalls of 6"+. That would cement the region with it's first above normal snowfall in a decade. Bottom line: I'm very optimistic about the period Jan 25 - Feb 15.
  2. Strong signal for a plowable snowfall (maybe 4" - 8"?) at D7 is legit.
  3. Radar building across Delmarva and most of the Delaware/Maryland mesonet obs show a NW wind now. Looks like precip should be picking up in intensity for the southern NJ folks here within the hour.
  4. Winter Weather Advisory for Lancaster & Lebanon counties extended to 6 pm this evening. Radar implies another coating to one inch of snow.
  5. 12 GEFS-AI is money for this Frid-Sat potential. Cold powder, 850s, never get above -6, and some gul moisture to boot.
  6. @wxmeddler can probably provide more context, but it seems to me that it melted off to about 2", then another ~0.8" accumulated.
  7. Cold, dry, get your dehumidifiers and skin care routine prepped.
  8. While returns are light, they're building as far west as Central Wet Virginia. It would not surprise me to see a dusting to maybe half inch of snow in the metros and immediate suburbs with this second round this afternoon/evening if everything breaks our way.
  9. LWX bumped snowfall totals for tomorrow a bit.
  10. You can tell today's 12z suite was legit good because the usual agitators are nowhere to be found.
  11. Afternoon Euro-AI now gives I-70 and points north a 10% chance of 6"+
  12. We're gonna a hit climo one tenth of an inch at a time!
  13. IIRC, advisory is 50% confidence to meet or exceed 2".
  14. Would love to see the mesos come in wetter and colder this evening.
  15. I could see another 1" - 3" for Carroll, northern Baltimore/Harford/Cecil tomorrow.
  16. Had a brief period of sleet but its all moderate snow now.
  17. Radar lighting up in NW Carroll too. Someone is going to get two to three inches of snow from this north of I-70.
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